{"id":2643,"date":"2016-11-12T14:41:52","date_gmt":"2016-11-12T12:41:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2643"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:20","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:20","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-21-kasim-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-21-kasim-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (12Kas\u0131m 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli siyasi ve de ekonomik geli\u015fmesi yeni ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n kim olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesiydi. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda OPEC\u2019den gelen haberlerle moral bulan fiyatlar y\u00fckselirken daha sonra a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD stoklar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermesi, Rusya ve Nijerya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l i\u00e7in \u00fcretim art\u0131rma sinyalleri vermeleri ve ABD \u00fcretimini art\u0131rmas\u0131 beklenen Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7ilmesi fiyatlar\u0131n haftay\u0131 kay\u0131pla kapatmas\u0131na neden oldu. Fiyatlardaki h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta bir d\u00fczeltme gelebilir fakat temellerdeki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini g\u00f6steren haberlerin gelmesi veya arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini i\u015faret eden haber veya a\u00e7\u0131klama gelmemesi durumunda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin s\u00fcrmesi \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmaz. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $44,52\u2019dan ba\u015flarken hafta kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 $43,09 oldu. \u00a0Motorin kontrat\u0131 ton fiyat\u0131 ise hafta ba\u015f\u0131 $418,64 ile a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yaparken kapan\u0131\u015fta fiyat 408,58\u2019di. Hafta i\u00e7erisinde en y\u00fcksek seviyeler, ham petrol i\u00e7in $45,96 olurken motorin ton fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in $426 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/strong><\/p>\n

OPEC Genel Sekreteri Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada 14 OPEC \u00fcyesinin Cezayir\u2019de var\u0131lan anla\u015fma konusunda mutab\u0131k olduklar\u0131n\u0131, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle arz-talep dengesinin olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Barkindo ayr\u0131ca Rusya\u2019n\u0131n da anla\u015f\u0131lan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda oldu\u011funu fakat daha fazla bilgi veremeyece\u011fini de ekledi. OPEC taraf\u0131ndan anla\u015fman\u0131n uygulanaca\u011f\u0131yla ilgili piyasay\u0131 temin eden bu a\u00e7\u0131klama fiyatlarda h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde iyile\u015fmeye neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 8.04 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn seviyesiyle rekor seviyede seyreden \u00c7in ithalat\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131nda 6.78 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn seviyesine geriledi. Ekim rakam\u0131 Ocak ay\u0131nda bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olarak kayda ge\u00e7ti. \u0130thalattaki gerilemenin nedeni olarak artan fiyatlar ve de\u011fi\u015fen ithalat kotalar\u0131 g\u00f6steriliyor.<\/p>\n

Petrol yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 genel olarak arz-talep dengesinin olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle rahats\u0131zlar ve piyasadaki al\u0131m pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 giderek azaltmaktalar.<\/p>\n

Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda ABD se\u00e7imleri nedeniyle a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 riskli piyasada yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar temkinli hareket ettiler. Bu nedenle petrol piyasas\u0131nda al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n aksine volatilite d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Piyasa y\u00f6n bulmak i\u00e7in bir anlamda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD stok verileri ve ABD se\u00e7im sonucunu bekledi. Uzmanlar se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7imi kazanmas\u0131 durumunda \u0130ran\u2019la anla\u015fman\u0131n rafa kalkmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011fundan fiyatlarda iyile\u015fme ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini fakat petrol \u00fcretimini destekleyen politikalar izlemesi beklendi\u011fi i\u00e7in orta vadede fiyatlara negatif etki olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Hillary\u2019nin kazanmas\u0131 durumunda ise Dolar\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlenerek petrolde sat\u0131\u015fa neden olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin yeni ba\u015fkan\u0131 olmay\u0131 garantilemesiyle piyasalardan -\u00f6zellikle Asya- petrol ve dolar da gerileme ve alt\u0131n da y\u00fckselme g\u00f6zlendi. Fakat piyasalar ilk \u015foku atlatt\u0131ktan sonra kay\u0131plar geri al\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol ve gaz \u00fcreticileri, enerji in\u015faat firmalar\u0131 ve boru hatt\u0131 operat\u00f6r\u00fc \u015firketlerinin hisselerinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlendi. Trump se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131 s\u00fcresince \u00fcretimi art\u0131racak politikalar izleyece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k bir dille s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7ilmesinin ard\u0131ndan Exxon hisseleri y\u00fczde 1, Chevron hissleri binde 3 artt\u0131. Trump k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n ger\u00e7ek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen az say\u0131da politikac\u0131dan biri. Trump Obama\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00f6m\u00fcre kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirece\u011fini ve petrol ve gaz \u00fcretimini k\u0131s\u0131tlayan reg\u00fclasyonlar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019 a kar\u015f\u0131 uzla\u015fmac\u0131 politika izlemesi beklenmiyor. \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 yeni yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar uygulamas\u0131 da muhtemel. Fakat muz cumhuriyeti olmayan ABD\u2019de Trump\u2019\u0131n her istedi\u011fini yapt\u0131ramayaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k ayr\u0131ca politikalar\u0131n\u0131n etkilerinin hissedilmesinin ne kadar zaman alaca\u011f\u0131 da belirsiz.<\/p>\n

Petrol piyasas\u0131 se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u015fokunu atlatm\u0131\u015f durumda ama temellerde hala zay\u0131fl\u0131k s\u00f6z konusu. Ge\u00e7en haftadan bu yana ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan lineer seyreden piyasan\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirecek bir geli\u015fme olmad\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen duru\u015f sergilemesi ABD \u00fcretiminin artaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor di\u011fer taraftan ise se\u00e7imin ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n OPEC kararlar\u0131na uyup \u00fcretimini azaltmak yerine art\u0131rabilecekleri kadar art\u0131\u015f yapmak istemeleri olas\u0131; yani dolayl\u0131 yollarla \u00fcretim anla\u015fmas\u0131na bir engel meydana gelmi\u015f olabilir.<\/p>\n

IEA\u2019in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re OPEC \u00fclkeleri anla\u015fmazsa arz fazlas\u0131 2017\u2019nin 2. yar\u0131s\u0131nda da etkisini g\u00f6sterecek. IEA\u2019\u0131n yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapora g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel arz OPEC \u00fclkelerinin rekor \u00fcretimleri sonucu Ekim ay\u0131nda 800.000 varil\/g\u00fcn art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Nijerya\u2019dan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar \u00fcretimin 500.000 varil\/g\u00fcn art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. Dolar\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlenmesi petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran petrol ihracat\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re 4 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. % 7,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ile \u00fcretim 2.37 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn\u00a0 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Gerilemenin nedeni olarak mevsimsel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Avrupa talebi \u00a0g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Rusya Enerji bakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Molodtsov bir konferansta 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00fcretiminin 555-560 Ton\u2019a ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Art arda gelen \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 haberleri fiyatlarda \u00e7ekilmeye neden oluyor.<\/p>\n

Kas\u0131m 1\u2019e kadarki haftada Hedge fonlar\u0131 net al\u0131m pozisyonlar\u0131 72 milyon varil azalarak 574 milyon varile geriledi<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Bu haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli verileri:<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131, API\u2019nin haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe, ABD i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Cuma, Baker Hughes ABD petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 verisi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n
“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli siyasi ve de ekonomik geli\u015fmesi yeni ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n kim olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesiydi. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda OPEC\u2019den gelen haberlerle moral…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[204],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,214,215,286,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-2643","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-kuveyt","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (12Kas\u0131m 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-21-kasim-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (12Kas\u0131m 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli siyasi ve de ekonomik geli\u015fmesi yeni ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n kim olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesiydi. 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