{"id":2847,"date":"2016-05-09T13:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-05-09T10:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2847"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:22","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-9-mayis-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-9-mayis-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (9 May\u0131s 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n
\n

Evvelki hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan Amerikan stok verilerinin etkisiyle h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en petrol fiyatlar\u0131, OPEC \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 haberleri nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girmi\u015fti. Ge\u00e7en haftaya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde giren ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc $45\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\u00a0 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan API ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan EIA stok verilerinin Amerika\u2019da beklentiden fazla stok bulundu\u011funu g\u00f6stermesi nedeniyle fiyatlarda \u00e7ekilme s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Fiyatlar \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc $43,40\u2019a kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Baker Hughes taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re Amerika\u2019daki aktif petrol kuyusu say\u0131s\u0131 7. Hafta \u00fcst \u00fcste azald\u0131. Amerika\u2019daki petrol kuyusu say\u0131s\u0131 2009 seviyesi olan 328\u2019e kadar gerilerken \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 668\u2019di. Veriye g\u00f6re \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n sonuna kadar 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda kapanan kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 204 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti ve ortalama her hafta 12 kuyu kapanm\u0131\u015f oldu. \u00dcretimin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc bariz i\u015faret eden kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 verisi Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc fiyatlar\u0131n $ 46\u2019a kadar \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131nda destekleyici rol oynad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00f6n bulmas\u0131nda etkili olan haftal\u0131k haberlerden, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n pozisyon a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 verisi fiyat \u00fczerinde etkisini g\u00f6sterdi. 4 hafta sonra ilk kez yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselece\u011fi tahminiyle ba\u011flad\u0131klar\u0131 al\u0131m future ve opsiyon kontratlar\u0131n\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcler. Fiyatlardaki h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin uzun vadeli olmayaca\u011f\u0131 genel kan\u0131 olurken temellerde bir de\u011fi\u015fim s\u00f6z konusu g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Hala k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fi varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken Kanada\u2019daki orman yang\u0131n\u0131, Libya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar vb. beklenmedik \u00fcretim kesintileri arz-talep dengesinin daha h\u0131zl\u0131 olu\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara umut veriyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 milyon varil ham petrol \u00fcretimi olan Kanada\u2019da orman yang\u0131n\u0131 nedeniyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc bir\u00e7ok sahada \u00fcretim ask\u0131ya al\u0131nd\u0131. Kesintilerin cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015finde \u00f6nemli rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. Buna ra\u011fmen k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015feleriyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131 haftay\u0131 $44,61\u2019den, \u00f6nceki haftaya g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k $ 2 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kapatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kanada\u2019daki orman yang\u0131nlar\u0131, Venezuela\u2019daki kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k, kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretimindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f gibi geli\u015fmeler k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131 sorununun yaln\u0131zca Amerika k\u0131tas\u0131 \u00fclkeleri taraf\u0131ndan bile \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Petrol\u00fcn 2014, 2016 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda %70 kadar de\u011fer kaybetmesinin nedeni g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 milyon varil fazla \u00fcretimiydi. Fakat fazla arz Amerika, Kanada, Latin Amerika \u00fclkeleri ve hatta Asya \u00fclkelerinin \u00fcretimlerini azaltmalar\u0131yla h\u0131zla kayboluyor. Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere pazar pay\u0131 kazanma veya mevcut paylar\u0131n\u0131 kaybetme \u00e7ekinceleriyle Rusya, Suudi Arabistan ve \u0130ran gibi \u00fclkeler \u00fcretimlerini k\u0131smaktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yorlar ya da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz \u00fcretim kesintisi sonucunda pazar pay\u0131 kaybetmemek i\u00e7in her tepkilere direniyorlar.<\/p>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmetler, end\u00fcstri ve dan\u0131\u015fman \u015firket verilerine g\u00f6re Amerika k\u0131tas\u0131 \u00fcretimi ge\u00e7en \u00e7eyrekte g\u00fcnde 1,5 milyon varil azald\u0131. Asya ve Avustralya\u2019daki \u00fcreticiler de \u00fcretimlerini g\u00fcnde 250 bin varil azaltarak Amerika k\u0131tas\u0131 \u00fclkeleri ile birlikte k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 eritmi\u015f oldular. Mevcut durumda ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n \u00e7ekti\u011fi OPEC \u00fclkelerinin pazar pay\u0131 endi\u015feleri ve y\u00fcksek maliyetli \u00fcreticileri saf d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakmak i\u00e7in kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fcretim kesintisi politikalar\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015ft\u0131 denilebilir. Suudi Arabistan ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 12 ay boyunca s\u00fcrekli \u00fcretimini art\u0131r\u0131rken OPEC \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fcreticiler sayesinde k\u00fcresel \u00fcretim giderek azald\u0131. Tahminlere g\u00f6re 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda Amerika ve Asya \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnde 1,79 milyon varil d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olacak ve Suudilerin planlar\u0131 i\u015flemeye devam ediyor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor, tabi beklenmeyen \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 Suudi Arabistan ve Katar gibi t\u00fcketici Asya\u2019ya ihracat yapan \u00fclkelerin hedeflerine daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ula\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flar. Piyasada olu\u015fan g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc hayli ilgin\u00e7, fiyatlar\u0131 dengelemek gibi bir misyona sahip olmas\u0131 gereken OPEC\u2019in \u00fcretimini art\u0131rmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkeler \u00fcretimlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek arz-talep dengesine ve bu yolla fiyatlara katk\u0131da bulunuyorlar.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta piyasalarda izlenecek \u00f6nemli veriler:<\/p>\n

Pazartesi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Almanya fabrika sipari\u015fleri verisi,<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00c7in\u2019in \u00fcretici ve t\u00fcketici fiyat enflasyon verileri ve API\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k Amerika petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

\u00c7ar\u015famba, EIA\u2019in haftal\u0131k Amerika petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe, IEA taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanacak ayl\u0131k k\u00fcresel petrol arz ve talep \u00fczerine rapor ve Amerika i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verisi,<\/p>\n

Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanacak AB ve Almanya ilk \u00e7eyrek ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri, OPEC\u2019in yay\u0131nlayaca\u011f\u0131 ayl\u0131k petrol piyasalar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirme raporu ve Baker Hughes Amerika kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 verisi<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24 Evvelki hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan Amerikan stok verilerinin etkisiyle h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en petrol fiyatlar\u0131, OPEC \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 haberleri nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girmi\u015fti. Ge\u00e7en haftaya…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":2848,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[101,204,106,117,108,109],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,224,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,227,214,215,228,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2033],"class_list":["post-2847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-belge","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-tr","category-turkiye","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-brexit","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-katar-arabistan","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-kuveyt-urdun","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (9 May\u0131s 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-9-mayis-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (9 May\u0131s 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24 Evvelki hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan Amerikan stok verilerinin etkisiyle h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en petrol fiyatlar\u0131, OPEC \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 haberleri nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girmi\u015fti. 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