{"id":5411,"date":"2017-07-29T14:48:07","date_gmt":"2017-07-29T11:48:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=5411"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:15","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:15","slug":"abdnin-yeni-yaptirimlari-dengeler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/abdnin-yeni-yaptirimlari-dengeler\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019nin Yeni Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 &amp; Dengeler"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"color: #008080;\">15 Haziran\u2019da ABD Senatosu, \u0130ran\u2019a y<span lang=\"EN\">\u00f6nelik yapt<\/span>\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7eren 722 numaral\u0131 ambargo plan\u0131 i\u00e7eri\u011findeki g\u00fcncellemeleri %98\u2019lik bir \u00e7o\u011funlukla onaylad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"color: #008080;\">Senatodan onay alan bu g\u00fcncellemeler, \u00f6zellikle Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 yeni yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i<span lang=\"EN\">\u00e7erdi<\/span>\u011fi gibi, ayn\u0131 zamanda ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n ilgili yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 esnetme imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 da k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">***<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\"> Bu g\u00fcncelleme sayesinde ilgili yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 yada ABD d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 ile ilgili baz\u0131 hamleler kapsam\u0131nda talep edilecek baz\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler ancak kongre taraf\u0131ndan detayl\u0131 inceleme yap\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girebiliyor. Ayr\u0131ca \u00f6ncekilerden farkl\u0131 olarak, yapt\u0131r\u0131m ve k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar art\u0131k sadece Rusya s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisindeki faaliyetleri de\u011fil, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ilgili yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 giri\u015fimlerini de kaps\u0131yor. Yani bu kapsamda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 arenada %33 ortakl\u0131ktan fazla bir oranla y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc projelerdeki ticari mal transferleri, finansman deste\u011fi ve derin deniz \u2013 Arctic \u2013 ankonvansiyonel projeleri gibi y\u00fcksek teknolojik destek isteyen projeler nezdinde talep edebilece\u011fi hizmet al\u0131mlar\u0131 da s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya giriyor. <\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\">Peki bu geli\u015fmeleri k\u0131saca nas\u0131l yorumlamak laz\u0131m? <\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">\u00d6rne\u011fin ABD\u2019nin b<span lang=\"EN\">\u00f6yle bir aksiyon almas<\/span>\u0131ndaki neden ne olabilir?<\/span><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak i<span lang=\"EN\">\u00e7in Katar Krizini tetikleyerek, silah sat<\/span>\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmaya kadar varan hamleler yapan ABD, orta vadede d\u00fcnyadaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck LNG tedarik\u00e7isi olman\u0131n planlar\u0131n\u0131 yap\u0131yor. Bu noktada hedefledi\u011fi en \u00f6nemli pazar olan Avrupa\u2019daki fiyat rekabetine kesinlikle giremeyece\u011fi en b\u00fcy\u00fck rakibi de tabiki Rusya! (Not: LNG\u2019deki en b\u00fcy\u00fck rakibi de KATAR!)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">ABD bu hamlesi ile \u00f6zellikle finansal ve teknik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ile Rusya\u2019n\u0131n uzun vadede yeni projelerini geli\u015ftirememesini, finasal s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015famas\u0131n\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 <span lang=\"EN\">\u00e7ekememesini, geli<\/span>\u015ftirilmesi zor sahalar\u0131 \u00fcretime alabilmek i\u00e7in teknoloji deste\u011fi bulamamas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyor. Bu sayede Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00fcretiminin ve arz kapasitesinin do\u011fal olarak d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rebiliyor. <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Ayr\u0131ca Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ulusararas\u0131 arenada artan etkinli\u011finin, yeni yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n, askeri hamlelerinin, ABD\u2019nin <span lang=\"EN\">\u00f6zellikle finansal sebeplerle etkinli<\/span>\u011fini azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerdeki bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurma giri\u015fimlerinin de bu sayede \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">\u00d6zetle al\u0131nan bu aksiyonun arkas\u0131ndaki en <span lang=\"EN\">\u00f6nemli nedenler olarak; ABD\u2019nin Avrupa gaz piyasalar<\/span>\u0131nda Rusya ile rekabet etmek istemesi ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n artan b\u00f6lgesel hakimiyetinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\">Bu geli\u015fmelere AB nas\u0131l yakla\u015f\u0131yor?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Bu tarz bir yapt\u0131r\u0131m, AB i<span lang=\"EN\">\u00e7in en ucuz gaz olan Rus gaz<\/span>\u0131n\u0131n tedari\u011fini orta ve uzun vadede etkileyece\u011finden, (Ki kimse ucuzu varken, daha pahal\u0131ya gaz almak istemez.) AB bu giri\u015fimlere realitede s\u0131cak bakm\u0131yor. Negatif yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n ise arkas\u0131ndan genelde ABD \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Ayr\u0131ca ABD\u2019nin Rusya ile olan g<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesinde s\u00fcrekli AB\u2019yi s<\/span>\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131ran politikalar izlemesi, devam eden ve AB\u2019ye negatif etkilere sebep olan Ukrayna m\u00fcdehalesi de AB\u2019yi rahats\u0131z ediyor.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\">Gaz ticaretinde hemen ciddi bir etki beklenebilir mi?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Mevcut gaz ticaretine hemen yans\u0131yacak ciddi bir beklenti olaca\u011f\u0131 d<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fc<\/span>\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar mevcut gaz ticaretlerini i\u00e7erimiyor. Zaten ABD\u2019nin mevcut LNG tedarik kapasitesinin de \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu farkedilebiliyor. Bu paket \u00f6zellikle Rusya\u2019y\u0131 yava\u015f yava\u015f zay\u0131flatmay\u0131 hedefledi\u011finden, ABD\u2019nin gaz ihracat kapasitesi y\u00fckseldi\u011finde, yani daha uzun vadede sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fikar edecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\">Yak\u0131n gelecekte AB\u2019ye gaz sa\u011flayacak iki b<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fcy\u00fck proje olan Nord Stream2 ve T\u00fcrk Ak<\/span>\u0131m\u0131 bu yapt\u0131r\u0131mlardan nas\u0131l etkilenir?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Asl\u0131nda iki projenin de finansman, hizmet tedari\u011fi, sigortalanma i\u015flemleri gibi konularda biraz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fayabilece\u011fi a\u015fikard\u0131r. <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Fakat \u00f6zellikle Almanya piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n vazge<span lang=\"EN\">\u00e7emeyece<\/span>\u011fi Nord Stream 2 ve 2. Faz\u0131 ile Balkanlar ve\/veya \u0130talya piyasas\u0131n\u0131 beslemesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 projelerinin tedarik noktas\u0131nda yerleri ivedilikle, ayn\u0131 ekonomik ko\u015fullarla doldurulamayaca\u011f\u0131ndan, iki projenin de bir \u015fekilde hayata ge\u00e7ece\u011fi beklenmektedir.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Yani baz\u0131 aksakl\u0131klara ra\u011fmen ad\u0131mlar engellenemeyecektir. <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Belki sadece T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 3. ve 4. Fazlar\u0131 bu yapt\u0131r\u0131mlardan etkilenebilecektir<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Bu arada Rusya gerekli finansman ve sigorta deste\u011fi konusunda <span lang=\"EN\">\u00c7in gibi \u00fclkeler ile daha da yak<\/span>\u0131nla\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\">O zaman T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 \u0130ptal Olmayacak m\u0131?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 1. Faz\u0131 zaten T<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi hedefliyor. <\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">2. Faz\u0131n Avrupa\u2019ya gitmesi planlan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">\u0130lk faz\u0131n\u0131n hatta ikinci faz\u0131n\u0131n da iptal olmas\u0131n\u0131n s<span lang=\"EN\">\u00f6z konusu olaca<\/span>\u011f\u0131 pek muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Boru hatt\u0131 in\u015fas\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan baz\u0131 te\u015faronlar hizmet vermekten vazge<span lang=\"EN\">\u00e7se dahi her zaman ba<\/span>\u015fkalar\u0131 bulunabiliyor. <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Finansman deste\u011fi de <span lang=\"EN\">\u00c7in yada Katar gibi \u00fclkelerden dahi sa<\/span>\u011flanabilir.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Yani boru T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 iptal olmayacak ve bir \u015fekilde (aksamalar ya\u015fanabilse de) in\u015fas\u0131na devam edilecek gibi g<span lang=\"EN\">\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Sadece mevcut yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar istenilen d<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fczeyde ba<\/span>\u015far\u0131 ile uygulanabilir de, Rusya farkl\u0131 \u00f6nlemler ile \u00fcretimini istedi\u011fi seviyelerde tutamaz ise, uzun vadede arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor. T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 yada di\u011fer projelerden yap\u0131lan tedariklerde ancak bu tarz bir sebepten kaynaklanan bir aksama uzun vadede g\u00fcndeme gelebiliyor. Fakat bu kapsamda da al\u0131nabilecek bir\u00e7ok \u00f6nlem oldu\u011fu tahmin edilebiliyor. <\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\">Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 hangi global beklentileri do\u011furuyor?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">D\u00fcnya ciddi bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fcm ve yeni so<\/span>\u011fuk sava\u015flar ya\u015f\u0131yor. Ve m\u00fccadele daha uzun s\u00fcre devam edece\u011fe benziyor. <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Rusya\u2019ya yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n azalmas\u0131 ve finansal yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, gaz arz\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilece\u011finden; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k olarak, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n <span lang=\"EN\">\u00c7in\u2019e ve <\/span>\u015eangay \u00fcyelerine daha fazla yak\u0131nla\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor. Bu durumda g\u00fcvenlik gerek\u00e7eleri ile de mecburen AB\u2019nin ABD\u2019ye daha fazla yana\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">K\u0131sacas\u0131 d<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fcnyay<\/span>\u0131 daha fazla kutupla\u015fma ve kaos bekliyor.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\">Peki T\u00fcrkiye bu durumda neler yapmal\u0131d\u0131r?<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Uzun vadede Rus gaz tedari\u011finde baz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi zaten <span lang=\"EN\">\u00f6nceden de bekleniyordu. Bu noktada; Rus gaz<\/span>\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma noktas\u0131nda ba\u015flan\u0131lan \u00f6nlemlere devam edilmesi gerekmektedir. <\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Bu hamlede T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rusya ile yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 ve S-400 f<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fcze sistemlerinin al<\/span>\u0131nmas\u0131 gibi konularda da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 bir hamle s\u00f6z konusu. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bunlar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131p, yeni kaoslarda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecek f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 iyi de\u011ferlendirmesi \u00f6nemlidir<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif; font-size: 12pt;\">Kutupla\u015fan d<span lang=\"EN\">\u00fcnyada iki kutbun da k\u00fcresel hakimiyetinin anahtar<\/span>\u0131 olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu s\u00fcreci \u00e7ok iyi de\u011ferlendirmesi gerekiyor. (Bu konuda bknz: <a href=\"https:\/\/tespam.org\/tr\/4157-2\/\"><span lang=\"EN\">https:\/\/tespam.org\/tr\/4157-2\/<\/span><\/a><span lang=\"EN\">) <\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-family: georgia,palatino,serif;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Artan huzursuzluk, yeni yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, gerilen ili\u015fkiler ve gittik<span lang=\"EN\">\u00e7e <\/span>\u015fekillenen Bat\u0131-Do\u011fu kutupla\u015fmas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fen d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar tutarl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor. Baz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lardan olumsuz olarak etkilense de, cihan\u015f\u00fcmul hedeflere kenetlenen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu tarz ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcre\u00e7lerini iyi takip edip, do\u011fru ad\u0131mlarla kaosu lehine bir f\u0131rsat olarak <\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u00e7evirmesi gerekiyor.<\/span> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>15 Haziran\u2019da ABD Senatosu, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7eren 722 numaral\u0131 ambargo plan\u0131 i\u00e7eri\u011findeki g\u00fcncellemeleri %98\u2019lik bir \u00e7o\u011funlukla onaylad\u0131. Senatodan onay alan bu g\u00fcncellemeler, \u00f6zellikle Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":5414,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[267,269,670,103,287,320,114,689,134,119,273],"ppma_author":[2017],"class_list":["post-5411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-abd-ab","tag-avrupa-birligi","tag-cumhurbaskani-erdogan","tag-enerji","tag-iran","tag-nord-stream-2","tag-oguzhan-akyener","tag-rus-gazi","tag-rusya","tag-tespam","tag-turk-akimi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ABD\u2019nin Yeni Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 &amp; Dengeler - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/abdnin-yeni-yaptirimlari-dengeler\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ABD\u2019nin Yeni Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 &amp; Dengeler - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"15 Haziran\u2019da ABD Senatosu, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7eren 722 numaral\u0131 ambargo plan\u0131 i\u00e7eri\u011findeki g\u00fcncellemeleri %98\u2019lik bir \u00e7o\u011funlukla onaylad\u0131. 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