{"id":2860,"date":"2016-04-05T10:02:02","date_gmt":"2016-04-05T07:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=2860"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:22","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-5-nisan-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-5-nisan-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (5 Nisan 2016)"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kemal AYDIN:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

@kemalnyc24<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n
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 <\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Petrol piyasalar\u0131nda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmesi Suudi Prensin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 oldu. Prens e\u011fer \u0130ran ve di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticiler \u00fcretimi dondurmazlarsa Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n da \u00fcretimini durdurmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Uzun s\u00fcredir piyasan\u0131n beklemi\u015f oldu\u011fu \u00fcretim dondurma plan\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe vuran bu a\u00e7\u0131klama ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Cuma sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131na neden oldu. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n da \u00fcretim dondurma plan\u0131na dahil olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 daha \u00f6nce spek\u00fcle ediliyordu; fakat her hal\u00fckarda toplant\u0131n\u0131n sonucunda anla\u015fma olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda iyimserlik hakimdi. OPEC\u2019in en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticisi Suudi Arabistan\u2019dan gelen bu a\u00e7\u0131klama iyimserlik bulutlar\u0131n\u0131 da\u011f\u0131tm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Arka planda toplant\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan iki taraf\u0131 Rusya ve Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fmas\u0131 yolunda yeni bir sorunla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131n\u0131yor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Rusya Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da birlikte stratejik ortakl\u0131\u011fa soyundu\u011fu \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretim seviyesine ula\u015fmadan anla\u015fma kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tutumuna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak politikalar\u0131nda Rusya\u2019ya itaatkar tav\u0131r sergileyen \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretim dondurma plan\u0131na dahil olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u015fa\u015f\u0131lacak bir sonu\u00e7 olmayaca\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyim.<\/p>\n

Yap\u0131lan son a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla birlikte toplant\u0131ya kat\u0131lacak OPEC \u00fcye ve \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkelerin listesinin hala belli olmamas\u0131 piyasa da \u00fcretim dondurma i\u00e7in kapsaml\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lamamas\u0131 endi\u015felerini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta Ekvator petrol bakan\u0131 Latin Amerika \u00fcreticileri aras\u0131nda \u00fcretim dondurma konusunda birlik sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in bir toplant\u0131 teklifinde bulunmak \u00fczere Kolombiya ve Meksika\u2019ya ziyaret ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek. Bu da \u00fcmitleri olumlu y\u00f6nde etkileyecek bir geli\u015fme say\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n

Yak\u0131n tarihteki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen Brent kontratlar\u0131 varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n $30\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u015eubat 11\u2019den bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k %40 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Bunda en b\u00fcy\u00fck etki Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Katar ve Venezuela\u2019yla birlikte Rusya\u2019yla \u00fcretim seviyesini Ocak seviyelerinde dondurmak konusunda di\u011fer \u00fcreticilerin kat\u0131lmalar\u0131 \u015fart\u0131yla anla\u015fmalar\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n

EIA (Amerika Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi)\u2019ne g\u00f6re ham petrol stoklar\u0131 2.3 milyon varil art\u0131\u015fla ge\u00e7en hafta rekor seviye olan 534.8 milyon varile ula\u015ft\u0131. 12 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan \u015eubat 11\u2019deki $26.05\u2019ten bu yana ham petrol, kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretiminin d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle %40 art\u0131\u015fla geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc; di\u011fer taraftan analistler piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n devam eden arz fazlas\u0131 nedeniyle zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyar\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya $40\u2019\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda ba\u015flayan ham petrol \u00fcst \u00fcste haftan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn g\u00fcnlerini kay\u0131pla kapatt\u0131. En y\u00fcksek kay\u0131p Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti ve ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131 $36.68\u2019e kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta al\u0131c\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131lar arz-talep durumunu g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in Sal\u0131 ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnleri a\u00e7\u0131klanacak stok verilerine odaklanacaklar. Bununla birlikte Baker Hughes taraf\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 da takip edilecek \u00f6nemli veriler aras\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Amerika fon y\u00f6neticilerinin al\u0131m kontratlar\u0131 say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmada yava\u015f davranmalar\u0131 $30 seviyelerine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6ylentilerini beraberinde getirdi. G\u00fcnl\u00fck arz fazlas\u0131 halihaz\u0131rda 600.000 varil olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Fon y\u00f6neticileri ve b\u00fcy\u00fck spek\u00fclat\u00f6rler ham petrolde ki al\u0131m pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 6 hafta sonra ilk kez ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcler. Bunun nedeni fiyat\u0131n 12 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 ve \u00e7ok k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede y\u00fckselmesinden kaynakl\u0131 kayg\u0131lar olabilir. Kontrat say\u0131s\u0131ndaki azalma 15.892 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda rekora yak\u0131n seviyeye ula\u015fan al\u0131m kontrat say\u0131s\u0131 b\u00f6ylece yeniden d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan di\u011fer haberlerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda;<\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019de bulunan distile stoklar\u0131 4 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde. Ayl\u0131k bazda rafine \u00fcr\u00fcn stok miktar\u0131 %17.3 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Nijerya durumu k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen rafinerilerini yenilemek i\u00e7in Chevron, Total ve ENI ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yap\u0131yor. Mevcut durumda \u00fclke \u00e7ap\u0131nda kullan\u0131c\u0131lar petrol tedari\u011finde sorun ya\u015f\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n

IEA (Uluslar aras\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131) ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Birol \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kalkmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Bir y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde piyasaya g\u00fcnl\u00fck 500.000 varil petrol ekleyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Amerika\u2019daki petrol ve do\u011falgaz \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131m\u0131 yap\u0131lan kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 \u00a0\u00fcst\u00fcste 15. Haftada da azald\u0131. Mevcut say\u0131yla en az 1940 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki seviyeye kadar geriledi. Kuyu say\u0131s\u0131 14 adet daha azalarak toplam say\u0131y\u0131 450 indirdi. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde say\u0131 1028\u2019di. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta kapanan petrol kuyusu say\u0131s\u0131 10 olurken rakam 362\u2019ye geriledi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
“Yay\u0131nlanan haber ve yaz\u0131lar\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131 TESPAM’a aittir.<\/strong>\u00a0Tekrar yay\u0131nlanmas\u0131 halinde kaynak g\u00f6sterilerek bu sayfaya aktif ba\u011flant\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 zorunludur.”<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki enerji politikalar\u0131 odakl\u0131 ilk ve tek sivil yap\u0131lanma\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n
\u201cEnerji politikalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda g\u00fcndemi uzaktan takip etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir T\u00fcrkiye yerine, g\u00fcndem belirleyen bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ula\u015fma idealiyle\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/h5>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TESPAM-T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Politikalar\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi<\/p>\n

TESPAM, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Derne\u011finin Bir Kurulu\u015fudur<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24       Petrol piyasalar\u0131nda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmesi Suudi Prensin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 oldu. Prens e\u011fer \u0130ran ve di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticiler \u00fcretimi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[258,101,322,204,106,177,131,117,135,108,109],"tags":[187,221,191,222,192,223,210,211,224,212,232,225,103,197,198,199,226,213,227,214,215,228,201,229,203,230,116,216,134,231,205,217,206,119,120,207,110],"ppma_author":[2033],"class_list":["post-2860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-avrupa","category-belge","category-cin","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari","category-kose-yazilari","category-abd","category-orta-dogu","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-rusya","category-tr","category-turkiye","tag-abd","tag-amb","tag-arabistan","tag-avrupa","tag-baker-hughes","tag-boj","tag-borsa","tag-bp","tag-brexit","tag-dolar","tag-eia","tag-elektirk","tag-enerji","tag-fed","tag-gas","tag-hedge","tag-iea","tag-irak","tag-katar-arabistan","tag-kemal-aydin","tag-kriz","tag-kuveyt-urdun","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-oil","tag-opec","tag-ortadogu","tag-petrol","tag-piyasa","tag-rusya","tag-sermaye","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-shell","tag-suudi-arabistan","tag-tespam","tag-turkiye","tag-uea","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"\nPetrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (5 Nisan 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-5-nisan-2016\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (5 Nisan 2016) - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kemal AYDIN: TESPAM Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Uzman\u0131 kemalaydin@tespam.org\/tr @kemalnyc24       Petrol piyasalar\u0131nda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmesi Suudi Prensin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 oldu. 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