{"id":2562,"date":"2016-03-21T12:52:25","date_gmt":"2016-03-21T10:52:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2562"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:22","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-21mart2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-21mart2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (21 Mart 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Petrol piyasas\u0131nda volatilite h\u0131z kesmezken, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta genel anlamda iyimserlik hakimdi denilebilir. Enerji\u00a0 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan haber ve geli\u015fmelerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda;<\/p>\n

OPEC (Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc)\u2019ten yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ham petrol talebi daha \u00f6nceki tahminlerde yer alan de\u011ferlerden daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Piyasada arz fazlas\u0131 petrol\u00fcn artaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken OPEC\u2019in ayl\u0131k raporu, OPEC \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelerin \u00fcretimlerini beklenenden daha fazla azaltt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen IEA (Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131) raporu ile bu anlamda \u00e7eli\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n belki de en \u00f6nemli haberi, 17 Nisan tarihi i\u00e7in OPEC \u00fcyesi olan ve \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkelerin Doha\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme karar\u0131 vermeleri oldu. Toplant\u0131n\u0131n ana g\u00fcndemi kapsaml\u0131 bir \u00fcretim durdurma anla\u015fmas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Toplant\u0131dan olumlu sonu\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131karsa, en son 15 y\u0131l \u00f6nce ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olan k\u00fcresel arz anla\u015fmas\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olacak. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen d\u00f6rt petrol \u00fcreticisi Rusya, Suudi Arabistan, Katar ve Venezuela \u00f6nceki ay toplanm\u0131\u015f, di\u011fer \u00fcreticiler de kabul ederse \u00fcretimlerini Ocak ay\u0131 seviyesinde dondurmaya haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015flard\u0131. \u0130ran \u00f6nceki hafta bu t\u00fcr tart\u0131\u015fmalara ancak ve ancak petrol \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnl\u00fck 4 milyon varile ula\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra kat\u0131labilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klayarak piyasada anla\u015fma umutlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131 ve bu deklarasyon neticesinde Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ham petrol fiyat\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k % 3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6zlendi. Bu konuda \u0130ran\u2019a en \u00f6nemli destek Rusya\u2019dan geldi. Rusya Enerji Bakan\u0131 Alexander Novak, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde muaf stat\u00fcs\u00fcnde olmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekti\u011fini, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretim seviyesini yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00f6ncesi seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131rma hakk\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretimi halihaz\u0131rda 3.1 milyon varil\/ g\u00fcn olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmektedir. Novak konu\u015fmas\u0131nda y\u0131l sonuna kadar varil ba\u015f\u0131na fiyat\u0131n 40-50 ABD Dolar\u0131 aras\u0131nda olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini de ekledi. Haziran 2014\u2019ten bu yana y\u00fczde 65 de\u011fer kaybeden petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n desteklenmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki ay yap\u0131lacak toplant\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz iki aydaki art\u0131\u015flardan \u00f6nce 2014 ortalar\u0131ndaki seviyeden y\u00fczde 75 oran\u0131na kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f, fiyat 26 ABD Dolar\u0131 seviyesine kadar gerilemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya 38 ABD Dolar\u0131 seviyesinde ba\u015flayan ham petrol fiyat\u0131, Amerikan stoklar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f endi\u015fesi ve 40 ABD Dolar\u0131 seviyesini h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015fmas\u0131 sonucu olu\u015fan teknik bask\u0131yla Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 36 ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na kadar geriledi. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Amerikan stoklar\u0131n\u0131n -hala rekor seviyede olsa da- beklentinin alt\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131yla yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en piyasa, kesinle\u015fen Doha toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n da vermi\u015f oldu\u011fu moralle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar yukar\u0131 seyrederek yeniden 40 ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve haftay\u0131 40 ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde kapatt\u0131. Amerika ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda beklenti 3.4 milyon varildi; fakat rapor 1.3 milyon varil olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Raporda ayr\u0131ca Amerika\u2019da benzin talebinde \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re\u00a0 y\u00fczde 6.4 art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu bahsedildi. Yukar\u0131da bahsedilen etkenlerle birlikte FED\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmamas\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in d\u00f6rt olarak beklenen faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n iki olarak ima edilmesi, FED\u2019in petrol \u015firketlerine fiyat\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u015fka bir bahane daha sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Baker Hughes\u2019a g\u00f6re, 12 haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften sonra Amerika petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131nda bir adet art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde 825 olan kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 387\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Para y\u00f6neticileri petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yapmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ba\u011flanan al\u0131m kontratlar\u0131 ge\u00e7en be\u015f aya g\u00f6re rekor seviyede.<\/p>\n

Obama y\u00f6netimi G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Atlantik k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131nda petrol \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131na izin verilmeyece\u011fini bildirdi. Sebep olarak mevcut petrol piyasas\u0131 dinamikleri ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yerel itiraz g\u00f6sterildi.<\/p>\n

Rusya h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, orta \u00f6l\u00e7ekli petrol \u00fcreticisi Bashneft, elmas \u00fcreticisi Alrosa ve devlet bankas\u0131 VTB\u2019deki hisselerini satmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ekonomik olarak bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda olan h\u00fck\u00fcmet kaynak olu\u015fturmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Societe General, 2016 ham petrol tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. G\u00fcncel tahminleri WTI i\u00e7in 36.20 ABD Dolar\u0131, Brent i\u00e7in ise 38.12 ABD Dolar\u0131. Banka analistleri erimeyen stoklara dikkat \u00e7ekerken, 45 ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde fiyat y\u00fckselmesinin fiyat\u0131n kendini k\u0131s\u0131tlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcreticilerinin bu durumda daha fazla yat\u0131r\u0131m ve \u00fcretim yapma imkan\u0131 bulacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylediler.<\/p>\n

Resmi verilere g\u00f6re, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Ocak ay\u0131 ham petrol ihracat\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck 10.23 milyon varil olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Rakam ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz dokuz ay\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi.<\/p>\n

Amerikan enerji \u015firketleri kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacaklar\u0131 olas\u0131 kredi kesintilerine kar\u015f\u0131 daha masrafl\u0131 olan alternatif aray\u0131\u015f\u0131ndalar. \u00d6z sermaye fonlar\u0131ndan al\u0131nan kredilerle daha fazla hayatta kalmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaklar.<\/p>\n

Kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcreticisi LINN Energy, iflas\u0131n ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olabilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Firman\u0131n hisseleri y\u00fczde 30 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

Petrobras, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 15\u2019ini i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinden dolay\u0131 zor g\u00fcnler ge\u00e7iren firma, yat\u0131r\u0131m program\u0131nda da y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik kesinti yapacak<\/p>\n

<\/h5>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
<\/h6>\n
“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/span><\/h6>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/h6>\n
TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24 \u00a0     Petrol piyasas\u0131nda volatilite h\u0131z kesmezken, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta genel anlamda iyimserlik hakimdi denilebilir. Enerji\u00a0 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[101,204,106,177,131,117,135,108,109],"tags":[187,191,210,211,212,103,214,215,203,116,429,392,216,134,217,119],"ppma_author":[2033],"class_list":["post-2562","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-belge","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-kose-yazilari","category-abd","category-orta-dogu","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-rusya","category-tr","category-turkiye","tag-abd","tag-arabistan","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-dolar","tag-enerji","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-opec","tag-petrol","tag-petrol-fiyatlari","tag-petrol-piyasasi","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-shell","tag-tespam"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (21 Mart 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-21mart2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (21 Mart 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24 \u00a0     Petrol piyasas\u0131nda volatilite h\u0131z kesmezken, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta genel anlamda iyimserlik hakimdi denilebilir. 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