{"id":2850,"date":"2016-04-30T10:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-04-30T07:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2850"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:22","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-30-nisan-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-30-nisan-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (30 Nisan 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n
\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00d6nceki hafta olduk\u00e7a de\u011fi\u015fken fiyat hareketleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken piyasalar ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya olduk\u00e7a sakin ba\u015flad\u0131. Ham petrol Pazartesi ve Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc $42,60-$44 band\u0131nda seyrederken API ve EIA\u2019in stok verilerini beklentinin alt\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, d\u00fc\u015fen Amerika \u00fcretimini ve zay\u0131flayan Dolar\u2019\u0131n deste\u011fiyle ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc $46,50\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc OPEC \u00fcretiminin rekor seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberleri fiyat\u0131 yeniden $46\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na geriletirken ham petrol fiyat\u0131 $45,92 seviyesinde haftay\u0131 kapatt\u0131.\u00a0Haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelerinden biri d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 2. en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticisi Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n ekonomi plan\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc petrol d\u0131\u015f\u0131 gelir yaratma (2020 \u2013 2030 hedefleri) ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleme planlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Planda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan maddeler \u015f\u00f6yle \u00f6zetlenebilir:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 2020 ye kadar 1 milyon istihdam yaratmak,<\/li>\n
  • \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 11.6%\u2019dan 7%\u2019ye \u00e7ekmek,<\/li>\n
  • 5 GW yenilenebilir enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 yaratma<\/li>\n
  • Suudi Aramco\u2019nun 5% den az k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n halka arz\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek (\u015eirketin de\u011feri yakla\u015f\u0131k $2 trilyon)<\/li>\n
  • Petrol d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihracat\u0131n GSYH\u2019deki pay\u0131n\u0131 50%\u2019nin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131mak (mevcut durum 16%)<\/li>\n
  • Prensin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada \u00fclkenin petrol geliri olmasa dahi 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar dayanabilece\u011fi (Y\u00fcksek rezervler sayesinde \u0130ran kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda petrol silah\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00e7ok kullanabilece\u011finin sinyalini verdi.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Analistlerin Suudi Arabistan ekonomisinin petrole ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 4 y\u0131l kadar k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sona erdirilebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemeleri \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klama olarak alg\u0131lanabilir. Prens Muhammed bin Selman $ 3 Trilyonluk bir varl\u0131k fonu olu\u015fturarak d\u00fcnyan\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m s\u00fcper g\u00fcc\u00fc olacaklar\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyor. Suudi plan\u0131ndan Rus Yat\u0131r\u0131m Fonu ve IMF \u00f6vg\u00fcyle bahsederken Rus Yat\u0131r\u0131m Fonu yetkilileri \u00fclkenin yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ekici hale geldi\u011fini bildirdiler. Ekonomisi petrole ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n plan\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilmesi di\u011fer k\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in \u00f6rnek olmakla birlikte b\u00f6lge ekonomi temellerinde k\u00f6kl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fikliklere neden olaca\u011f\u0131 kesin.<\/p>\n

    BAE Enerji bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada OPEC\u2019in \u00fcreticilerin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyan piyasan\u0131n dengelenmesinde \u00f6nemli role sahip bir kurum oldu\u011fundan bahsetti. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz aylarda yetkinli\u011fi sorgulanan ve gereklili\u011fi ele\u015ftirilen kurum \u00f6nemli bir destek g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f oldu. Ayn\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada Abu Dhabi Ulusal Petrol \u015eirketi y\u00f6neticisi Al-Dhaheri, piyasalar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede volatil olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fakat y\u0131l\u0131n 2. yar\u0131s\u0131nda dengeyi bulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti. BAE Suudi Arabistan\u2019dan sonra en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcretim kapasitesine sahip 2. OPEC \u00fclkesi.<\/p>\n

    Kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcreticilerine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizlerle kredi sa\u011flayan bankalar\u0131n fiyatta ya\u015fanan \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmelerin ard\u0131ndan gelecekte kaya gaz\u0131 \u015firketlerine daha mesafeli olmalar\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu da d\u00fc\u015fen kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretiminin artmas\u0131 ihtimalini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken k\u0131sa vadede petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f\u0131 destekliyor. Azalan kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretiminin 1 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn seviyesinde oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

    D\u00fcnya bankas\u0131 2016 petrol fiyatlar\u0131 tahminini $41\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Gerek\u00e7e olarak piyasalardaki arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesi g\u00f6sterildi. Ocak\u2019ta yap\u0131lan tahmin $37\u2019d\u0131. OPEC \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelerin \u00fcretimlerinde beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn olmamas\u0131 ve OPEC \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelerin \u00fcretimlerini ciddi \u015fekilde art\u0131rmamalar\u0131 durumunda fiyatlar\u0131n daha da d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi de raporda bahsedildi. D\u00fcnya bankas\u0131 analistleri gibi iyimser olan bir\u00e7ok enerji analisti petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda yava\u015f fakat d\u00fczenli bir iyile\u015fme tahmin ediyorlar. Deloitte \u015firketinin tahminine g\u00f6re 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in ham petrol fiyat\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 $44, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in $55, 2022 i\u00e7in ise $80. Di\u011fer taraftan Saxo bank petrol analisti Ole Hansen piyasa temellerinin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 daha yukar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in desteklemeyece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131. Ge\u00e7en 5 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015fan fiyatlar\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fi kayg\u0131s\u0131yla piyasada kar realize etme hareketi art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

    Rusya Petrol Bakan\u0131 Novak 2 Haziran OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi \u00fcreticiler aras\u0131nda \u00fcretim dondurma g\u00fcndemiyle yeni bir toplant\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klayarak piyasada \u00fcmitlerin OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde alg\u0131 olu\u015fturmu\u015f oldu. Rusya\u2019dan gelen dikkat \u00e7ekici di\u011fer bir haberde Rusya Do\u011fal Kaynaklar Bakan\u0131 Donskoi Suriye\u2019de b\u00f6lgelerin \u00f6zg\u00fcrle\u015fmesinin hemen ard\u0131ndan Rus \u015firketlerinin petrol arama faaliyetlerine ba\u015flayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesi oldu.<\/p>\n

    Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta Libya h\u00fck\u00fcmeti rakibi Do\u011fu Libya y\u00f6netiminin ilk ham petrol kargosunun kara listeye al\u0131nmas\u0131 ve yapt\u0131r\u0131m uygulanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019ne ba\u015fvuruda bulundu. 650 Bin varil ham petrol y\u00fckl\u00fc Hindistan bayrakl\u0131 gemi hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda Malta\u2019ya do\u011fru yola \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. ABD Libya h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin talebinin me\u015fru oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klayarak deste\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Geminin BM taraf\u0131ndan kara listeye al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Libya\u2019ya geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc iddia ediliyor. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n devam etti\u011fi \u00fclke arz-talep dengesinde izlenen, \u00f6nemli role sahip \u00fclkelerden biri.<\/p>\n

    Ge\u00e7en haftaki API raporuna g\u00f6re Amerika\u2019da ham petrol, benzin ve distile stoklar\u0131n\u0131n hepsinde gerileme olurken Amerika petrol kuyular\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 da 6. Hafta \u00fcst\u00fcste d\u00fc\u015ferek Kas\u0131m 2009\u2019dan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck rakama, 332\u2019ye geriledi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 679\u2019du. Nihai t\u00fcketiciler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan olumlu etkilenirken b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u015firketleri en b\u00fcy\u00fck darbeyi al\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya petrol devlerinden Exxon son 16 y\u0131l\u0131nda en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7eyrek kar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klarken di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u015firketi Chevron $725 Milyon zarar a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

    “Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
    \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
    \u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

    TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

    TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

     <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   \u00d6nceki hafta olduk\u00e7a de\u011fi\u015fken fiyat hareketleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken piyasalar ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya olduk\u00e7a sakin ba\u015flad\u0131. Ham petrol Pazartesi ve Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc $42,60-$44 band\u0131nda…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":2834,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[101,204,106,117,108,109],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,224,212,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,227,214,215,228,201,229,203,230,116,429,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2033],"class_list":["post-2850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-belge","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-tr","category-turkiye","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-brexit","tag-dolar","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-katar-arabistan","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-kuveyt-urdun","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-petrol-fiyatlari","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (30 Nisan 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-30-nisan-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (30 Nisan 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24   \u00d6nceki hafta olduk\u00e7a de\u011fi\u015fken fiyat hareketleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken piyasalar ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya olduk\u00e7a sakin ba\u015flad\u0131. 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