{"id":2816,"date":"2016-07-18T11:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-07-18T08:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2816"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:21","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-18-temmuz-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-18-temmuz-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (18 Temmuz 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n

Ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya $45 dolar seviyesinde ba\u015flad\u0131. ICE borsas\u0131nda motorin ton fiyat\u0131 ise $406 seviyesinden a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Pazartesi Amerika kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcreticilerinin $45\/varil fiyat seviyesinde \u00fcretimlerini art\u0131rabileceklerinin g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi, fazla \u00fcr\u00fcn nedeniyle rafineri vardiyelerinde azalma ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, \u00c7in ve Japonya ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmelerinde yava\u015flamay\u0131 g\u00f6steren veriler fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lad\u0131; di\u011fer taraftan Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n arz-talep dengesinin olu\u015fmas\u0131na yak\u0131n olundu\u011fu konusunda a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 ve \u00c7in otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yava\u015flatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmesi Irak Basra\u2019da y\u00fcklemelerin ge\u00e7ici olarak durdurulmas\u0131yd\u0131. Irak arz\u0131na tehdit olan geli\u015fme fiyatlarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etki ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi; fakat piyasada al\u0131m pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 kazanc\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlad\u0131. Bankalar ve para fonlar\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rerek pozisyon almay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fcler. Suudi Enerji bakan\u0131 arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n erimesinin uzun zaman alaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u00e7\u0131klama yapmas\u0131yla fiyatlarda ciddi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Exxon\u2019un Nijerya tesislerine ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu haberlerini yalanlamas\u0131 da g\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeleri aras\u0131ndayd\u0131. Amerika \u00fcretiminin artaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki kayg\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131lamaya devam ederken fiyatta art\u0131\u015f trendinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck nedeni Dolar\u2019\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yd\u0131.\u00a0 G\u00fcn sonunda fiyatlar ham petrolde $44,60\/varil , motorin kontrat\u0131nda $425\/Ton seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc fiyatlarda %5\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasada kar sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131 ve fiyat yeniden ini\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. A\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD ve OPEC \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerine g\u00f6re gelecek y\u0131l petrol talebinde art\u0131\u015f beklenmekte. API stok verisi beklenmedik \u015fekilde stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi ve fiyat verinin ard\u0131ndan bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131, ayr\u0131ca alt\u0131n ve Dolar\u2019daki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme de fiyat\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. EIA bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in talep tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrse de gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in tahmininde art\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Credit Suisse fiyat ortalamas\u0131 tahminini bu y\u0131l $44,53 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l $ 55 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu seviyelerde motorin i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k rakamlar 2016 i\u00e7in ortalama $406,80; 2017 i\u00e7in ortalama $502,49\u2019a denk geliyor.<\/p>\n

EIA stok verisi ABD\u2019de s\u00fcrpriz \u015fekilde ham petrolde beklentinin alt\u0131nda azalma, benzin ve distile stoklar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Veri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131ktan sonra motorin ton fiyat\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k $15, ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $2 kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Benzindeki stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6zellikle talep d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc i\u015faret edecek \u015fekilde artmas\u0131 fiyatlarda ciddi bask\u0131ya neden oldu. Verilere g\u00f6re stoklar son 7 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011finde. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve OPEC \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelerin \u00fcretimlerindeki ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen piyasada arz fazlas\u0131 sorunu s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Brent petrol\u00fcn $50\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 $40\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilebilece\u011fi spek\u00fclasyonlar\u0131na neden oluyor. Akaryak\u0131t maliyetinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f sezonunda beklenmedik \u015fekilde talebin d\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00a0piyasaya g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc negatif sinyal verdi.<\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD sondaj kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 verisi 3. hafta \u00fcst\u00fcste say\u0131da art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. 15 Temmuz\u2019a kadarki haftada say\u0131 6 artt\u0131. Ham petrol haftay\u0131 $45,88, Motorin kontrat fiyat\u0131 $413,75\u2019den haftaya ba\u015flanan fiyatlara olduk\u00e7a yak\u0131n olarak kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli verileri:<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc API\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe, ABD ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n

Cuma, Baker Hughes ABD petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 verisi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya $45 dolar seviyesinde ba\u015flad\u0131. ICE borsas\u0131nda motorin ton fiyat\u0131 ise $406 seviyesinden a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Pazartesi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[101,204,117,108],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,214,215,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-2816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-belge","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-tr","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (18 Temmuz 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-18-temmuz-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (18 Temmuz 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya $45 dolar seviyesinde ba\u015flad\u0131. ICE borsas\u0131nda motorin ton fiyat\u0131 ise $406 seviyesinden a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. 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