{"id":4675,"date":"2017-04-12T09:55:57","date_gmt":"2017-04-12T06:55:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=4675"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:17","slug":"dunya-lng-dengeleri-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/dunya-lng-dengeleri-1\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnya LNG Dengeleri-1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>H\u0131zla artan ve yayg\u0131nla\u015fan t\u00fcketimi ile do\u011falgaz, en \u00f6nemli enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olma yolunda ilerlemeye devam etmektedir. Bu ilerleyi\u015f do\u011falgaz\u0131n k\u00fcresel piyasalar i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. Di\u011fer hidrokarbon kaynaklara k\u0131yasla temiz olu\u015fu, kullan\u0131m kolayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi etkenler do\u011falgaz\u0131n avantajlar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmekle birlikte, depolama ve nakil konular\u0131ndaki, \u00fcretimi dahi etkileyen zorluklar\u0131 ise dezavantajlar\u0131 gibi alg\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere do\u011falgaz \u00fcreticiden t\u00fcketiceye, ya in\u015fa edilecek bir boru hatt\u0131 vesilesi ile gaz faz\u0131 korunarak, ya da bir LNG tesisinde s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131l\u0131p, sonra tekrar gazla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak iletilmektedir. Boru hatt\u0131 ile ta\u015f\u0131ma yerine g\u00f6re daha ekonomik olmak ile birlikte, \u00e7ok uzun mesafeler, g\u00fcvenlik ko\u015fullar\u0131, siyasi konular gibi kriterler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda uygulanamaz olabilmektedir. Ayr\u0131ca bir boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131labilmesi i\u00e7in al\u0131c\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131lar aras\u0131nda da uzun d\u00f6nemli ve ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gere\u011fi, \u00e7ift tarafl\u0131 arz-talep riskleri olu\u015fmas\u0131na sebep olmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu genel tespitlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra da, b\u00fct\u00fcn ke\u015ffedilen gaz kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n da ekonomik olarak s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak, d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131na sat\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir. G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n ke\u015ffini vaat etti\u011fi Afrodit sahas\u0131 buna bir \u00f6rnektir.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat d\u00fcnyada \u00f6zellikle Asya\u2019da artan do\u011falgaz talebinin kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in, boru hatt\u0131 ticaretinden ziyade LNG ticaretinin h\u0131zla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. \u0130n\u015fa halindeki ya da planlanan LNG tesisleri, y\u00fczer LNG gemi sipari\u015fleri bunun en a\u015fikar kan\u0131t\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Tabii bu konuyu desteklemek i\u00e7in baz\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar neticesinde haz\u0131rlanan tahmin senaryolar\u0131n\u0131 da incelemek gereklidir. Bu kapsamda, Exxon Mobile taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan, \u201c2017 Outlook For Energy\u201d isimli raporda yer alan baz\u0131 grafiklere a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da yer verilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-4676\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/lng1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"725\" height=\"462\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Grafik 1: Avrupa &amp; Asya Gaz Talep Projeksiyonlar\u0131 2040 (Not: Soldaki grafik Avrupa, Sa\u011fdaki Grafik Asya\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcnl\u00fck T\u00fcketimini G\u00f6stermektedir.) (Kaynak: EXXON MOBILE)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131daki grafiklerden de g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>G\u00fcnl\u00fck Avrupa gaz t\u00fcketimi \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6stermeyecektir.<\/li>\n<li>Sadece Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7 \u00fcretimi azalaca\u011f\u0131ndan, olu\u015fan fark \u00e7o\u011funlukla LNG ithalat\u0131 ile kapat\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Not: Bu grafi\u011fin Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 \u00fcretece\u011fi LNG i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir pazar olarak g\u00f6ren ABD\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen bir \u015firket taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131n\u0131rsa, baz\u0131 \u00f6n yarg\u0131lar\u0131 ihtiva edece\u011fi varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 yap\u0131labilecektir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n artacak ithalat\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in, boru hatt\u0131 ile al\u0131nacak Rus gaz\u0131, LNG olarak gelecek ABD gaz\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha ekonomik bir se\u00e7enek olacakt\u0131r. Fakat yine de Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n da LNG ithalat\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f beklenmektedir.<\/li>\n<li>Asya\u2019n\u0131n ise gaz t\u00fcketimi 2040\u2019larda neredeyse bug\u00fcnk\u00fc de\u011ferlerin iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Bu fark da \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde LNG ile kar\u015f\u0131lanacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Yani d\u00fcnya LNG \u00fcreticileri i\u00e7in en \u00f6nemli market Asya olacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 kaynakta yer alan \u00fcreticiler ile ilgili bir projeksiyon incelendi\u011finde ise:<\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-4677 \" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/lng2.jpg\" width=\"622\" height=\"612\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Grafik 2: D\u00fcnya LNG \u0130hracatlar\u0131 (Kaynak: EXXON MOBILE)<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>En b\u00fcy\u00fck etki pazara sonradan giren ABD kaynakl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Hatta Kuzey Amerika 2040 y\u0131l\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck LNG ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 b\u00f6lge olacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Asya-Pasifik ve Afrika\u2019da da LNG ihracat\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli at\u0131l\u0131mlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecektir.<\/li>\n<li>Rusya ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ise kademeli art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlemlenecektir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bu tespitlerden de anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, ABD, Kanada ve hatta Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde yer alan Avustralya gibi Bat\u0131 Blo\u011fu i\u00e7erisinde yer alan \u00fclkeler LNG ticaretinin tedarik\u00e7i taraf\u0131ndaki en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oyuncular olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Market taraf\u0131nda da \u00c7in, Hindistan gibi Asya \u00fclkeleri de LNG dengelerinin di\u011fer y\u00fcz\u00fcndeki en \u00f6nemli oyuncular olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Peki k\u00fcresel bir\u00e7ok dengede rekabet i\u00e7inde olan \u00c7in, bu senaryolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda neler planlamaktad\u0131r?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; H\u0131zla artan ve yayg\u0131nla\u015fan t\u00fcketimi ile do\u011falgaz, en \u00f6nemli enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olma yolunda ilerlemeye devam etmektedir. Bu ilerleyi\u015f do\u011falgaz\u0131n k\u00fcresel piyasalar i\u00e7in ne kadar\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":4678,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[541,542,543,114,544],"ppma_author":[2017],"class_list":["post-4675","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-asya-pasifik-ve-afrikalng","tag-avrupa-lng-tuketimi","tag-lng-dengeleri","tag-oguzhan-akyener","tag-tespam-lng"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>D\u00fcnya LNG Dengeleri-1 - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/dunya-lng-dengeleri-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"D\u00fcnya LNG Dengeleri-1 - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; &nbsp; H\u0131zla artan ve yayg\u0131nla\u015fan t\u00fcketimi ile do\u011falgaz, en \u00f6nemli enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olma yolunda ilerlemeye devam etmektedir. 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