{"id":4680,"date":"2017-04-13T09:55:57","date_gmt":"2017-04-13T06:55:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=4680"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:17","slug":"dunya-lng-dengeleri-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/dunya-lng-dengeleri-2\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnya LNG Dengeleri-2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>D\u00dcNYA LNG DENGELER\u0130 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>O\u011fuzhan AKYENER<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Mevcut sistemde uzun d\u00f6nemli LNG anla\u015fmalar\u0131; boru hatt\u0131 anla\u015fmalar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi, al ya da \u00f6de tarz\u0131nda, belli bir d\u00f6nemi kapsayan, belli bir fiyat\u0131n form\u00fclize edildi\u011fi (piyasa fiyat\u0131 ya da petrol fiyatlar\u0131 endeksli) kontratlard\u0131r. Bu kontratlarda talebi ne olursa olsun, t\u00fcketici s\u00f6z verdi\u011fi hacmi sat\u0131n almak zorundad\u0131r. \u0130lgili d\u00f6nemdeki talebin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131 ve depolama imkan\u0131 da bulunmamas\u0131 durumunda, anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 hacmi almasa da, paras\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6demek zorundad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca anla\u015fma gere\u011fi bu fazla k\u0131sm\u0131 da ba\u015fka bir pazara satabilme hakk\u0131 bulunmamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum haliyle LNG ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ellerini ba\u011flamaktad\u0131r. Bu sebeple LNG piyasalar\u0131nda;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ortalama kontrat periyodunun azalt\u0131lmas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>kontrata ba\u011flanan hacimlerin minimum talep seviyelerde tutularak, bu seviyenin \u00fcst\u00fcndeki taleplerin \u00fcreticilerden de\u011filde, spot piyasalarda faaliyet g\u00f6steren arac\u0131lardan sa\u011flanma yoluna gidilmesi,<\/li>\n<li>petrol fiyat\u0131 endeksli de\u011fil de, piyasa fiyat\u0131 endeksli anla\u015fmalar\u0131n tercih edilmesi,<\/li>\n<li>olu\u015fturulan piyasalarda \u015feffafl\u0131\u011f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ile piyasalar aras\u0131 etkile\u015fimden faydalan\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi konularda e\u011filimler ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Shell taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan 2017 LNG Outlook isimli raporda yer alan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik de bu e\u011filimlerin daha net anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><em><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4682\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/lng3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"838\" height=\"465\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Grafik1: (Soldaki) D\u00fcnya Ortalama LNG Kontrat Periyodu, (Sa\u011fdaki) D\u00fcnya Ortalama Kontrat Hacimleri (Kaynak: Shell 2017 LNG Outlook)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, k\u00fcresel LNG piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ellerinde bulunduraca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen Bat\u0131 Blo\u011fu\u2019nun durumu da, en b\u00fcy\u00fck LNG t\u00fcketicisi olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomi de olacak olan \u00c7in\u2019i rahats\u0131z etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Yani \u00c7in hem piyasa fiyatlar\u0131 hem de olas\u0131 yeni kontratlar ile ABD ve ona ba\u011fl\u0131 say\u0131labilecek Kanada gibi \u00fcreticiler taraf\u0131ndan k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131labilecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda etkinli\u011fini ve m\u00fcdehale kabiliyetini artt\u0131rmak i\u00e7in, \u00c7in \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde LNG \u0130thalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 Birli\u011fi kurma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu kapsamda Mart ay\u0131 ortas\u0131nda, \u00c7in, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019li \u015firketler aras\u0131nda bir iyi niyet anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu birlikteli\u011fe Tayvan ve Hindistan\u2019\u0131n da en k\u0131sa zamanda kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>OPEC benzeri bir yap\u0131lanma olmas\u0131 hedeflenen bu birlik, b\u00fcy\u00fck LNG ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 bir araya getirerek, piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n (fiyat ve anla\u015fmalar\u0131n), (OPEC\u2019in aksine) t\u00fcketicilerde olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in faaliyet g\u00f6sterecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Aksi halde ilgili b\u00fcy\u00fck t\u00fcketicilerin, \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda taleplerini kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in rekabete girmesi LNG fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131yabilecek ve ilgili \u00fclke ekonomileri i\u00e7in yeni riskler te\u015fkil edilmesi anlam\u0131na gelecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu birliktelik sayesinde ise hem t\u00fcketici lehine fiyatlarda kontrol mekanizmas\u0131 olu\u015fturulabilece\u011fi, hem de olu\u015fturulabilecek bask\u0131lar sayesinde daha esnek bir kontrat sistemine ge\u00e7ilebilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Olu\u015fturulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan bu birliktelik, hem bir LNG ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 hasebiyle, hem de \u015eanghay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc Enerji Kul\u00fcb\u00fc D\u00f6nem Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olmas\u0131 sebebi ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de ilgilendirmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Yani, bu de\u011fi\u015fimlerin de dikkatle analiz edilerek, i\u00e7erisinde yer almak lehimize olabilecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00dcNYA LNG DENGELER\u0130 2 O\u011fuzhan AKYENER &nbsp; Mevcut sistemde uzun d\u00f6nemli LNG anla\u015fmalar\u0131; boru hatt\u0131 anla\u015fmalar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi, al ya da \u00f6de tarz\u0131nda, belli bir d\u00f6nemi\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":4686,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[541,542,543,114,544],"ppma_author":[2017],"class_list":["post-4680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-asya-pasifik-ve-afrikalng","tag-avrupa-lng-tuketimi","tag-lng-dengeleri","tag-oguzhan-akyener","tag-tespam-lng"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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