{"id":5074,"date":"2017-05-29T14:11:49","date_gmt":"2017-05-29T11:11:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=5074"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:16","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:16","slug":"neden-daha-fazla-komur-petrol-ve-dogalgaz-yatirimi-gerekli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/neden-daha-fazla-komur-petrol-ve-dogalgaz-yatirimi-gerekli\/","title":{"rendered":"Neden Daha Fazla K\u00f6m\u00fcr, Petrol ve Do\u011falgaz Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Gerekli?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Neden Daha Fazla K\u00f6m\u00fcr, Petrol ve Do\u011falgaz Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Gerekli?<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u00a0<span style=\"color: #008080;\">\u201cSonu\u00e7 olarak diyebiliriz ki; hidrokarbonlar insanl\u0131k i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck kaynak niteli\u011finde ve yerini tutacak daha iyi bir se\u00e7ene\u011fimiz yok. \u0130nsanlar t\u00fcm bu hidrokarbon kullan\u0131m\u0131ndan bir \u015fekilde vazge\u00e7ilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bense hidrokarbonlar\u0131n her zerresinin sonuna kadar kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum\u201d diyor Berkshire Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Charlie Munger.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015fte k\u0131ymetli varl\u0131k durumunda olmalar\u0131 daha fazla k\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve do\u011fal gaz yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n uygulanabilirli\u011fini azalt\u0131yor ve Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n kararlar\u0131n\u0131 devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bunun nedeni halen fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n yerini alabilecek kayna\u011f\u0131n bulunmamas\u0131. Ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geli\u015fmemi\u015f k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n enerji ihtiyac\u0131 hala o kadar y\u00fcksek ki, bunlar\u0131n i\u00e7inde k\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve gaz en temelleri ve en geli\u015fmi\u015f modelleme sistemlerinin tahminleri de bunu do\u011frular nitelikte.<\/p>\n<p>Son y\u0131llarda g\u00f6zde elektrik \u00fcretim kaynaklar\u0131ndan olan r\u00fczg\u00e2r ve g\u00fcne\u015f halen d\u00fcnya enerji ekonomisi ile rekabet edecek ve k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefini kar\u015f\u0131layabilecek g\u00fc\u00e7te de\u011filler. \u00d6zellikle bu kaynaklar\u0131n s\u00fcreklilik arzetmemeleri havan\u0131n uygun oldu\u011fu zamanlarda bile %25-35 oran\u0131nda elde edilebilir olmalar\u0131na neden oluyor. Maalesef da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131 zor olan yenilenebilir enerjinin herhangi bir da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m sorunu ya\u015fanmayan k\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve gaza g\u00f6re daha fazla abart\u0131larak her f\u0131rsatta \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 zengin, geli\u015fmi\u015f ve fosil yak\u0131ta dayanan uluslar\u0131n pop\u00fclasyonunun % 17\u2019sinden kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><em><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-5075\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/k1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"701\" height=\"519\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>R\u00fczgar ve G\u00fcne\u015f d\u00fcnya enerji ekonomisi i\u00e7erisinde rekabet\u00e7i de\u011fil<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131n\u0131n 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda son yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cD\u00fcnya Enerji Model\u201dinde ve en iyi durum senaryosunda da (450 senaryosu), yenilenebilirler, k\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve gaz\u0131n d\u00fcnya enerjisi talebinin %60\u2019\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 bekleniyor. Yenilenebilir enerji i\u00e7in ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc \u00e7aba sarfedilecek olsa bile yenilenebilirlerin fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n yerini alamayaca\u011f\u0131 da bir ger\u00e7ek.<\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5076\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/k2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"510\" height=\"425\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>K\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve gaz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr t\u00fcm senaryolar i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya birincil enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle son 30 ayda dibe vuran fiyatlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratmas\u0131 nedeniyle Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 fosil yak\u0131t yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesini her f\u0131rsatta te\u015fvik ediyor\u00a0 ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve do\u011fal gaz\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurguluyor. Geleneksel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ftekiler ise \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 5 y\u0131lda fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile g\u00fcnl\u00fck 20 milyon varille s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131n\u0131n raporuna g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 25 y\u0131l i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya enerji talebine ait yat\u0131r\u0131mlar i\u00e7in 44 trilyon dolar gerekiyor ve bunun %60\u2019\u0131 k\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve do\u011falgaz yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na harcanacak. Ajans enerji ger\u00e7e\u011fimizi a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a \u201cak\u0131nt\u0131ya kar\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131lacak yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmak \u00f6nemli sorunlara yol a\u00e7abilir\u201d \u015feklinde yorumluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bununla birlikte, k\u00f6m\u00fcrde, petrolde ve gazda ya\u015fanacak herhangi bir arz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yaln\u0131zca fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden olacakt\u0131r, ki bu da bu yak\u0131tlar\u0131n cazibesini art\u0131rmaktan ba\u015fka bir i\u015fe yaramaz. Do\u011falgaz kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 biz \u00e7evreciler i\u00e7in de 450 senaryosunun sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda iyi bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yolu. Bunun en iyi g\u00f6stergesi de daha \u00e7ok do\u011falgaz kullan\u0131m\u0131 sayesinde Amerika enerji \u00fcreticilerinin CO<sub>2<\/sub> emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 2005\u2019ten bu yana %24 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi. Bu sayede Carnegie Mellon Enerji Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc Karbon \u0130ndeksi de sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda iyile\u015fme sa\u011fland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5077\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/k3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"605\" height=\"480\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>K\u00f6m\u00fcr, petrol ve gaz yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015flar kesinlikle zorunlu<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Neden Daha Fazla K\u00f6m\u00fcr, Petrol ve Do\u011falgaz Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Gerekli? \u00a0\u201cSonu\u00e7 olarak diyebiliriz ki; hidrokarbonlar insanl\u0131k i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck kaynak niteli\u011finde ve yerini tutacak daha iyi bir se\u00e7ene\u011fimiz\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":5078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[604,124,605,379,205,208,110],"ppma_author":[2031],"class_list":["post-5074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-charlie-munger","tag-enerji-denklemi","tag-komur-gaz","tag-selcuk-ozgen","tag-seyl-petrolu","tag-uluslararasi-enerji-ajansi","tag-verimlilik"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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