{"id":5004,"date":"2017-05-18T00:01:05","date_gmt":"2017-05-17T21:01:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=5004"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:16","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:16","slug":"lubnanda-son-gelismeler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/lubnanda-son-gelismeler\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u00fcbnan&#039;da Son Geli\u015fmeler"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080;\">L\u00fcbnan yak\u0131n vadede Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019deki gaz dengelerini de\u011fi\u015ftirme ihtimalini elinde bulunduran tek devlettir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ilgili havzalar mevcut sismik veriler dikkate al\u0131narak de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, b\u00f6lgedeki hidrokarbon potansiyeli, Eratosthenes Deniz Da\u011f\u0131\u2019ndan bat\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde de\u011fil de, do\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde artmaktad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca Leviathen havzas\u0131nda da potansiyel kuzey y\u00f6n\u00fcnde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermektedir. Yani bu durumda b\u00f6lgedeki en y\u00fcksek potansiyel L\u00fcbnan a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda gibi farzedilebilecektir.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu y\u00fczden L\u00fcbnan, \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde tamamlanm\u0131\u015f ve yorumlanm\u0131\u015f sismik veri kayna\u011f\u0131 ile, ke\u015fif i\u00e7in sadece ruhsatlar\u0131n verilerek, sondajlar\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fcn sayan bir durumda beklemektedir. Bu sebeple global gaz oyuncular\u0131n\u0131n dikkatini celp etmeye devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Tabii t\u00fcm tahminler ancak a\u00e7\u0131lacak ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 sondajlar neticesinde do\u011frulanabilecektir. Fakat sondaj i\u00e7in g\u00fcn sayan ilgili yap\u0131lar\u0131n;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Sismik veriler ile tespit edilmi\u015f olu\u015fu,<\/li>\n<li>potansiyelin \u0130srail a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131na nazaran daha y\u00fcksek olu\u015fu,<\/li>\n<li>\u0130srail taraf\u0131nda yap\u0131lan ke\u015fifler neticesinde, L\u00fcbnan taraf\u0131ndaki yap\u0131lar\u0131n da dolu olma ihtimalinin y\u00fcksek olu\u015fu,<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>b\u00f6lgesel umutlar\u0131 artt\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu umutlar\u0131n somut neticelere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclebilmesi kapsam\u0131nda, uzun s\u00fcredir siyasi belirsizlikler nedeni ile bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc tamamlanamayan ihale s\u00fcreci, \u00fclke i\u00e7indeki baz\u0131 mevzuatlar\u0131n hala netle\u015fmemesine ra\u011fmen, 2 \u015eubat 2017\u2019de nihayet yeniden ba\u015flat\u0131labilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu yeni ihale s\u00fcreci ile ilgili olarak:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Operat\u00f6r ya da ortak olarak ihaleye kat\u0131lmak isteyen firmalar \u00f6n elemeye tabi tutulmu\u015ftur.<\/li>\n<li>Bu eleme i\u015flemlerine 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda yap\u0131lan eleme s\u00fcrecinden ge\u00e7erek ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olan 46 \u015firketin kat\u0131lmas\u0131na gerek g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015ftir.<\/li>\n<li>2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00f6n elemeden ge\u00e7en \u015firketler sadece daha \u00f6nce yapt\u0131klar\u0131 beyannamelerde de\u011fi\u015fiklik var ise, bunu bildireceklerdir.<\/li>\n<li>Yeni \u00f6n elemeye kat\u0131lan \u015firketler i\u00e7in ise:\n<ul>\n<li>Operat\u00f6r olmak i\u00e7in, 10 milyar $ civar\u0131nda bir varl\u0131\u011fa sahip olma ve 500 metre su derinli\u011finde bir deniz sondaj\u0131 tecr\u00fcbesi bulunma ko\u015fullar\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>Operat\u00f6r olmadan, herhangi bir operat\u00f6r\u00fcn yan\u0131nda ortak olabilmek i\u00e7in ise 500 milyon $ civar\u0131nda bir varl\u0131\u011fa sahip olma ko\u015fulu aranm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Bu durumda operat\u00f6r olmadan ihaleye girmek isteyen firmalar, operat\u00f6r olarak kabul edilmi\u015f bir firma ile birliktelik yapmak zorunda kalacaklard\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Bu durumda yeni ba\u015fvurucu s\u00fcrecinde:\n<ul>\n<li>ONGC operat\u00f6r olarak \u00f6n elemeyi ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir.<\/li>\n<li>Lukoil, Sonatrach, Qatar Petroleum gibi (operat\u00f6r olabilecek imkanlara sahip olmalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen) baz\u0131 firmalar da ortak olarak ihale s\u00fcrecine kat\u0131labilmek i\u00e7in \u00f6n elemeyi ge\u00e7mi\u015flerdir.<\/li>\n<li>2013 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki \u00f6n elemeden, operat\u00f6r olma hakk\u0131na sahip olanlar ile birlikte toplamda 11 firma operat\u00f6r olabilmek i\u00e7in kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Bunlar: ONGC, Anadarko, Petrobras, Exxon, Chevron, Eni, Maersk, Repsol, Shell, Statoil ve Total\u2019dir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve sosyal medya payla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 Anadarko, Petrobras, Chevron, Exxon, Maersk gibi baz\u0131 firmalar\u0131n eskisi kadar b\u00f6lge ile ilgili olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, onlar\u0131n aksine, Eni ve Total gibi G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s ve M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da da ciddi giri\u015fimleri olan baz\u0131 Avrupa\u2019l\u0131 firmalar\u0131n da bu b\u00f6lgeye yo\u011funla\u015fmakta olduklar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret etmektedir.<\/li>\n<li>Bu avrupal\u0131 firmalar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, b\u00f6lge ile ilgili olan ve oyuna yeni kat\u0131lan ONGC\u2019de \u00f6nemli bir akt\u00f6r say\u0131labilecektir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019da son zamanlarda (b\u00f6lgede) yap\u0131lan en b\u00fcy\u00fck ke\u015fif olan Zohr\u2019un operat\u00f6r\u00fc ENI\u2019nin b\u00f6lge ile ilgili hedeflerinin ve stratejilerinin takip edilmesi \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n<p>Bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te, b\u00f6lgede ihale ba\u015fvurular\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131p, sonu\u00e7lar al\u0131nmas\u0131 akabinde, ilgili ruhsat sahipleri taraf\u0131ndan lokasyon belirleme ve sondaj \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na h\u0131zla ba\u015flanmas\u0131 planlanmaktad\u0131r. \u0130lk sondajlara 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde ba\u015flan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Demek ki, mevcut beklentilerin ak\u0131beti \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fczdeki y\u0131l daha fazla netlik kazanacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar ile birlikte L\u00fcbnan deniz alanlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli f\u0131rsatlara gebedir. \u00d6nemli bir ke\u015fif olmas\u0131 durumunda ise bu f\u0131rsatlar \u00e7ok daha farkl\u0131 boyutlara ta\u015f\u0131nacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Yani L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler b\u00f6lgesel politikalar\u0131n belirlenmesinde etkili olabilecektir. Hatta olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck ke\u015fifler K\u0131br\u0131s, \u0130srail ve Suriye gibi \u00fclkeler ile ilgili stratejileri dahi de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecektir. Bu sebeple medeniyet co\u011frafyas\u0131nda etkin olmak isteyen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00fclkede varl\u0131k g\u00f6stermesi ve farkl\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7 olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak, sekt\u00f6re ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlara y\u00f6n verecek fikir ve \u00f6neriler ortaya koyabilmesi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n<p>Tabii bu noktada da, G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n illegal rushat da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcrecinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin haklar\u0131n\u0131 ihlal etmekten \u00e7ekinmeyen ENI, TOTAL ve Statoil gibi L\u00fcban\u2019da operat\u00f6r olmayan Avrupal\u0131 firmalar ile ya da ilgi g\u00f6stermiyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fclse de, ayn\u0131 ihlallerde ortak olan Exxon ile bir ortakl\u0131k yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7ok da olas\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fckmemektedir. Bu durumda ilgili L\u00fcbnan deniz alanlar\u0131nda yap\u0131labilecek bir aramac\u0131l\u0131k hamlesi i\u00e7in ortakl\u0131k yapabilmek i\u00e7in geriye oyuna yeni m\u00fcdahil olan ONGC kalmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Aramac\u0131l\u0131k d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, sismik ve belki ilgili imkanlar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 durumunda sondaj konusunda da servis hizmeti verebilme gibi opsiyonlar\u0131n da de\u011ferlendirilmesi faydal\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, b\u00fcy\u00fck bat\u0131l\u0131 \u015firketler bir kenara, hali maliyetli olan deniz aramac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedeflerinde (Akdeniz &amp; Karadeniz) T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00c7in ve Hindistan men\u015feili hem finansal olarak hem de teknik olarak yeterli olan firmalar ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flamas\u0131 yerinde olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>ONGC bu firmalardan sadece bir tanesidir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; L\u00fcbnan yak\u0131n vadede Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019deki gaz dengelerini de\u011fi\u015ftirme ihtimalini elinde bulunduran tek devlettir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ilgili havzalar mevcut sismik veriler dikkate al\u0131narak de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, b\u00f6lgedeki hidrokarbon potansiyeli,\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-5004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the 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