{"id":2812,"date":"2016-08-01T14:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-08-01T11:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2812"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:21","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-1-agustos-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-1-agustos-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (1 Agustos 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n
\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $44,11, ICE motorin ton fiyat\u0131 $399 seviyesinde ba\u015flad\u0131.Arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015fesiyle fiyatlar \u00f6nceki hafta oldu\u011fu gibi ge\u00e7en haftaya da bask\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Libya ihracat\u0131 ulusal petrol \u015firketi ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yla tehdit alt\u0131nda haberi piyasalara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Merkez h\u00fck\u00fcmetin ulusal petrol \u015firketi ba\u015fkan\u0131 anahtar konumdaki limanlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgesel gruplarla anla\u015fmaya kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131nda rafineriler karlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funu benzin \u00fcretiminden sa\u011flayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlard\u0131; fakat \u00c7in ve Hindistan taleplerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi planlar\u0131n\u0131 bozmu\u015f durumda. Benzin talebindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 domine etti denilebilir. Arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015feleriyle ham petrol May\u0131s ay\u0131ndan itibaren en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan $44\u2019a geriledi.<\/p>\n

Para fonlar\u0131 petrol i\u00e7in pozitif kontratlar\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 4 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine \u00e7ektiler. Londra ve New York\u2019ta azalan pozitif kontrat say\u0131s\u0131 24.912 olurken toplam say\u0131 155.652\u2019ye geriledi. Rakam \u00a08 Mart\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede.<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan analist g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine g\u00f6re Haziran ay\u0131nda $50\/varil seviyesine kadar y\u00fckselip fiyatlarda iyile\u015fme sinyali veren petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f trendi sona ermi\u015f olabilir. Analistlere g\u00f6re talebin beklentinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve sondaj kuyu say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 fiyatlarda iyile\u015fmeyi bir ya da iki y\u0131l kadar geciktirebilir.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan BP\u2019nin 2. \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in k\u00e2r\u0131 beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; bunun ard\u0131ndan yat\u0131r\u0131m b\u00fct\u00e7esinde daha fazla kesinti karar\u0131 al\u0131nd\u0131. BP\u2019de oldu\u011fu gibi Statoil\u2019in 2. \u00e7eyrek rakamlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck geldi. Statoil\u2019in de 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Shell\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2. \u00c7eyrek kar\u0131 %70 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. A\u00e7\u0131klanan k\u00e2r beklenenin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcney Afrika\u2019da petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan i\u015f\u00e7iler Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fcnden itibaren ge\u00e7erli olmak \u00fczere grev karar\u0131 ald\u0131lar. Petrol \u015firketleri petrol kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 greve g\u00f6re ayarlad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131lar. Shell, BP, Chevron ve Sasol\u2019un rafineri sahalar\u0131 grevden etkilenecek.<\/p>\n

Para fonlar\u0131 ve di\u011fer para y\u00f6neticileri \u00a02. dalga ham petrol sat\u0131\u015f kontrat\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131na y\u00f6neldiler; fakat haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda fiyatlarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti; bunun nedeni mevcut al\u0131m pozisyonlar\u0131nda \u00e7\u0131kmamalar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmekte.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan EIA verilerine g\u00f6re May\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n ortalar\u0131ndan bu yana ham petrol stoklar\u0131 ilk kez art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Art\u0131\u015f verisi s\u00fcrpriz bir geli\u015fme. Hem ham petrol hem de benzin stoklar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f miktar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de olsa art\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131layacak etkiye sahipti. Distile stoklar\u0131nda da m\u00fctevazi bir azalma s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n

Hindistan\u2019\u0131n stratejik petrol rezervleri plan\u0131 k\u00fcresel olarak talepte art\u0131\u015f sa\u011flamas\u0131 beklentisiyle moralleri y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti; fakat plan\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in herhangi bir i\u015faret g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemesi umutlar\u0131 azaltm\u0131\u015f durumda. Plan 90 g\u00fcnl\u00fck al\u0131ma kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelen stok olu\u015fturmakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ok say\u0131da petrol \u015firketinin yat\u0131r\u0131m b\u00fct\u00e7esini k\u0131smas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Avrupa\u2019l\u0131 \u015firketlerin 2. \u00e7eyrek k\u00e2rlar\u0131 beklentinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu durum ihtiyatl\u0131 \u015fekilde talepte iyile\u015fme oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Fiyatlar\u0131n iyile\u015fme yolunda olmas\u0131 petrolde %60 fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc d\u00f6neminde \u00e7ok say\u0131da i\u015f\u00e7i \u00e7\u0131karan \u015firketlere nazaran i\u015f\u00e7i \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n daha zor oldu\u011fu \u015firketlere avantaj sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu \u015firketler daha esnek i\u015f modelleriyle fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fi piyasada di\u011fer \u015firketlerden ayr\u0131labilirler.<\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD sondaj kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 yine art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylelikle fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131layacak bir veri daha gelmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Fiyatlar yava\u015flayan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme nedeniyle Nisan d\u00f6nemindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere yak\u0131n seyrediyor. Ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 haftay\u0131 $41,34, ICE motorin ton fiyat\u0131 $370,75\u2019ten kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli verileri:<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc API\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe, ABD ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n

Cuma, Baker Hughes ABD petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 verisi.<\/p>\n

Kemal AYDIN, 01.08.2016<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $44,11, ICE motorin ton fiyat\u0131 $399 seviyesinde ba\u015flad\u0131.Arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015fesiyle fiyatlar\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[101,204,117,108],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,214,215,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-2812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-belge","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-tr","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (1 Agustos 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-1-agustos-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (1 Agustos 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $44,11, ICE motorin ton fiyat\u0131 $399 seviyesinde ba\u015flad\u0131.Arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015fesiyle fiyatlar\u2026\" \/>\n<meta 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