{"id":5000,"date":"2017-05-19T23:50:31","date_gmt":"2017-05-19T20:50:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=5000"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:16","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:16","slug":"akdenizde-onemli-bir-oyuncu-eni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/akdenizde-onemli-bir-oyuncu-eni\/","title":{"rendered":"Akdeniz&#039;de \u00d6nemli Bir Oyuncu: ENI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #008080;\">\u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnyaca \u00fcnl\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol &amp; gaz \u015firketi olan ENI, Akdeniz b\u00f6lgesinde Cezayir\u2019den Libya\u2019ya, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019dan G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a, hatta Girit\u2019ten Yunanistan\u2019a kadar geni\u015f bir co\u011frafyada faaliyetlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir. \u00d6zellikle M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da ke\u015ffetti\u011fi Zohr sahas\u0131 ile b\u00fcy\u00fck oyuncular\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na ve b\u00f6lgeye \u00e7ekmeyi ba\u015farm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Mevcut \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na ek olarak, son d\u00f6nemlerde G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n d\u00fczenlemi\u015f oldu\u011fu illegal 3. Arama Ruhsat\u0131 ihalesinde 6, 8 ve 10 numaral\u0131 ruhsatlar\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnde de yer alan ENI, G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki arama rushatlar\u0131 ihalesinde de etkin olmay\u0131 hedeflemektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Peki ENI\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki gaz denklemleri ile ilgili kamu oyuna duyurdu\u011fu ne gibi planlar\u0131 vard\u0131r?<\/p>\n<p>ENI:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>K\u0131br\u0131s ile ilgili:\n<ul>\n<li>K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n hidrokarbon potansiyelinden \u00f6te b\u00f6lgesel gaz denklemlerinde, co\u011frafi konumu, AB \u00fcyesi olmas\u0131 ve finansal piyasalar i\u00e7in uygun altyap\u0131ya sahip olmas\u0131 nedeni ile \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedir.<\/li>\n<li>Ayr\u0131ca Zohr sahas\u0131n\u0131n ke\u015ffi neticesinde kendisinin de m\u00fcdahil oldu\u011fu ruhsat alanlar\u0131nda pontasiyel bir ke\u015fif yap\u0131labilece\u011fini tahmin etmektedir.<\/li>\n<li>Hatta konumu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda (M\u0131s\u0131r, \u0130srail, L\u00fcbnan ve K\u0131br\u0131s potansiyeli\/kaynaklar\u0131 ile T\u00fcrkiye ve Avrupa gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck marketlerin aras\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131 sebebi ile) buran\u0131n bir gaz transit merkezi olma ihtimalinin de s\u00f6z konusu olabilece\u011fini dillendirmektedir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>M\u0131s\u0131r ile ilgili:\n<ul>\n<li>Zohr sahas\u0131n\u0131n ke\u015ffinin b\u00fct\u00fcn b\u00f6lgeye bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi,<\/li>\n<li>M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgede \u00f6nemli bir gaz merkezi olabilece\u011fi,<\/li>\n<li>Bu kapsamda M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n yeni ke\u015ffilerinden gelecek \u00fcretimin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, K\u0131br\u0131s, \u0130srail ve siyasi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc sonras\u0131nda in\u015fa edilecek yeni hatlar ile Libya\u2019da \u00fcretilecek gaz kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n da M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019daki (ya da M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da yeni yap\u0131labilecek) LNG tesisleri ile m\u00fc\u015fterilere sunulabilece\u011fini ifade etmektedir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Hatta bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u015firket yetkililerinin K\u0131br\u0131s ile ilgili s\u00f6ylemlerinden yola \u00e7\u0131karak, baz\u0131 uzmanlar, ENI\u2019nin K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019taki arama ruhsatlar\u0131nda da gaz bulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, L\u00fcbnan\u2019da da ruhsatlar alarak, gaz ke\u015fifleri yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, akabinde L\u00fcbnan, K\u0131br\u0131s ve hatta M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019daki gaz \u00fcretimlerini dahi K\u0131br\u0131s a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda kuraca\u011f\u0131 bir y\u00fczer LNG tesisine y\u00f6nlendirerek sataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri analiz edersek:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n co\u011frafi konumunun \u00f6nemi a\u015fikard\u0131r. Fakat K\u0131br\u0131s tamam\u0131 ile AB\u2019nin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 de\u011fildir. B\u00f6ylesi \u00f6nemli bir kara par\u00e7as\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin vazge\u00e7mesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir. Ada taraflar\u0131 aras\u0131nda deniz alanlar\u0131 konusunda anla\u015fma sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fildir.<\/li>\n<li>Zohr sahas\u0131n\u0131n ke\u015ffi neticesinde dahil oldu\u011fu s\u00f6zde G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a ait olan, asl\u0131nda belli k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131 ile resmen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ve belli k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131 ile de Kuzey K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a ait olan alanlarda ke\u015fif yap\u0131labilse dahi \u00fcretime ge\u00e7ilecek hamleler yapmak, bu hamleler i\u00e7in gerekli finansman\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ra\u011fmen riske atmak pek de uygulanabilir g\u00f6z\u00fckmemektedir. Kald\u0131 ki, bu t\u00fcr yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, mevcut kamuya a\u00e7\u0131k sismik haritalar da ilgili b\u00f6lgelerin potansiyelinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/li>\n<li>K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n bir gaz transit merkezi olaca\u011f\u0131 konusuna gelince:\n<ul>\n<li>\u00d6ncelikle hem K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a hem M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a bu niteli\u011fi y\u00fcklemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak, siyasi bir yakla\u015f\u0131m gibi alg\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>\u0130kinci olarak, K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019ta toplanacak gaz EastMed gibi ekonomik olarak tutarl\u0131 olmayan ve hayata ge\u00e7emeyece\u011fi i\u00e7in hayal stat\u00fcs\u00fcnde olan boru hatlar\u0131 ile Avrupa\u2019ya gidemez. Demek ki K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019tan olas\u0131 bir sevkiyat ya T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden yap\u0131lacak, ya da LNG olarak sa\u011flanabilecektir.<\/li>\n<li>T\u00fcrkiye kendine ve Kuzey K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a ait olan deniz alanlar\u0131 ihlal edilirken, b\u00f6yle bir hamleye kesinlikle izin vermeyecektir.<\/li>\n<li>LNG olarak ise, ne M\u0131s\u0131r, ne L\u00fcbnan, ne \u0130srail gaz\u0131n\u0131 kendilerine uzak olan K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a nakledip, tekrar LNG\u2019ye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcp satmak istemeyecektir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, yeni hatlar in\u015fa ederek gaz\u0131 K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a sevk etmek yerine, kendi b\u00f6lgelerinde LNG tesisi kurarak direk satmak daha mant\u0131kl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Ayr\u0131ca \u0130srail\u2019de de, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc boyutta ihra\u00e7 potansiyeli bulunmamaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da ise hali haz\u0131rda neredeyse gelecek b\u00fct\u00fcn ihra\u00e7 potansiyeli kar\u015f\u0131layacak, at\u0131l duran LNG tesisleri bulunmaktad\u0131r. Demek ki, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n da gaz\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015fka \u00fclkelere ihra\u00e7 etmek i\u00e7in g\u00f6ndermek gibi bir niyeti olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n Zohr sahas\u0131 ile ilgili yorumlara gelince; Zohr sahas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lgeye ve ilgili havzan\u0131n kuzey u\u00e7lar\u0131na dair mevcut yorumlar\u0131 ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi do\u011frudur.<\/li>\n<li>M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n bir gaz ticaret merkezi olmas\u0131 konusu ise, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n 2020 \u2013 2035 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki ihra\u00e7 potansiyeli incelendi\u011finde (Bknz: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.energypolicyturkey.com\/egypt-gas-export-potential-up-to-2050-regional-gas-policies\/\">http:\/\/www.energypolicyturkey.com\/egypt-gas-export-potential-up-to-2050-regional-gas-policies\/<\/a>) sadece 20 milyar m3\/y\u0131ll\u0131k bir LNG ihracat kapasitesi o kadar da b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fclecek bir husus de\u011fildir.<\/li>\n<li>K\u0131br\u0131s, \u0130srail ve Libya gazlar\u0131n\u0131n da M\u0131s\u0131r \u00fczerinden ihrac\u0131na gelince:\n<ul>\n<li>M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n mevcut LNG tesislerinin, kendi ihracat\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in 2033\u2019l\u00fc y\u0131llara kadar dolu oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcr ise, bu se\u00e7ene\u011fin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da yeni LNG tesisleri kurmak gerekecektir.<\/li>\n<li>Fakat hem K\u0131br\u0131s hem de \u0130srail\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihra\u00e7 potansiyeli, Libya\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu kaotik durum ve \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkenin de M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da yap\u0131lacak yeni bir tesise de\u011fil de, kendi b\u00fcnyelerinde kurulacak ve bu sayede M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a kadar olacak sevkiyat\u0131n maliyeti ve risklerini ta\u015f\u0131mayacak bir tesise daha s\u0131cak bakacaklar\u0131 tahmin edilebilecektir. Bu durumda M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n da ilgili gaz kaynaklar\u0131 nezdinde bir gaz transit \u00fclkesi olmas\u0131 konumu \u00e7ok da olas\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fckmemektedir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Son olarak, K\u0131br\u0131s a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda bir y\u00fczer LNG tesisi ve b\u00f6lgedeki t\u00fcm gazlar\u0131n buraya ba\u011flanmas\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na gelince; bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n, ekonomik, siyasi, teknik olarak ne kadar tutars\u0131z oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klamaya dahi gerek yoktur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bahsedildi\u011fi gibi ENI\u2019nin K\u0131br\u0131s ya da L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki ke\u015fifleri i\u00e7in bir tahminde bulunmak i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz \u00e7ok erkendir.<\/li>\n<li>Zohr sahas\u0131n\u0131n gaz\u0131 M\u0131s\u0131r i\u00e7 piyasas\u0131na arz edilecektir. Anla\u015fmas\u0131 yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve bu noktada ilgili tesisler de kurulmaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Ayr\u0131ca K\u0131br\u0131s opsiyonu hari\u00e7, di\u011fer olas\u0131 ke\u015fiflerin ya da kaynaklar\u0131n bo\u015fu bo\u015funa yeni maliyetler eklenerek, K\u0131br\u0131s a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda bir y\u00fczer LNG tesisine ta\u015f\u0131narak, oradan piyasalara sunulmas\u0131 hi\u00e7 de mant\u0131kl\u0131 de\u011fildir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bu yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n analizinden de anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, ENI gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck ba\u015far\u0131lara imza atan \u00f6nemli ve hatr\u0131 say\u0131l\u0131r \u015firketler dahi politik yakla\u015f\u0131mlar ile kamu oyunu yanl\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nlendirme stratejileri g\u00fcdebilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca, G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a da, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yap\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan, bir gaz merkezi olacaks\u0131n\u0131z tarz\u0131nda alg\u0131 operasyonlar\u0131 yap\u0131lmaya devam etmektedir. Fakat T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de tutmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, bu alg\u0131 operasyonu di\u011fer \u00fclkelerde de tutmayacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnyaca \u00fcnl\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol &amp; gaz \u015firketi olan ENI, Akdeniz b\u00f6lgesinde Cezayir\u2019den Libya\u2019ya, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019dan G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019a, hatta Girit\u2019ten Yunanistan\u2019a kadar geni\u015f bir co\u011frafyada faaliyetlerini\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":5003,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[582,339,583,403,584,114],"ppma_author":[2017],"class_list":["post-5000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-eni","tag-guney-kibris","tag-italya-eni","tag-kibris","tag-lubnan","tag-oguzhan-akyener"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Akdeniz&#039;de \u00d6nemli Bir Oyuncu: ENI - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/akdenizde-onemli-bir-oyuncu-eni\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Akdeniz&#039;de \u00d6nemli Bir Oyuncu: ENI - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnyaca \u00fcnl\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol &amp; gaz \u015firketi olan ENI, Akdeniz b\u00f6lgesinde Cezayir\u2019den Libya\u2019ya, 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