{"id":2818,"date":"2016-07-10T15:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-07-10T12:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2818"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:21","slug":"kopya-petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-10-temmuz-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/kopya-petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-10-temmuz-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (10 Temmuz 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
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Piyasalar i\u00e7in 1 Temmuz haftas\u0131nda son \u00f6nemli veri ABD kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 verisiydi ve \u00a0kuyu say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n son be\u015f haftada 4. kez art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. ABD \u00fcretiminin art\u0131\u015fta oldu\u011funun en somut delili kabul edilen kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 piyasada arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015felerini art\u0131ran etkiye sahip.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca fiyatlar\u0131 negatif y\u00f6nde etkileyecek iki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme daha vard\u0131. Bunlardan biri: ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle \u00fcretim miktar\u0131 30 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine ula\u015fan Nijerya\u2019dan sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fcretimin artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 di\u011feri ise Norve\u00e7\u2019te petrol i\u015f\u00e7ilerinin grevi sona erdirmeleriydi.<\/p>\n

Ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya $49 dolar seviyesinde ba\u015flad\u0131. ICE borsas\u0131nda motorin ton fiyat\u0131 ise $442 seviyesinden a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda Suudi Enerji Bakan\u0131n\u0131n piyasada arz-talep dengesine yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ham petrol fiyat\u0131 Asya\u2019da y\u00fckseldi. Fakat ham petrol talebinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberler bu haberin piyasa etkisini s\u00fcbvanse etti.<\/p>\n

Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131klar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda analistler rafineri \u00fcretiminin azalmas\u0131 ile ham petrol sipari\u015flerinde azalma olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde uyar\u0131da bulundular. Morgan Stanley analistlerine g\u00f6re yava\u015flayan benzin talebi ve artan Kanada ve Nijerya \u00fcretimi nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadede fiyatlar yeniden d\u00fc\u015fecek. Analistlerin \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u015fekilde de hafta boyunca kay\u0131plar s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Haftan\u0131n ilk g\u00fcn\u00fcnden itibaren yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket edemeyen fiyatlar\u0131 Libya\u2019dan gelen bir haber daha \u00e7ok bask\u0131lad\u0131. Libya\u2019n\u0131n rakip ulusal petrol \u015firketlerini birle\u015ftirecek bir anla\u015fma s\u00f6z konusu ve bu anla\u015fma ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse \u00fclkenin \u00fcretim seviyesi 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6ncesi seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Sonu\u00e7 olarak 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda beklenen arz-talep dengesi beklentisi i\u00e7in durum de\u011fi\u015febilir. Yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n etkisiyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131 Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc kay\u0131pla kapatt\u0131. Ham petrol $48,53\/v, motorin $434,25\/t.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u0131l\u0131n geriye kalan k\u0131sm\u0131nda petrole talebin yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklentiyle fiyatlarda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc de s\u00fcrd\u00fc. G\u00fcn sonu kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131: ham petrol $46,27\/v, motorin $421,75\/t.<\/p>\n

Analistlere g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00fczerine endi\u015feler petrol talebini de etkileyecek; di\u011fer taraftan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen bankalar\u0131ndan birinin raporuna g\u00f6re talepteki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen stoklarda azalma, politik riskler ve sahalarda azalan petrol miktar\u0131 nedeniyle bu y\u0131l ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l aras\u0131nda fiyatlarda y\u00fckselme olacak.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan API raporuna g\u00f6re ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda beklentinin 3 kat\u0131 seviyesinde 6.7 milyon varil \u00e7ekilme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Verinin ard\u0131ndan borsalarda ralli ya\u015fand\u0131 ve ham petrol g\u00fcn\u00fc $47,79\/v\u2019den motorin $430,50\/t\u2019dan kapatt\u0131; ancak Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin (EIA) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 resmi rakamlara g\u00f6re ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda azalma yaln\u0131zca 2,2 milyon varildi. Verinin ard\u0131ndan piyasa kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 geri verdi ve ham petrol haftay\u0131 $45,18\u2019den motorin ise $408\/t\u2019dan kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli verileri:<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc API\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k ABD petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Cuma, Baker Hughes ABD petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 verisi.<\/p>\n

Kemal Ayd\u0131n, 10.07.2016<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Piyasalar i\u00e7in 1 Temmuz haftas\u0131nda son \u00f6nemli veri ABD kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 verisiydi ve \u00a0kuyu say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n son be\u015f haftada 4. kez art\u0131\u015f…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2819,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[101,204,117,108],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,227,214,215,228,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-2818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-belge","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-tr","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-katar-arabistan","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-kuveyt-urdun","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol 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