{"id":2840,"date":"2016-05-22T11:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-05-22T08:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2840"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:22","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-22-mayis-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-22-mayis-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (22 May\u0131s 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n
\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 haftaya anketlerde g\u00f6r\u00fcnen Amerikan stoklar\u0131nda azalma beklentisiyle moralli ba\u015flad\u0131. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda ham petrol fiyat\u0131 $46,25 seviyelerindeyken Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc $47,85\u2019e kadar y\u00fckseldi. Arz endi\u015feleriyle petrol kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak 7 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek fiyat\u0131na ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f oldu. Goldman Sachs daha \u00f6nce $20\u2019a kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklediklerini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015fken 2016 2. Yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in $50 seviyesini tahmin ettikleri y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u00e7\u0131klama yapmas\u0131 fiyatta ralliye neden oldu. Bununla birlikte EIA\u2019in kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretiminin Haziran ay\u0131nda da d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekledikleri y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini destekledi. B\u00f6ylelikle kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretimi 8 ay \u00fcst\u00fcste d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f oluyor; di\u011fer taraftan Kanada\u2019daki orman yang\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131lmaya devam ederek Kuzey\u2019deki \u00fcretim b\u00f6lgelerini de tehdit etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed yetkilileri ekonomik verilerin 2. \u00e7eyrekte daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6stermeleri kadar enflasyon ve i\u015fsizlik verileninin olumlu gelmesi durumunda Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n uygun olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylediler. Piyasalarda geni\u015f yank\u0131 bulan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi ve petrolde ciddi \u00e7ekilmeye neden oldu. Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki ralli \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sona ererken \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc $48,75\u2019d $47,62\u2019ye ve Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc $46,80\u2019e kadar gerileme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00c7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan arz sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tehdit eden y\u00f6nde a\u00e7\u0131klamalar piyasalarda endi\u015feye neden oldu ve fiyat\u0131 yukar\u0131 do\u011fru bask\u0131lamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Rusya petrol bakan\u0131 arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,5 milyon varil seviyesinde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylerken beklenmedik arz kesintilerinin 2,5 milyon varil arz azalmas\u0131na neden oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor. Baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara g\u00f6re piyasa, fiyatlar\u0131n yukar\u0131 do\u011fru ilerleyece\u011fi konusunda halihaz\u0131rda \u00f6nyarg\u0131ya sahip, piyasay\u0131 dengelenmekte olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar ve Libya\u2019daki kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k, Nijerya\u2019daki ter\u00f6r olaylar\u0131, Kanada\u2019daki orman yang\u0131nlar\u0131 ve kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretimindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam etmesi gibi beklenmeyen arz kesintileri bu s\u00fcreci h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131yor. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc fiyatlar FED \u015fokunu atlatarak arz endi\u015felerine yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131 ve yeni bir ralli dalgas\u0131 ile ham petrol fiyat\u0131 $49,20\u2019ye kadar y\u00fckseldi. G\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolarla birlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n karlar\u0131n\u0131 realize etmek istemeleri Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc zay\u0131flamaya neden olurken ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 haftay\u0131 $48,45\u2019ten kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Spek\u00fclat\u00f6rler 17 May\u0131s\u2019a kadarki haftada ham petrol i\u00e7in al\u0131m kontratlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131lar. A\u00e7\u0131klanan veriye g\u00f6re al\u0131m kontratlar\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 bu senenin en y\u00fckse\u011fine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00d6te yandan Baker Hughes verilerine g\u00f6re Amerika\u2019daki petrol kuyu say\u0131lar\u0131 bu y\u0131l ilk kez ayn\u0131 seviyede kald\u0131. Ham petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 7 ay\u0131n zirvesine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131yla kuyu say\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de uzun s\u00fcreden sonra ilk kez durmu\u015f oldu. Bu y\u0131l ortalama her hafta 11 kuyu kapanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Enerjideki genel volatilite ilk \u00e7eyrekte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 da b\u00f6lm\u00fc\u015f durumda b\u00fcy\u00fck para fonlar\u0131nda e\u015fit say\u0131labilecek hisse azalt\u0131m\u0131 ve art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin Soros\u2019un fonunda hisse sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00f6zlenirken Buffet\u2019\u0131n fonunda al\u0131m a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kta.<\/p>\n

Yak\u0131n vadeli petrol kontratlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fiyat daralmas\u0131 arz fazlas\u0131 probleminin b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi olarak alg\u0131lanabilir. \u00dcretim azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve halihaz\u0131rda piyasay\u0131 dengeledi denilebilir; fakat kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcreticileri \u00fcretimlerini art\u0131r\u0131rlarsa denge yeniden bozulabilir. Bir\u00e7ok kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcreticisi fiyatlar\u0131n $45 seviyesine y\u00fckselmesi durumunda faaliyetlerini art\u0131racaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemi\u015flerdi, bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fse bile projelerin ask\u0131ya al\u0131nmas\u0131 nedeniyle k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fiyatlarda ciddi etki olu\u015fturmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00fcreticiler hedge yapmaya devam ediyorlar.<\/p>\n

Rafineri \u00fcretiminin zirve seviyesi olmas\u0131 nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadede vadeli kontratlarda depor olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek. Goldman Sachs\u2019a g\u00f6re arz fazlas\u0131 beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 eridi fakat arz 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda yeniden ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta petrol fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nem arz eden veriler:<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131, Amerika yeni ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131,<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k Amerika petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe, Amerika i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131<\/p>\n

Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Baker Hughes Amerika petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 verisi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 haftaya anketlerde g\u00f6r\u00fcnen Amerikan stoklar\u0131nda azalma beklentisiyle moralli ba\u015flad\u0131. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda ham petrol fiyat\u0131 $46,25 seviyelerindeyken Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc $47,85\u2019e…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[101,204,106,117,108,109],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,224,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,227,214,215,228,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2033],"class_list":["post-2840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-belge","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-tr","category-turkiye","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-brexit","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-katar-arabistan","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-kuveyt-urdun","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (22 May\u0131s 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-22-mayis-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (22 May\u0131s 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 haftaya anketlerde g\u00f6r\u00fcnen Amerikan stoklar\u0131nda azalma beklentisiyle moralli ba\u015flad\u0131. 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