{"id":4051,"date":"2016-08-18T15:17:05","date_gmt":"2016-08-18T12:17:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=4051"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:21","slug":"turk-akimina-ortak-olalim-mi-nasil-ve-neler-yapilabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/turk-akimina-ortak-olalim-mi-nasil-ve-neler-yapilabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131na Ortak Olal\u0131m m\u0131? Nas\u0131l ve Neler Yap\u0131labilir"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
U\u00e7ak krizi sonras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ile Rusya aras\u0131nda bozulan ili\u015fkilerin neticesinde rafa kald\u0131r\u0131lan, hatta tekrar rakibi olan G\u00fcney Ak\u0131m\u0131 Projesinin revize edilmi\u015f haline d\u00f6n\u00fclme ihtimalleri de\u011ferlendirilmeye ba\u015flan\u0131lan, T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 Gaz Boru Hatt\u0131 Projesi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin att\u0131\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar neticesinde ili\u015fkilerin tekrar normale d\u00f6nmesinden sonra yeniden g\u00fcndeme oturdu.<\/span><\/h5>\n<\/blockquote>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n art\u0131k in\u015fas\u0131 konusunda hem fikir oldu\u011fu ve 4 fazdan olu\u015fan T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 Boru Hatt\u0131 Projesi\u2019nin bundan sonra hangi faz\u0131n\u0131n ne zaman in\u015fa edilece\u011fi, T\u00fcrkiye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na kadar getirilecek Rus gaz\u0131n\u0131n hangi \u00fclkelere \u2013 hangi hacimlerle \u2013 hangi \u015fartlarla \u2013 hangi ek in\u015fa edilecek\/mevcut olan boru hatlar\u0131 ile sat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131, AB\u2019nin bu noktada tutumunun ne olaca\u011f\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uzla\u015f\u0131lan bu anla\u015fma kapsam\u0131nda ne talepleri olaca\u011f\u0131 gibi konular de\u011ferlendirilecektir.<\/p>\n

Beklenildi\u011fi \u00fczere projenin ilk a\u015famas\u0131 olan 16 milyar m3\/y\u0131l\u2019l\u0131k hacim ilk olarak in\u015fa edilerek devreye al\u0131nacak ve bu hat \u00fczerinden Bat\u0131 Hatt\u0131ndan temin etti\u011fi 4 milyar m3\/y\u0131l\u2019l\u0131k hacim T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye sat\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Kalan 12 milyar m3\/y\u0131l hacmindeki gaz ise di\u011fer Balkan yada G\u00fcney Avrupa al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda payla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lacakt\u0131r. (Buna ek olarak belki baz\u0131 T\u00fcrk gaz ticareti olan \u00f6zel \u015firketler de Gazprom ile gaz al\u0131m anla\u015fmas\u0131 yapabilecektir.)<\/p>\n

\u015eu an itibari ile Avrupa\u2019da hangi \u00fclkelerin, hangi nakil hatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden, hangi \u015fartlarda ve hangi hacimde gaz sat\u0131n alaca\u011f\u0131 belirsizdir. Fakat bu belirsizli\u011fin boru hatt\u0131 in\u015fas\u0131 tamamlanana kadar giderilece\u011fi tahmin edilmektedir.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte projenin tekrar hayata ge\u00e7ece\u011fi g\u00fcndeme geldi\u011finden beri baz\u0131 uzmanlar taraf\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7i\u015fine izin vermesi kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde yer alan 180 km\u2019lik kara k\u0131sm\u0131na T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131n ve i\u015fletmesinin de kendisi taraf\u0131ndan yapmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekli oldu\u011fu ifade edilmektedir.<\/p>\n

Acaba bu \u00f6neri ger\u00e7ekten T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin m\u00fczakere etmesi gereken \u00f6nemli bir husus mudur?<\/p>\n

Bu soruyu maddeler halinde de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimizde;<\/p>\n

    \n
  • M\u00fczakere yap\u0131larak, T\u00fcrkiye kendi kara sahas\u0131nda kalan 180 km\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131n sahipli\u011fini ve i\u015fletmesini kendi \u00fczerine alsa (Muhtemelen BOTA\u015e \u00fczerine):\n
      \n
    • Ba\u015fl\u0131ca olumlu y\u00f6nleri:\n
        \n
      • Uluslararas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir projenin orta\u011f\u0131 olunarak, operat\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yap\u0131lacak ve tecr\u00fcbe kazan\u0131lacak.<\/li>\n
      • Nakliyat s\u00fcre\u00e7leri hususunda en ince detaylara kadar bilgi sahibi olunacak.<\/li>\n
      • Ta\u015f\u0131n\u0131lan Rus gaz\u0131n\u0131n nakliyat\u0131 s\u00fcresince gaz\u0131n sahibi olan (muhtemelen Gazprom) \u015firketten 1000 m3 gaz ba\u015f\u0131na tarife \u00fccreti al\u0131narak para kazan\u0131lacak.<\/li>\n
      • T\u00fcrkiye nakil hatt\u0131n sahipli\u011fini hem Rusya\u2019ya hem de Avrupa\u2019l\u0131 m\u00fc\u015fterilerine kar\u015f\u0131, gaz nakliyat\u0131nda teknik olarak kabul edilebilir bilin\u00e7li aksamalar neticesinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak zarar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamay\u0131 g\u00f6ze alarak, siyasi arg\u00fcman olarak kullanabilir. (Bu madde olumlu gibi g\u00f6r\u00fclse de, kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 zor ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r olabilir.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n
      • Ba\u015fl\u0131ca olumsuz y\u00f6nleri:\n
          \n
        • Projenin ilk safhas\u0131n\u0131n (sadece T\u00fcrkiye kara sahas\u0131nda kalan 180 km\u2019lik 42\u2019\u2019lik hat i\u00e7in) in\u015fas\u0131 i\u00e7in tahmini 1,7 milyar $ civar\u0131nda bir yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131lacak. Bu yat\u0131r\u0131m 4 faz\u0131n da in\u015fa edilece\u011fi varsay\u0131l\u0131r ise 6 milyar $\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/li>\n
        • Avrupa ile anla\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131, gaz sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n istenildi\u011fi \u015fekilde yap\u0131lmamas\u0131, bo\u015f kapasite ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 risklerine kar\u015f\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n geri al\u0131nmas\u0131 ve zarar edilmesi riski ta\u015f\u0131nacak.<\/li>\n
        • Hatt\u0131n i\u015fletilmesi s\u00fcresince meydana gelecek ve gaz naklini etkileyecek bir aksakl\u0131k sebebi gaz ticaretindeki kesintelerin neden oldu\u011fu zarar telafi edilmek zorunda kal\u0131nacak.<\/li>\n
        • Rusya ile bu husus yerinde daha karl\u0131 olabilecek ba\u015fka hususlarda m\u00fczakereler yapabilme imkan\u0131 varken, imkanlar bu y\u00f6nde de\u011ferlendirilecek.<\/li>\n
        • \u0130\u015fletme s\u00fcresince ya\u015fanabilecek teknik aksakl\u0131klarda dahi Avrupa\u2019l\u0131 m\u00fc\u015fterilerden siyasi bask\u0131lar ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olabilecek.<\/li>\n
        • \u0130\u015fletilmesi hususunda imzalanacak anla\u015fmalarda yap\u0131labilecek olas\u0131 hatalar neticesinde projeden zarar edilebilecek.<\/li>\n
        • Bir yabanc\u0131 \u015firketin i\u015fletmesi durumunda, yabanc\u0131lardan elde edilmi\u015f olan gelir vergisi (\u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir mebla\u011f olmasa da) elde edilemeyecek.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          Olumlu ve olumsuz y\u00f6nleri incelendi\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere, yap\u0131lacak tercih karl\u0131 ve etkili bir projeye de d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilecek, zarar edilen bir projeye de d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilecektir.<\/p>\n

          Ayr\u0131ca as\u0131l zor ve maliyetli olan 910 km deniz hatt\u0131ndan sonra 180 km\u2019lik kara hatt\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm haklar\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fletmesini T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye b\u0131rakma konusunu Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kabul etmemesi muhtemeldir.<\/p>\n

          Bununla da birlikte, bu hususun hedef de\u011fil, sadece pazarl\u0131k arg\u00fcman\u0131 olarak dillendirilmesi daha ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i, az riskli bir tutum olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecektir.<\/p>\n

          Uluslararas\u0131 gaz nakil projelerinde, as\u0131l kontrol\u00fc elinde bulunduran ve kar sa\u011flayan taraf genellikle \u00fcretici ve gaz\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yapan taraft\u0131r. Yani T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de pazarl\u0131k yapabilece\u011fi husus belki T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hepsine belli bir y\u00fczde ile ortak olarak, Rusya\u2019da baz\u0131 \u00fcretim veya geli\u015ftirme sahalar\u0131na da ortak olarak girmek olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

          Bu sayede hem sat\u0131c\u0131, hem de nakliyat\u00e7\u0131 taraf\u0131nda yer al\u0131nabilecektir.<\/p>\n

          Aksi halde \u201ckar\u0131 el edecek, riski biz alaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d durumuna d\u00fc\u015fmek hi\u00e7 de mant\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir.8<\/p>\n

          Bunlar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda di\u011fer bir opsiyon da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin boru hatt\u0131ndan uzun vadede kendi yapaca\u011f\u0131 gaz ticaretleri i\u00e7in uygun fiyatl\u0131 kapasite s\u00f6z\u00fc almas\u0131 olabilir. Yani bu sayede BOTA\u015e, \u00f6rne\u011fin Rusya yada Kazakistan\u2019dan uygun fiyata gaz sat\u0131n al\u0131p, onu eski Rus gaz sisteminden T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019na kadar getirip, T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019ndan da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yada Avrupa\u2019da satabilme imkan\u0131 bulabilir. Bu se\u00e7enek de de\u011ferlendirme i\u00e7in uygundur.<\/p>\n

          \u00d6zetle:<\/p>\n

            \n
          • Karl\u0131, mant\u0131kl\u0131 ve kabul edilebilir olmayan T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrk kara sahas\u0131 i\u00e7inde kalan k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletmesini ve sahipli\u011fini almak yerine ba\u015fka se\u00e7enekler \u00fczerinde m\u00fczakereler yap\u0131labilir.<\/li>\n
          • \u00d6rne\u011fin,\n
              \n
            • T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019na gaz sa\u011flayabilecek baz\u0131 \u00fcretim yada geli\u015ftirme sahalar\u0131na ortak olunmas\u0131 teklif edilebilir.<\/li>\n
            • T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019ndan her safhas\u0131 i\u00e7in belli hacimlerde uygun fiyatl\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131ma kapasitesi talep edilerek, gaz ticareti se\u00e7ene\u011fi de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/li>\n
            • \u015eayet bu iki se\u00e7enekden bir tanesi elde edilebilirse, risk al\u0131narak, T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n tamam\u0131na belli bir y\u00fczde ile ortak olunabilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              O\u011fuzhan AKYENER<\/span><\/p>\n

              TESPAM Ba\u015fkan\u0131<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

              U\u00e7ak krizi sonras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ile Rusya aras\u0131nda bozulan ili\u015fkilerin neticesinde rafa kald\u0131r\u0131lan, hatta tekrar rakibi olan G\u00fcney Ak\u0131m\u0131 Projesinin revize edilmi\u015f haline d\u00f6n\u00fclme ihtimalleri de\u011ferlendirilmeye ba\u015flan\u0131lan,\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":4052,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[258,106,117,135,108,109],"tags":[271,196,288,114,229,116,134,238,316,119,138,273,120,277],"ppma_author":[2017],"class_list":["post-4051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-avrupa","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-rusya","category-tr","category-turkiye","tag-botas","tag-enerji-politkalari","tag-kazakistan","tag-oguzhan-akyener","tag-oil","tag-petrol","tag-rusya","tag-sivil-toplum","tag-strateji","tag-tespam","tag-tespam-enerji","tag-turk-akimi","tag-turkiye","tag-ucak-krizi"],"yoast_head":"\nT\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131na Ortak Olal\u0131m m\u0131? Nas\u0131l ve Neler Yap\u0131labilir - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/turk-akimina-ortak-olalim-mi-nasil-ve-neler-yapilabilir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131na Ortak Olal\u0131m m\u0131? 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