{"id":11077,"date":"2022-02-28T19:29:16","date_gmt":"2022-02-28T16:29:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=11077"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:10","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:10","slug":"rusya-ukrayna-1-kazanan-abd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/rusya-ukrayna-1-kazanan-abd\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusya &#8211; Ukrayna (1): Kazanan Abd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131nda devam eden gerginlik \u201caskeri m\u00fcdahale \u2013 i\u015fgal \u2013 sava\u015f\u201d d\u00fczleminde yeni bir boyuta evirildi. Her ne kadar ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana ya\u015fananlar Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaym\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fclse de, asl\u0131nda arka planda Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 tetikleyen, k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtan, destekliyor g\u00f6z\u00fcken, i\u00e7 dinamiklerine m\u00fcdahale ederek; sokak g\u00f6sterileri ile sivil darbeler organize eden ve her f\u0131rsatta Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n Rusya ile yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyen g\u00fc\u00e7 hep ABD\u2019ydi.<\/p>\n<p>Yani asl\u0131nda ortadaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma; b\u00f6lgede risk almadan vek\u00e2let sava\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ABD ile Rusya aras\u0131nda devam etmekteydi. Tabii, ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri ABD\u2019nin bu ba\u011flamda hedefi Rusya ile ak\u0131beti belli olmayan, kendisinin de bilfiil d\u00e2hil olaca\u011f\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma de\u011fildi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ABD\u2019nin gayesi<\/strong>; 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda yeniden \u015fekillenen \u201c\u00c7in ile so\u011fuk sava\u015f\u201d merkezli d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 d\u00e2hilinde;<\/p>\n<p>-\u00c7in ile rekabet s\u00fcrecine devam ederken, dengeleri de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek \u00f6nemli bir tehdit olan Rusya\u2019y\u0131 dizginlemek,<\/p>\n<p>-Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te olu\u015fabilecek a\u00e7\u0131k noktalardan faydalanma kabiliyetlerini k\u0131s\u0131tlamak,<\/p>\n<p>-Uluslararas\u0131 toplum nezdinde Rusya ve onu destekleyen \u00c7in aleyhine olumsuz alg\u0131y\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek,<\/p>\n<p>-AB nezdinde ayyuka \u00e7\u0131kan \u201cNATO\u2019suz AB ordusu\u201d s\u00f6ylemlerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015femeyece\u011fini, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit oldu\u011funu ve bu tehdide kar\u015f\u0131 ABD\u2019nin s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131labilecek tek liman oldu\u011funu b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrupal\u0131 \u00fclkelere idrak ettirmek,<\/p>\n<p>-Bu sayede AB\u2019li m\u00fcttefiklerini olu\u015fan korku ikliminde daha kolay koltuklar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na al\u0131rken, \u00c7in ile m\u00fccadelesinde avantaj sa\u011flamak,<\/p>\n<p>-Bunlar ya\u015fan\u0131rken, ihtilaf\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckleyerek Rus pen\u00e7elerinin \u00f6n\u00fcne itti\u011fi (ve arkadan sadece g\u00f6stermelik ve uzun vadeye yay\u0131lm\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131r\u0131m s\u00f6ylemleriyle m\u00fcdafaa ediyor g\u00f6z\u00fckt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc) Ukrayna\u2019daki y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n neticelerini kendi lehine kullanmakt\u0131!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ve ABD kazand\u0131!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>-Sava\u015f istemeyen Rusya, askeri m\u00fcdahale kart\u0131n\u0131 masaya s\u00fcrmek zorunda kald\u0131!<\/p>\n<p>-Beklenildi\u011fi \u00fczere; ABD, AB ve NATO m\u00fcttefiklerinden ortadaki y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131 engelleyebilecek net bir aksiyon gelemedi!<\/p>\n<p>-Bat\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131 yolsuzluk baronlar\u0131n\u0131n, \u201cyolsuzluklarla m\u00fccadele\u201d slogan\u0131yla iktidara getirdi\u011fi Zelenski dahi yaln\u0131z b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 nihayet kabul etti\u2026<\/p>\n<p>-Araya kan girdi\u011fi i\u00e7in, Ukrayna i\u00e7erisindeki Rus yanl\u0131s\u0131 gruplar da Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 tav\u0131r almak zorunda kald\u0131!<\/p>\n<p>-Rusya belki askeri m\u00fcdahaleler akabinde iktidar de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ile Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede kazanm\u0131\u015f olabilecekse dahi, uzun vadede kaybetti!<\/p>\n<p>-\u00dcst\u00fcne \u00fcstl\u00fck AB\u2019nin Rusya ile yak\u0131nla\u015fabilme ve normalle\u015febilme ihtimalleri uzun bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in suya d\u00fc\u015ferken, y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe giren yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar sayesinde Rusya \u00e7ok daha etkin bir bi\u00e7imde dizginlendi!<\/p>\n<p>-\u0130\u015fgalci durumuna d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclen Putin\u2019i Rusya i\u00e7 siyasetinde zafiyete u\u011fratmak i\u00e7in baz\u0131 kozlar elde edildi.<\/p>\n<p>-Olu\u015fturulan korku havas\u0131, ABD\u2019den ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z g\u00fcvenlik modeli olu\u015fturma hayali kuran (keyfine d\u00fc\u015fk\u00fcn) AB \u00fclkelerinin taraflar\u0131n\u0131 netle\u015ftirmelerine neden oldu!<\/p>\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131n olabilece\u011fini Rusya hesap etmiyor muydu?<\/p>\n<p>Ediyordu!<\/p>\n<p>Zaten bu sebeple s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131na asker y\u0131\u011farak, tatbikatlar yaparak Ukrayna y\u00f6netiminin ABD efsunundan kurtularak, makul bir diplomasi ortam\u0131na gelmesini sa\u011flamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n<p>Sava\u015fmak istemiyordu!<\/p>\n<p>Fakat ba\u015faramad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Askeri m\u00fcdahale yap\u0131lmadan yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 hafta \u00f6nce, tam da bir m\u00fczakere ortam\u0131na dair i\u015faretler elde edilmi\u015fti ki, ABD\u2019nin sava\u015f \u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131rtkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapan s\u00f6ylemleri, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm giri\u015fimlerini bozan diplomasisi ve Donetsk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda Ukrayna eliyle y\u00fckseltilen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma d\u00fczeyi Rusya\u2019y\u0131 \u00f6nce Donetsk ve Luhansk\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mas\u0131na, daha sonra da askeri m\u00fcdahalede bulunmas\u0131na sebep oldu!<\/p>\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan k\u00fcresel h\u00e2kimiyet gayelerinden ziyade en az\u0131ndan eski Sovyet Co\u011frafyas\u0131nda kuyru\u011fu dik tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ve f\u0131rsatlara endeksli politikalar ile askeri kabiliyetlerini, ekonomisini ve teknolojisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren Rusya bu tuza\u011fa d\u00fc\u015fmek zorunda kald\u0131!<\/p>\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>Daha \u00f6nce G\u00fcrcistan \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi, bir kez daha ABD; askeri anlamda kendine g\u00fcvenen piyonlar\u0131n\u0131 yaln\u0131z b\u0131rakt\u0131!<\/p>\n<p>Her ne kadar \u201chi\u00e7bir NATO \u00fcyesinin k\u0131l\u0131na zarar vermelerine izin vermem, en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc benim\u201d s\u00f6ylemleri havalarda u\u00e7sa da, b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnya ABD\u2019nin genel karakteristi\u011fini bir kez daha ac\u0131 bir \u015fekilde idrak etti!<\/p>\n<p>Tabii NATO \u00fcyesi olan AB \u00fclkeleri de baz\u0131 ku\u015fkulara ra\u011fmen, yine de mecburen ABD\u2019ye biraz daha yakinen s\u0131\u011f\u0131nma psikolojisine b\u00fcr\u00fcnd\u00fc!<\/p>\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>Bundan sonra ne mi olacak?<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda Rusya askeri anlamda \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve kabiliyetlerini kesin bir \u015fekilde ortaya koydu. Arka bah\u00e7esi olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc eski Sovyet Co\u011frafyas\u0131nda psikolojik h\u00e2kimiyetini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat gelinen noktada Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n askeri m\u00fcdahale kabiliyetini ciddi bir \u015fekilde k\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olsa da, Rusya bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in; derin bir \u015fehir sava\u015f\u0131na girerek hem daha fazla kay\u0131p vermek, hem Ukrayna halk\u0131 ile araya daha fazla kan sokmak, hem de uluslararas\u0131 prestijini daha da fazla yitirmek istemiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bunun i\u00e7in m\u00fczakereye s\u0131cak bak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan Ukrayna h\u00fck\u00fcmeti de kaybedece\u011fini ve \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir enkaza d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini bildi\u011fi, ABD taraf\u0131ndan yaln\u0131z b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 idrak etti\u011fi bu sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek istemiyor!<\/p>\n<p>-\u201cTabii Rusya Zelenski iktidar\u0131 ile devam edebilecek mi?\u201d,<\/p>\n<p>-\u201c\u0130ktidar\u0131 devirmeden bir orta yol bulunabilecek mi?\u201d,<\/p>\n<p>-\u201c\u0130ktidar\u0131 devirmek i\u00e7in nas\u0131l bir yol izlemesi gerekiyor?\u201d,<\/p>\n<p>-\u201c\u0130ktidar devrilse ve Rusya (Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n en az\u0131ndan Donbas, K\u0131r\u0131m ve bu iki b\u00f6lge aras\u0131ndaki Karadeniz ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 gibi alanlar hari\u00e7) askerlerini geri \u00e7ekse ili\u015fkiler normalle\u015febilecek mi?\u201d,<\/p>\n<p>-\u201cABD ne kadar\u0131 ile yetinecek?\u201d gibi sualler hale cevap bekliyor\u2026<\/p>\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>Yine de \u015f\u00f6yle bir yakla\u015f\u0131mda bulunulabilecektir ki;<\/p>\n<p>-ABD istedi\u011fini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>-Daha b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131k\u0131m ABD\u2019ye olan g\u00fcveni de zedeleyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>-Enerji kart\u0131 halen Rusya\u2019n\u0131n elindedir ve bunun ikamesi tutars\u0131z s\u00f6ylemlerle m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir!<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla s\u00fcre\u00e7 \u00e7ok uzamadan bir uzla\u015f\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olabilecektir!<\/p>\n<p>Tabii di\u011fer taraftan da, ABD; Ukrayna halk\u0131n\u0131 \u015fehir tipi gerilla sava\u015f\u0131 modelinde hafif silahlarla ve tank savar m\u00fchimmatlar\u0131 ile destekleyece\u011fini ifade ediyor!<\/p>\n<p>Bu ifadeler de <strong>k\u00fcresel hedefleri do\u011frultusunda yeterince kan akmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor!<\/p>\n<p>Korkutuyor!<\/p>\n<p>Umar\u0131z bu ifadeler \u201cdaha fazla kan\u201ddan ziyade, m\u00fczakere s\u00fcrecinde Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek amac\u0131 ile kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r!<\/p>\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>-\u201cAMBARGOLAR NE ANLAMA GEL\u0130YOR?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>-\u201cENERJ\u0130\u201d<\/p>\n<p>-\u201cYEN\u0130 RUSYA MODEL\u0130\u201d<\/p>\n<p>gibi yeni ba\u015fl\u0131klarla devam edece\u011fiz\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>><strong>O\u011fuzhan Akyner<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131nda devam eden gerginlik \u201caskeri m\u00fcdahale \u2013 i\u015fgal \u2013 sava\u015f\u201d d\u00fczleminde yeni bir boyuta evirildi. Her ne kadar ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana ya\u015fananlar\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[1089,106,879,135,108],"tags":[1184],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-11077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-enerji-turune-gore","category-kose-yazilari","category-politika-diplomasi-ihtilaflar-guvenlik","category-rusya","category-tr","tag-rusya-ukrayna"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Rusya - Ukrayna (1): Kazanan Abd - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/rusya-ukrayna-1-kazanan-abd\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rusya - Ukrayna (1): Kazanan Abd - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131nda devam eden gerginlik \u201caskeri m\u00fcdahale \u2013 i\u015fgal \u2013 sava\u015f\u201d d\u00fczleminde yeni bir boyuta evirildi. 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