{"id":2799,"date":"2016-08-29T14:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-08-29T11:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2799"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:21","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-29-agustos-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-29-agustos-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (29 Agustos 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta, ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $48,89, motorin kontrat\u0131 ton fiyat\u0131 $442,75\u2019ten a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Pazartesi piyasalara d\u00fc\u015fen habere g\u00f6re \u00c7in\u2019in Temmuz ay\u0131 dizel ihracat\u0131 rekor seviyede ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00c7in\u2019in ulusal petrol \u015firketi \u00fclke i\u00e7indeki ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z \u015firketlerle rekabet etmekte zorlan\u0131yor. Bu nedenle elinde bulundurdu\u011fu fazla dizel, benzin ve kerosen stoklar\u0131n\u0131 ihrac etti. \u00c7in\u2019in ithalat\u0131ndaki gerileme, ABD sondaj kuyu say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 8 haftad\u0131r \u00fcst\u00fcste artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bu hafta ihracat\u0131n\u0131 150.000 varil\/g\u00fcn art\u0131rmay\u0131 planlamas\u0131 ve Nijerya\u2019daki militan grubun ate\u015fkes i\u00e7in haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 fiyatlarda \u00e7ekilmeye neden oldu. Motorin kontrat fiyat\u0131 g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde $10\u2019dan fazla kay\u0131pla $433,50\u2019den kapand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Pazartesi yay\u0131nlanan Goldman Sachs ara\u015ft\u0131rma notuna g\u00f6re petrol fiyat\u0131 iyile\u015fmesi k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Kesintiye u\u011frayan Nijerya, Irak ve Libya \u00fcretimlerindeki art\u0131\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n 2. yar\u0131s\u0131nda piyasay\u0131 arz fazlas\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131ma potansiyeline sahip. Goldman Sachs yaz sonuna kadar fiyat tahminini $45 \u2013 $50 seviyesinde tutmaya devam ediyor. Kesintiye u\u011frayan \u00fcretimdeki geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 $45 band\u0131nda tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Genel olarak mevcut fiyatlarda tutunman\u0131n zor olaca\u011f\u0131 ifade edilirken Goldman mevcut \u00fcretim seviyesinde \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131 getirmenin bile arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7emeyece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 Sal\u0131 fiyatlarda y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7evirdi; fakat resmi kaynaklara dayand\u0131r\u0131lmayan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131 anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberi ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn ham petrol fiyat\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k $1,5 y\u00fckseli\u015fe neden oldu. Motorin Ton fiyat\u0131 $428\u2019den $441\u2019e kadar y\u00fckseldi. Daha sonra haberin teyit edilememesi ve a\u00e7\u0131klanan API ABD stoklar\u0131 verisinde ham petrol stoklar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 geriletti.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131klanan API ABD stok verisine g\u00f6re ham petrol de haftal\u0131k 4.5 milyon varil art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, benzin stoklar\u0131nda 2.2 milyon, distile stoklar\u0131nda 830 bin varil \u00e7ekilme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Distile ve \u00f6zellikle benzindeki \u00e7ekilme fiyatlara moral verebilir. \u00c7in\u2019in petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ihracat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde ABD\u2019de benzin sto\u011fu art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlar i\u00e7in iyi bir i\u015faret. Di\u011fer taraftan ham petrol stoklar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015felerini art\u0131racak seviyede y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretim seviyesine yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda, \u00fcreticiler 26-28 Eyl\u00fcl tarihlerinde Cezayir\u2019de toplant\u0131 yapacaklar. Toplant\u0131da \u00fcretimlerini hali haz\u0131rda y\u00fckseltmi\u015f \u00fcreticilerin \u00fcretim k\u0131sma anla\u015fmas\u0131 yapmalar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ihtimal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Motorin g\u00fcne kay\u0131pla ba\u015flay\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Suudi Arabistan \u00fcretimi Temmuz ay\u0131nda rekor seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131 ve A\u011fustos\u2019ta da yeni bir rekor k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Baz\u0131 analistlere g\u00f6re Suudi Arabistan toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretimini ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fini g\u00f6stererek di\u011fer \u00fcreticilere g\u00f6z da\u011f\u0131 veriyor. Bu hamle \u00fcreticileri \u00fcretim dondurma anla\u015fmas\u0131na ikna etmek i\u00e7in yap\u0131l\u0131yor olabilir.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan EIA ABD haftal\u0131k stok verisine g\u00f6re 19 A\u011fustos\u2019a kadarki haftada ham petrol stoklar\u0131 2.5 milyon\u00a0 varil artt\u0131. Art\u0131\u015f\u0131n nedeni rafineri vardiyelerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Benzin stoklar\u0131nda azalma beklenirken 36 Bin varil art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Veri talepte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6stermekte.<\/p>\n

Distilede 400 Bin varil art\u0131\u015f beklenirken art\u0131\u015f 122 Bin varil olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Toplam ABD stoklar\u0131 haftal\u0131k seviyede 2011 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde. Stok verisinin motorin ton fiyat\u0131na etkisi yakla\u015f\u0131k $5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yine \u0130ran taraf\u0131ndan gelen a\u00e7\u0131klama ile fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u0130ran petrol bakan\u0131 piyasan\u0131n dengelenmesi i\u00e7in OPEC\u2019le koordinasyon i\u00e7inde olacaklar\u0131n\u0131 fakat di\u011fer \u00fcreticilerin \u00fclkesinin haklar\u0131na sayg\u0131l\u0131 olmalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Motorin ton fiyat\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k $5 art\u0131\u015fla kapatt\u0131. \u0130ran OPEC\u2019in 3. En b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticisi konumunda ve yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar fiyatlar\u0131 eklemekte.<\/p>\n

Piyasa Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcne bask\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015flam\u0131\u015fken \u00f6\u011fleden sonra ajanslara d\u00fc\u015fen Yemen\u2019den at\u0131lan f\u00fczelerle Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Aramco tesislerine sald\u0131r\u0131 haberiyle fiyatta ralli ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130ran televizyonu taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131lan iddian\u0131n do\u011fru olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve b\u00fct\u00fcn Aramco tesislerinin normal operasyonunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan fiyat yeniden geriledi. Daha sonra haftan\u0131n son \u00f6nemli verisi olan Baker Hughes ABD sondaj kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 verisi fiyat\u0131 biraz daha yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klanan veriye g\u00f6re 8 haftal\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en hafta kuyu say\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 haftay\u0131 $1,61 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle $47,28, ICE motorin ton fiyat\u0131 $6,74 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle $436\u2019dan kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli verileri:<\/p>\n

Pazartesi, Fed ba\u015fkan\u0131 Yellen\u2019in konu\u015fmas\u0131<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131, API\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi, ABD T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi, ABD ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe, ABD \u0130\u015fsizlik verisi<\/p>\n

Cuma, Baker Hughes ABD petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 verisi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta, ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $48,89, motorin kontrat\u0131 ton fiyat\u0131 $442,75\u2019ten a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Pazartesi piyasalara d\u00fc\u015fen\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2801,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[204],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,214,215,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-2799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (29 Agustos 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-29-agustos-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (29 Agustos 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta, ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $48,89, motorin kontrat\u0131 ton fiyat\u0131 $442,75\u2019ten a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. 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