\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n2020 ba\u015f\u0131nda bir uluslararas\u0131 forum \u015feklinde kurulan bu yap\u0131da ayr\u0131ca \u0130srail, \u0130talya, \u00dcrd\u00fcn ve (ve her daim destekledi\u011fimiz!) Filistin de yer almaktayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u015eubat 2021 ile birlikte, ilgili \u00fclkeler aras\u0131ndaki i\u015fbirli\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7leri biraz daha \u015fekillenir gibi oldu.<\/p>\n
Asl\u0131nda Chevron\u2019un yakla\u015f\u0131k 13,5 milyar dolara Noble Energy\u2019i sat\u0131n almas\u0131 ile s\u00fcre\u00e7 biraz daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ilerlemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Chevron bu ba\u011flamda hem siyasi sorunlar\u0131n daha etkin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc hem de ticari-pratik hamlelerin hayata ge\u00e7irilebilmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6n ayak oldu. Hepsinden \u00f6nemlisi 8 milyar dolarl\u0131k bor\u00e7 bata\u011f\u0131nda kilitlenmi\u015f olan Noble\u2019\u0131n hayat\u0131n\u0131 kurtarak, Leviathan sahas\u0131n\u0131n ilk faz\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bunun akabinde, Ocak ay\u0131nda (2021) Chevron ve Delek Grubu Levitathan ve Tamar sahalar\u0131ndan (A\u015fkelon \u00fczerinden) M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019daki LNG tesislerine uzanacak 7 milyar m3\/y\u0131l kapasiteli bir deniz boru hatt\u0131 yap\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in 235 milyar dolarl\u0131k finans sa\u011flayabilece\u011fini INGL (\u0130srail Do\u011falgaz Boru Hatlar\u0131 \u015eirketi)’ye iletti.<\/p>\n
Bu ba\u011flamda 2022 ortalar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayacak \u015fekilde 2030\u2019a kadar toplam 44 milyar m3\u2019l\u00fck bir gaz ihracat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmekteydi. (Yani ortalama 5,5 milyar m3\/y\u0131l.)<\/p>\n
21 \u015eubatta ise M\u0131s\u0131r ve \u0130srail enerji bakanlar\u0131 \u00f6zel bir toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda bu ad\u0131m\u0131 biraz daha somutla\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in niyet beyan\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
Ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn M\u0131s\u0131r enerji bakan\u0131 ve Filistin ba\u015fkan\u0131 Abbas da a\u00e7\u0131klama yaparak, Gazze a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131ndaki (yine Gazze Deniz isimli) yakla\u015f\u0131k 30 milyar m3 civar\u0131nda rezervi oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen gaz sahas\u0131n\u0131 Filistin Yat\u0131r\u0131m Fonu ve M\u0131s\u0131r Gaz \u015eirketi (EGAS)\u2019\u0131n ortak olarak geli\u015ftirece\u011fini ve i\u015fletece\u011fini duyurdu.<\/p>\n
*****<\/p>\n
\u015eimdi gelelim bu geli\u015fmeleri yorumlamaya:<\/p>\n
\u00d6ncelikle Gazze-Deniz isimli sahan\u0131n geli\u015ftirilerek, \u00fcretime al\u0131nmas\u0131yla alakal\u0131 biz de TESPAM olarak \u00e7ok uzun s\u00fcredir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yapmakta ve \u00f6nerilerde bulunmaktay\u0131z.<\/strong><\/p>\nBu ba\u011flamda ilgili sahan\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in, pratikte \u0130srail\u2019in onay\u0131 gerekliydi. Belli ki al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan, \u0130srail\u2019in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z hesaplara g\u00f6re (daha \u00f6nce ifade etti\u011fimiz gibi) ortalama gaz ihracat hacmi, 2022 \u2013 2042 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda 5 milyar m3\/y\u0131l (\u0130srail i\u00e7 piyasas\u0131na ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019e yap\u0131lacak kontratl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra) civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu hacmin bir yere sevk edilmesi gerekiyordu. Bu ba\u011flamda EAST MED hatt\u0131 imk\u00e2ns\u0131zd\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye opsiyonu mant\u0131kl\u0131 lakin siyasi olarak zordu. M\u0131s\u0131r ise ancak ilgili saha geli\u015ftirme planlar\u0131nda bir aksama olursa, bo\u015f LNG kapasitesi olu\u015faca\u011f\u0131ndan, k\u0131smi olarak uygun olabilecekti.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fte \u015fimdi g\u00f6r\u00fclen: M\u0131s\u0131r pandemi sebebiyle saha geli\u015ftirme ve \u00fcretim hedeflerinde istedi\u011fi ivmeyi yakalayamad\u0131 ki, ilgili d\u00f6nemde tam da \u0130srail\u2019in i\u015fine gelecek kadar bo\u015f bir hacim ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu ba\u011flamda s\u00fcreci \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc y\u00f6netebilecek olan Chevron\u2019da (pragmatist ve ticari odakl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m ile) gol\u00fc att\u0131.<\/p>\n
Tabii bu s\u00fcrecin Arap d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda aleyhine kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istemeyen M\u0131s\u0131r da, s\u00fcreci lehine \u00e7evirebilmek i\u00e7in, kendisi i\u00e7in k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir bal\u0131k olsa da, Gazze-Deniz sahas\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilerek, \u00fcretime al\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u0130srail\u2019den onay ald\u0131. Bu sayede hem az da olsa para kazanacak, hem de Filistin\u2019in enerji ihtiyac\u0131na (daha az CO2 sal\u0131n\u0131ml\u0131) bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulabilecekti. Ayr\u0131ca yine \u0130srail\u2019in k\u0131smi kontrol\u00fc alt\u0131nda olarak varsay\u0131labilecek bu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm ile b\u00f6lgede y\u00f6netilebilir istikrar artt\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fi i\u00e7in, \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc avantajlar sa\u011flanabilecekti.<\/p>\n
Peki, denklemin di\u011fer taraflar\u0131 nezdinde ne oldu?<\/strong><\/p>\n\u0130srail:<\/p>\n
-EASTMED\u2019in zaten olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyordu ve art\u0131k tamamen bu se\u00e7ene\u011fi tarihe g\u00f6md\u00fc!<\/p>\n
-T\u00fcrkiye g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131n\u0131n siyasi olarak \u00e7ok u\u011fra\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, bununla da daha fazla u\u011fra\u015fmaktan vazge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n
-L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131 masaya oturtarak, bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm pe\u015finde ko\u015fmay\u0131 biraz ask\u0131ya ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
-G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131 k\u0131smen p\u0131\u015fp\u0131\u015flamaya devam etse de, kendi yolundan giderek, onlar\u0131n zor problemlerine kafa yormaktan vazge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n
-Filistin\u2019in de denkleme d\u00e2hil edilmesi ile normalle\u015fme s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde yeni olas\u0131 f\u0131rsatlar g\u00fcndeme geldi!<\/p>\n
******<\/p>\n
Bu senaryonun hayata ge\u00e7mesi i\u00e7in; M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da siyasi bir p\u00fcr\u00fcz \u00e7\u0131kmamas\u0131 ve\/veya M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n kendi kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirip, \u00fcretime almas\u0131ndaki aksakl\u0131klardan kurtulamamas\u0131 ve LNG tesislerinde bo\u015f kapasite olmas\u0131 gerekmekte.<\/strong><\/p>\nBu gerekler sa\u011flanabilir mi?<\/strong><\/p>\nTabii\u2026 Neden olmas\u0131n ki?<\/strong><\/p>\n******<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye nezdinde duruma nas\u0131l bakmak laz\u0131m?<\/p>\n
\u0130srail\u2019in yeni arama ruhsatlar\u0131na m\u00fc\u015fteri bulabilmesi ve belli d\u00f6nemlerde daha y\u00fcksek ihracat seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 i\u00e7in (her ne kadar eskisi kadar i\u015ftahl\u0131 olmasa da) T\u00fcrkiye gibi bir orta\u011fa halen ihtiyac\u0131 var. Tabii bunun i\u00e7in \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi gereken \u00e7ok sorun var\u2026<\/p>\n
Bu ba\u011flamdaki yak\u0131nla\u015fma \u015fimdilik rafa kalk\u0131yor gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckmekte. Lakin daha L\u00fcbnan\u2019dan K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a kadar \u00f6nem arz eden bir\u00e7ok husus denklemde hala dikkat \u00e7ekmekte\u2026<\/p>\n
Bakal\u0131m neler olacak?<\/p>\n
Chevron i\u015fin i\u00e7inde olmasa, bu giri\u015fimlere de trib\u00fcnlere oynama hamleleri derdik de, \u015fimdi durum biraz daha farkl\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Bug\u00fcnlerde artan askeri hareketlilik ve gerginliklere ek olarak Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de yeni geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Dikkatlerden ka\u00e7m\u0131\u015f olabilir, neler mi oluyor? 11 \u015eubat\u2019ta G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s, Yunanistan ve M\u0131s\u0131r d\u0131\u015f i\u015fleri bakanlar\u0131 Atina\u2019da…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[122,106,117],"tags":[338,853,486,331,282,1371],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-10034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dogu-akdeniz","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","tag-dogu-akdeniz","tag-eastmed","tag-filistin","tag-israil","tag-misir","tag-noble-energy"],"yoast_head":"\n
Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de son geli\u015fmeler: M\u0131s\u0131r-\u0130srail-Filistin - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/dogu-akdenizde-son-gelismeler-misir-israil-filistin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de son geli\u015fmeler: M\u0131s\u0131r-\u0130srail-Filistin - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bug\u00fcnlerde artan askeri hareketlilik ve gerginliklere ek olarak Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de yeni geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Dikkatlerden ka\u00e7m\u0131\u015f olabilir, neler mi oluyor? 11 \u015eubat\u2019ta G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s, Yunanistan ve M\u0131s\u0131r d\u0131\u015f i\u015fleri bakanlar\u0131 Atina\u2019da...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/dogu-akdenizde-son-gelismeler-misir-israil-filistin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tespam\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-03-01T12:28:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-07T19:15:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@tespam_\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@tespam_\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tespam.org\\\/wordpress\\\/dogu-akdenizde-son-gelismeler-misir-israil-filistin\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tespam.org\\\/wordpress\\\/dogu-akdenizde-son-gelismeler-misir-israil-filistin\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Tespam\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tespam.org\\\/wordpress\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6a8ce40ed6baa31a7694b8f34c8bee35\"},\"headline\":\"Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de son geli\u015fmeler: M\u0131s\u0131r-\u0130srail-Filistin\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-03-01T12:28:39+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-08-07T19:15:19+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tespam.org\\\/wordpress\\\/dogu-akdenizde-son-gelismeler-misir-israil-filistin\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":988,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tespam.org\\\/wordpress\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Do\u011fu Akdeniz\",\"eastmed\",\"filistin\",\"israil\",\"M\u0131s\u0131r\",\"noble energy\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Do\u011fu Akdeniz\",\"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131lar\u0131\",\"Petrol ve Do\u011falgaz\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tespam.org\\\/wordpress\\\/dogu-akdenizde-son-gelismeler-misir-israil-filistin\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tespam.org\\\/wordpress\\\/dogu-akdenizde-son-gelismeler-misir-israil-filistin\\\/\",\"name\":\"Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de son geli\u015fmeler: M\u0131s\u0131r-\u0130srail-Filistin - 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