{"id":2803,"date":"2016-08-23T14:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-08-23T11:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2803"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:21","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-23-agustos-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-23-agustos-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (23 Agustos 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $44,68, motorin kontrat\u0131 ton fiyat\u0131 $413,25\u2019ten a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Rusya Enerji bakan\u0131 Novak Suudi Arabistan ve di\u011fer \u00fcreticilerle petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n stabille\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fcklerini ve 2017 y\u0131l\u0131ndan \u00f6nce fiyatlarda durulman\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Fiyat konusunda OPEC \u00fcyesi ve \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkelerle diyaloglar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcreceklerini de ekledi. Yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klama piyasaya beklenenin \u00fczerinde moral sa\u011flayarak motorin fiyat\u0131n\u0131 $12\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde kazan\u00e7la kapatmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Para y\u00f6neticileri 1 ay sonra ilk defa petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde al\u0131m pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131lar. WTI i\u00e7in NYMEX borsas\u0131ndaki al\u0131m kontratlar\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 17.671 artarak 97.973\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00d6nceki hafta Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc petrol fiyat\u0131 % 2 artarak Nisan ay\u0131ndan bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck haftal\u0131k kazan\u00e7 elde edilmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

\u00d6nceki Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD sondaj kuyusu say\u0131s\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tuttu.<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda OPEC kaynaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re Suudi Arabistan daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlar istemekte ve b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle gelecek ay yap\u0131lacak OPEC \u00fcye ve \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkelerin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde \u00fcretim kotas\u0131 konusu yeniden canlanacak. Di\u011fer taraftan \u0130ran, Irak ve Rusya olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya engeller koyabilirler. Suudi Arabistan Enerji bakan\u0131n\u0131n Suudi Arabistan OPEC \u00fcyesi ve \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkelerle fiyatlar\u0131n dengelenmesi konusunda \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 k\u00fcresel \u00fcretim anla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentilerini y\u00fckseltmi\u015f durumda. \u00dcretici toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 26-28 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Cezayir\u2019de yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan API ABD haftal\u0131k stok verilerine g\u00f6re ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 1 milyon varil \u00e7ekilme, benzin stoklar\u0131nda 2.2 milyon varil ve distile stoklar\u0131nda 2.4 milyon varil art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Genel stok durumu fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131layacak, fiyat rallisini yava\u015flatacak \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fcnmekteydi. \u00a0Fakat piyasada b\u00f6yle bir etkisi g\u00f6zlenmedi.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00fcretim k\u0131sma anla\u015fmas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 konusunda uzman g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerinde ortak bir tahmin bulunmuyor. Venezuela gibi fiyatlardan b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik zarar g\u00f6ren \u00fclkelerin olmas\u0131, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar \u00fcretim k\u0131sma anla\u015fmas\u0131 konusunda olumlu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapmas\u0131, \u0130ran ve Irak gibi \u00fcreticilerin \u00fcretimlerinin belli seviyeye ula\u015farak \u00fcretimlerini daha fazla art\u0131rmama konusunda kolay ikna edilebilecek olmas\u0131 anla\u015fma ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131rken Rusya, \u0130ran ve Irak\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fmaya kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimalinin s\u00fcrmesi, Libya ve Nijerya gibi \u00fclkelerin ihracatlar\u0131n\u0131 kontrol etmenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, Kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretiminin art\u0131r\u0131larak pazar pay\u0131 kayb\u0131 ihtimali ve baz\u0131 \u00fcreticilerin anla\u015fma \u015fartlar\u0131na uymayarak fazla ihracat yapabilecek olmalar\u0131 anla\u015fma ihtimalini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmekte.<\/p>\n

Yap\u0131lan OPEC toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda anla\u015fma istatisti\u011fine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda %50\u2019ye yak\u0131n bir istatistik g\u00f6r\u00fcnmekte fakat her toplant\u0131da mevcut dinamikler farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermekte.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan EIA ABD haftal\u0131k stok verilerine g\u00f6re ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 2.5 milyon varil, benzin stoklar\u0131nda 2.7 milyon varil \u00e7ekilme a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken distile stoklar\u0131nda 1.9 milyon varil art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Hem ham petrol hem de benzin de beklenmedik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseltme e\u011filiminde bir veri olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda WTI\u2019daki %17\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n hali haz\u0131rda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olmas\u0131, ayr\u0131ca \u00e7ok k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fiyatlar\u0131n \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselmesi fiyatlardaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Motorin\u2019de A\u011fustos ay\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f $ 80.75 kadar ger\u00e7ekle\u015f\u00f6i\u015fti.<\/p>\n

OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n A\u011fustos ay\u0131 \u00fcretiminde art\u0131\u015fla yeni rekor seviyesine ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde Suudilerin elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Di\u011fer taraftan fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131lay\u0131c\u0131 etki de g\u00f6sterecektir.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan takvim d\u0131\u015f\u0131 OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlarken Nijerya petrol bakan\u0131 OPEC \u00fcretim kesintisi ihtimalinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu fakat toplant\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 destekleyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Irak K\u00fcrt b\u00f6lgesinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye boru hatt\u0131 transferi s\u00fcrmekte, g\u00fcnl\u00fck miktar 70.000 varil. Mart ay\u0131nda ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle transfer aksam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Brent petrol fiyat\u0131 $ 51\u2019e ula\u015farak 8 haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Y\u00fckseli\u015f ard\u0131 ard\u0131na 7 g\u00fcn s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Y\u00fckseli\u015fin nedeni \u00fcreticilerin anla\u015fma umudu oldu\u011fu genel kan\u0131. Bu hafta hem ABD stoklar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hem de OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 ile ilgili haberler piyasay\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f havas\u0131na soktu; di\u011fer taraftan baz\u0131 analistler piyasadaki arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemesi gerekti\u011fini fiyatlarda y\u00fckseli\u015fin temellere dayanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 haftay\u0131 $3,85 art\u0131\u015fla $48,53, ICE motorin ton fiyat\u0131 $29,50 art\u0131\u015fla $442,75\u2019ten kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli verileri:<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc API\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe, ABD ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n

Cuma, Baker Hughes ABD petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 verisi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $44,68, motorin kontrat\u0131 ton fiyat\u0131 $413,25\u2019ten a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Rusya\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2804,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[204],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,214,215,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-2803","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (23 Agustos 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-23-agustos-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (23 Agustos 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $44,68, motorin kontrat\u0131 ton fiyat\u0131 $413,25\u2019ten a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. 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