{"id":10342,"date":"2021-06-08T16:33:40","date_gmt":"2021-06-08T13:33:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=10342"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:15","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:15","slug":"yeni-kesfi-yorumlamak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/yeni-kesfi-yorumlamak\/","title":{"rendered":"Yeni\u0307 Ke\u015ffi\u0307 Yorumlamak"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Sa\u00e7ma ele\u015ftiriler ve komplo teorilerini ni\u00e7in bu kadar kale al\u0131yoruz?<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de petrol<\/strong>\u201d denildi\u011finde, \u00e7ok klasik 3 s\u00f6ylem vard\u0131r:<\/p>\n

-\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de petrol var ama yabanc\u0131lar \u00e7\u0131kartmaya izin vermiyor! Biz Lozan\u2019da bunu kabul etmi\u015fiz ve 2023\u2019te bunun s\u00fcresi doluyormu\u015f!\u201d<\/p>\n

-\u201cSuriye ve Irak\u2019ta bu denli petrol ve gaz varken, bizde nas\u0131l olmazm\u0131\u015f?\u201d<\/p>\n

-\u201cYabanc\u0131 \u015firketler gelip bizde petrol\u00fc ve\/veya gaz\u0131 bulmu\u015flar ama biz bunu fark etmeyelim diye \u00fczerine c\u0131va ve\/veya beton d\u00f6kerek kapat\u0131p gitmi\u015fler\u201d<\/p>\n

Bu s\u00f6ylemler o kadar yayg\u0131nla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ki, sokakta gezerken herhangi bir yerde \u201cpetrol m\u00fchendisi\u201d oldu\u011funuzu s\u00f6ylerseniz, hemen bu sorularla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z.<\/p>\n

Bu sorulara da, \u015fayet vaktiniz varsa k\u0131saca:<\/p>\n

-\u201cHi\u00e7 Lozan\u2019\u0131 okudunuz mu? Biz zaten petrol ve gaz \u00fcretiyoruz, nas\u0131l bir engelleme var? 2023\u2019te Lozan\u2019\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe u\u011frayacak veya tedav\u00fclden kalkacak bir maddesi de yok!\u201d<\/p>\n

-\u201cKerk\u00fck sahas\u0131n\u0131n, saha alan\u0131n\u0131n bitti\u011fi noktadan 50 metre gidin, sahan\u0131n devam etmedi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcrs\u00fcn\u00fcz. Orda var, burada da devam edecek diye bir i\u015fleyi\u015f yoktur. Basen analizine girmeyelim ama yer alt\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fkendir. Ayr\u0131ca \u00f6te taraftan Suriye ile Irak aras\u0131nda da ko\u015fullar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcz gibi de\u011fildir.\u201d<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

-\u201cHi\u00e7 kimse gelip, sistem kurup, milyonlarca dolarl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131p, ekonomik olarak \u00fcretebilece\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir projenin \u00fczerine beton d\u00f6k\u00fcp gitmez. B\u00f6yle bir \u015fey, bu sekt\u00f6rde d\u00fcnya \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015ftir ve mant\u0131kl\u0131 da de\u011fildir. C\u0131va d\u00f6kme iyice sa\u00e7mal\u0131k da, beton d\u00f6kme genellikle operasyonlar\u0131 sonraya b\u0131rak\u0131lacak olan veya \u00fczerine tesis kurmaya de\u011fmeyecek niteliklerde, ilgili g\u00fcn\u00fcn ko\u015fullar\u0131nda ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen kuyulara y\u00f6nelik bir uygulamad\u0131r!\u201d<\/p>\n

\u00d6zetle \u201cDevletimizi aciz g\u00f6stermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bu sa\u00e7mal\u0131klara inanmay\u0131n!<\/strong>\u201d deseniz de, y\u0131llarca oturmu\u015f sa\u00e7ma alg\u0131lar\u0131 k\u0131rmak hi\u00e7 de \u00f6yle kolay olmaz\u2026<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Ne yaz\u0131k ki g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde de buna benzer refleksler devam ediyor!<\/p>\n

Ke\u015fif yapm\u0131\u015f\u0131z ve rezerv tahminlerimizi 540 milyar m3 seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015f\u0131z ama<\/strong>\u00a0yok efendim:<\/p>\n

-\u201cOrtada b\u00f6yle bir kaynak yokmu\u015f, b\u00fct\u00fcn bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar tamamen siyasi rant i\u00e7in kurgulanm\u0131\u015f mega yalanlarm\u0131\u015f!\u201d<\/p>\n

-\u201cKaynak varsa bile biz \u00fcretemezmi\u015fiz!\u201d<\/p>\n

-\u201c\u00dcretsek bile kullanmam\u0131za izin vermezlermi\u015f, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc CO2 sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131 varm\u0131\u015f!\u201d<\/p>\n

-\u201c2023\u2019e ilk gaz yeti\u015femezmi\u015f!\u201d<\/p>\n

-\u201cYeti\u015fse ve \u00fcretilse bile, halk\u0131n cebine yans\u0131yacak bir \u015fey olmazm\u0131\u015f!\u201d gibi bir\u00e7ok yorum sosyal medyada dola\u015fmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f\u2026<\/p>\n

A\u011fz\u0131 olan konu\u015fuyor!<\/strong><\/p>\n

Biri de \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f, ortalama 400 graml\u0131k a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa sahip olan tek bir deniz h\u0131yar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnde ortalama 38 gram olan tespit edilen d\u0131\u015fk\u0131 miktar\u0131n\u0131 (yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 000 000 katl\u0131k kendince bir havadan art\u0131r\u0131mla!) 35 tona \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015f ve en son a\u00e7\u0131lanan yeni do\u011falgaz ke\u015ffine sevinmeyi \u201ch\u0131yarl\u0131k\u201d gibi yorumlam\u0131\u015f!<\/p>\n

Muhakkak t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada oldu\u011fu gibi, \u00fclkemiz de bir\u00e7ok do\u011fru gibi yanl\u0131\u015flar da yap\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. \u0130lgili yanl\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da bilimsel bir tabanda analiz ederek (fitneye de meal vermeden ve bu \u00fclkenin d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131n\u0131n ekme\u011fine ya\u011f s\u00fcrmeden) ifade etmek, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00f6nerilerini gerekli mercilerle payla\u015fmak hepimizin g\u00f6revidir.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u00d6te taraftan son verilerle 540 milyar m3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kan Karadeniz\u2019deki do\u011falgaz ke\u015ffimize sevinmeme \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz de bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fakat yap\u0131lan ele\u015ftiri ve yorumlarda \u201chaddi bilmek ve i\u015fi uzman\u0131na b\u0131rakmak\u201d, \u201celde veri olmadan ahk\u00e2m kesmemek\u201d ve \u201cmakul olmak\u201d en az\u0131ndan kendini az\u0131c\u0131k e\u011fitimli\/ayd\u0131n\/entelekt\u00fcel olarak tasvir etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ki\u015filerin niteli\u011fi olsa gerek!<\/p>\n

Tabii bizde herkes tarihi tarih\u00e7iden, ekonomiyi ekonomistten, biyolojiyi biyologdan, m\u00fchendisli\u011fi ilgili m\u00fchendislik alan\u0131nda e\u011fitim alm\u0131\u015f insanlardan daha \u00e7ok biliyorum edas\u0131na b\u00fcr\u00fcnebiliyor!<\/ins><\/ins><\/ins><\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle siyaset\u00e7i ve\/veya tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f k\u00f6\u015fe yazar\u0131 iseniz bu ba\u011flamda s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcz olabiliyor!<\/strong><\/p>\n

*****<\/p>\n

Neyse, yukar\u0131da ifade edilen sa\u00e7ma yorumlara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fmez, ama yine de teknik biri olarak, m\u00fcsaadenizle Karadeniz\u2019deki gaz ke\u015ffimiz ile ilgili birka\u00e7 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck kelam da biz edelim\u2026<\/p>\n

*****<\/p>\n

Emin olun ki,<\/p>\n

-Karadeniz ke\u015ffimiz \u00fclkemizin bir as\u0131r boyunca hasret kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir m\u00fcjdedir.<\/p>\n

-Son veriler ile 540 milyar m3\u2019e ula\u015fan rezervimiz; d\u00fcnya \u00fczerindeki bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkenin sahip oldu\u011fu do\u011falgaz kayna\u011f\u0131ndan daha b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr. \u00d6rnek vermek gerekirse, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131 bir gaz ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 konumuna getiren mega yap\u0131 \u015eah Deniz Sahas\u0131n\u0131n tahmini rezervi dahi 1 trilyon m3 civar\u0131ndad\u0131r. Di\u011fer taraftan K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcneyinde ke\u015ffi a\u00e7\u0131klanan ve uluslararas\u0131 yaygaraya sebep olan b\u00fct\u00fcn sahalar\u0131n toplam rezervi 320 milyar m3 civar\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

-Yap\u0131lan bu ke\u015fif tamam\u0131yla bakir bir alanda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi i\u00e7in, rezervin daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcme ihtimali \u00e7ok y\u00fcksektir.<\/p>\n

-B\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyan\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc bu ke\u015ffin \u00fczerinde iken, bir\u00e7ok insan bu proje \u00fczerine yo\u011fun bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor iken, bu ba\u011flamda bir\u00e7ok uluslararas\u0131 \u015firketten de servis hizmeti al\u0131n\u0131yorken, (kendi i\u00e7inde herkesin birbirinin ne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iyi bildi\u011fi) petrol end\u00fcstrisinde b\u00f6ylesi b\u00fcy\u00fck yalanlar ortaya koyabilmek teknik olarak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu ke\u015fif ger\u00e7ektir ve bu ba\u011flamda elinde tek veri olan ve bu sebeple ger\u00e7ek anlamda konu\u015fma hakk\u0131 olan tek merci Milli Petrol \u015eirketimiz\/Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zd\u0131r! B\u00f6ylesi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir projeyi \u201csiyasi rant\u201d olarak nitelendirmek ise i\u015fi bilmemektir.<\/p>\n

-\u00d6te yandan, \u00fclkemizde ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz d\u00f6nemlerde s\u00fcrekli k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli sahalar\u0131n ke\u015ffedildi\u011fine, fakat bu ba\u011flamda yap\u0131lan resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n ise yerine g\u00f6re baz\u0131 bas\u0131n organlar\u0131nca ilgili rakamlar ve birimlerin genellikle bilin\u00e7sizce kullan\u0131larak servis edilebilmesi sebebiyle yanl\u0131\u015f anla\u015f\u0131lmalar ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015fahit olmu\u015fuzdur. Daha sonra ilgili ke\u015fifler, \u00e7o\u011funlukla k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de olsa \u00fcretime al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f ve geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f dahi olsa, unutulup gitmi\u015ftir. Tabii bilin\u00e7sizce oynanan rakamlar (ft3 biriminde olan gaz rezervini varil cinsinden vermek gibi) toplumsal bir g\u00fcvensizlik alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na sebep olabilmi\u015ftir. Bu durumun kurumsal ileti\u015fim organlar\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcdahalesi ve bas\u0131n mensuplar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 e\u011fitimler ile d\u00fczeltilmesi muhakkak \u00f6nemlidir. \u00d6te yandan, herhangi bir bilgiye haiz olmadan ve s\u00fcreci anlamadan ele\u015ftiri yapmak yerine, suallerin medeni bir \u015fekilde ilgili kurumlara iletilmesi de hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz en do\u011fru yol olacakt\u0131r. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde ise, ilgili kurumlar\u0131n kurumsal ileti\u015fim birimlerinin daha aktif \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve devlet idaresinin bu konuya \u00e7ok ehemmiyet veriyor olu\u015fu, ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki yanl\u0131\u015f s\u00f6ylemlere tekrar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mektedir.<\/p>\n

-\u201cBu kayna\u011f\u0131 ekonomik ve teknik olarak \u00fcretemeyece\u011fimiz\u201d s\u00f6ylemleri benzer sahalarda kullan\u0131lan teknolojiler, yat\u0131r\u0131m maliyetleri, \u00fclkemizin bu ba\u011flamda elde etti\u011fi teknik altyap\u0131, sekt\u00f6rdeki servis firmalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde ne denli a\u00e7 olduklar\u0131 gibi hususlardan bihaber olundu\u011funun g\u00f6stergesidir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, ba\u015far\u0131 ile bug\u00fcnlere getirilen proje, kendi imk\u00e2nlar\u0131m\u0131z ve y\u00f6netim kabiliyetimiz ile nihayete erdirilebilecek ve in\u015fallah ilk gaz 2023\u2019te Filyos\u2019a getirilecektir.<\/p>\n

-CO2 sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131 gibi sebeplerle petrol ve do\u011falgaz hakk\u0131nda ifade edilen \u00fcst perdeden ifade edilen pop\u00fclist s\u00f6ylemler ve projeksiyonlar inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131\/makul de\u011fildir. \u00d6te yandan bu ba\u011flamda bir yapt\u0131r\u0131m uygulanmas\u0131 da s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fildir. Ayr\u0131ca do\u011falgaz; k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve petrole nazaran \u00e7ok daha \u00e7evreci oldu\u011fu gibi, gelece\u011fin de en \u00f6nemli enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 haline gelecektir!<\/p>\n

-Halk\u0131n cebine yans\u0131mas\u0131 hususuna gelince, bu durumu yorumlamak i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikle: bireysel al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc \u2013 birim do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131 \u2013 enflasyon \u2013 TL paritesi gibi baz\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fkenlerin sabit oldu\u011funun varsay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u00f6rnek \u00fczerinden yorum yapmak daha mant\u0131kl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Bu ko\u015fullar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131 ile bu ke\u015fif sayesinde \u00fcretim \u00f6ncesinde dahi alt sekt\u00f6rlerdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcyen i\u015f hacmi ve yenilenecek gaz ithalat kontratlar\u0131nda artan m\u00fczakere kabiliyetimiz sayesinde halk\u0131n cebine y\u00f6nelik olumlu bir yans\u0131madan bahsetmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131r. \u00d6te yandan \u00fcretim sonras\u0131nda zaten \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozitif etkiler g\u00f6zlemlenebilecektir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zetle, yap\u0131lan bu ke\u015fif ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclen yo\u011fun gayretler \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir milli ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n kan\u0131t\u0131d\u0131r!<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bizlere d\u00fc\u015fen ise bu milletin heyecan\u0131n\u0131\/sevincini payla\u015fmaya g\u00f6nl\u00fcm\u00fcz m\u00fcsaade etmiyorsa dahi, en az\u0131ndan s\u00fcrece birazc\u0131k bilimsel bakmak, haddimizi bilmek ve adil olmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakt\u0131r!<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sa\u00e7ma ele\u015ftiriler ve komplo teorilerini ni\u00e7in bu kadar kale al\u0131yoruz? \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de petrol\u201d denildi\u011finde, \u00e7ok klasik 3 s\u00f6ylem vard\u0131r: -\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de petrol var ama yabanc\u0131lar \u00e7\u0131kartmaya izin vermiyor!\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106,117,109],"tags":[1231,1050,120],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-10342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-turkiye","tag-dogal-gaz-kesfi","tag-karadeniz","tag-turkiye"],"yoast_head":"\nYeni\u0307 Ke\u015ffi\u0307 Yorumlamak - 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