{"id":5959,"date":"2017-12-04T09:00:34","date_gmt":"2017-12-04T06:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=5959"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:11","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:11","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-27-kasim-01-aralik-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-27-kasim-01-aralik-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (27 Kas\u0131m-01 Aral\u0131k 2017)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (27 Kas\u0131m-01 Aral\u0131k 2017)<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Brent<\/strong><\/p>\n

$\/varil<\/strong><\/td>\n

27 Kas\u0131m Pazartesi<\/strong><\/td>\n28 Kas\u0131m Sal\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n29 Kas\u0131m \u00c7ar\u015famba<\/strong><\/td>\n30 Kas\u0131m Per\u015fembe<\/strong><\/td>\n01 Aral\u0131k Cuma<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n63,80<\/td>\n63,78<\/td>\n63,30<\/td>\n63,28<\/td>\n62,74<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck<\/strong><\/td>\n63,10<\/td>\n63,10<\/td>\n62,50<\/td>\n63,21<\/td>\n62,59<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En Y\u00fcksek<\/strong><\/td>\n63,99<\/td>\n63,89<\/td>\n64,07<\/td>\n64,21<\/td>\n64,32<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n63,84<\/td>\n63,61<\/td>\n63,11<\/td>\n63,57<\/td>\n63,73<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Tablo 1:<\/strong> Brent Petrol Varil Fiyat\u0131n\u0131n Haftal\u0131k Seyri<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
WTI<\/strong><\/p>\n

$\/varil<\/strong><\/td>\n

27 Kas\u0131m Pazartesi<\/strong><\/td>\n28 Kas\u0131m Sal\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n29 Kas\u0131m \u00c7ar\u015famba<\/strong><\/td>\n30 Kas\u0131m Per\u015fembe<\/strong><\/td>\n01 Aral\u0131k Cuma<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n58,95<\/td>\n57,86<\/td>\n57,73<\/td>\n57,41<\/td>\n57,42<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck<\/strong><\/td>\n57,55<\/td>\n57,42<\/td>\n56,75<\/td>\n57,05<\/td>\n57,29<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En Y\u00fcksek<\/strong><\/td>\n58,99<\/td>\n58,11<\/td>\n58,30<\/td>\n57,98<\/td>\n58,88<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n58,11<\/td>\n57,99<\/td>\n57,30<\/td>\n57,40<\/td>\n58,36<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Tablo 2:<\/strong> WTI Varil Fiyat\u0131n\u0131n Haftal\u0131k Seyri<\/p>\n

Petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131 ge\u00e7en haftay\u0131 kay\u0131pla kapanan bir haftan\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7la kapatarak y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu hafta ise petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f ve kapan\u0131\u015f de\u011ferleri aras\u0131nda hafta i\u00e7erisinde ya\u015fanan ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fl\u0131 grafi\u011fe ra\u011fmen \u00e7ok fazla de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Tablo 1 ve Tablo 2 de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi ham petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131 27 Kas\u0131m-01 Aral\u0131k haftas\u0131na Brent petrolde 63,80 USD\/varil, WTI da 58,95 USD\/varil de\u011ferlerinden giri\u015f yapt\u0131. Hafta boyunca Brent petrol en y\u00fcksek 64,32 USD\/varil, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 62,50 USD\/varil de\u011ferlerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. WTI ise en y\u00fcksek 58,99 USD\/varil, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 56,75 USD\/varil de\u011ferlerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Haftan\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ise Brent petrol 63,73 USD\/varil olurken, WTI 58,36 USD\/varil fiyat\u0131ndan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 hafta boyunca ini\u015fli-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fl\u0131 bir grafik izledi. Hafta boyunca en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesi olarak 30 Kas\u0131m\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6ze \u00e7arpt\u0131. Bu toplant\u0131 hakk\u0131ndaki belirsizlikler nedeniyle hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7en petrol fiyatlar\u0131, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n beklenenden daha fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren verinin de etkisiyle toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesine kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 OPEC ve OPEC \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda anla\u015fman\u0131n 2018 sonuna kadar uzat\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik var\u0131lan mutabakat neticesinde de fiyatlar y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7erek hemen hemen haftan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 yakalad\u0131.<\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikler (Grafik 1 ve Grafik 2) Brent petrol ve WTI n\u0131n haftal\u0131k fiyat seyrini g\u00f6stermektedir. Haftan\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan biti\u015fine kadar fiyatlar\u0131n durumunu bu iki grafikte g\u00f6rebiliriz.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>1<\/strong>:<\/strong> Haftal\u0131k Brent Petrol Varil Fiyatlar\u0131<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>2<\/strong>:<\/strong> Haftal\u0131k WTI Varil Fiyatlar\u0131<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>3<\/strong>:<\/strong> ABD Toplam Petrol Kule Say\u0131s\u0131<\/p>\n

Grafik 3 ABD de ham petrol arama i\u015flerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan toplam kule miktar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Baker Hughes taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en hafta toplam kule say\u0131s\u0131nda 2 adet art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>4<\/strong>:<\/strong> ABD Haftal\u0131k Ham Petrol Stok De\u011fi\u015fimi<\/p>\n

Grafik 4 ise ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD ham petrol stok durumundaki de\u011fi\u015fim verisini i\u00e7ermektedir. Ge\u00e7en hafta stok miktar\u0131n\u0131n 2 milyon 301 bin varil azalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. A\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re stok miktar\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden daha fazla azalarak 3 milyon 429 bin varil d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Stoklarda ya\u015fanan beklenenden fazla miktardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hafta i\u00e7erisinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine giren petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n daha da d\u00fc\u015fmesine etki etti. \u00dcstelik \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan finanse edilen API taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re ge\u00e7en hafta ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f bekleniyordu.<\/p>\n

5 numaral\u0131 grafik ABD ham petrol haftal\u0131k \u00fcretim de\u011ferlerini g\u00f6stermektedir. ABD nin haftal\u0131k \u00fcretimi ge\u00e7en hafta ortalama g\u00fcnl\u00fck 9,682 milyon varil seviyelerine y\u00fckselerek rekor tazelemeye devam etmektedir. Artan petrol fiyatlar\u0131 kaya petrol\u00fc \u00fcreticilerinin yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131na, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla da petrol \u00fcretim de\u011ferlerinin art\u0131\u015f\u0131na sebep olmaktad\u0131r. Bu durum k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n erimesi \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck engellerden biridir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>5<\/strong>:<\/strong> ABD Haftal\u0131k Ham Petrol \u00dcretimi<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7 olarak petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131 haftaya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u015flay\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc devam ettirdikten sonra, OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131nda fiyatlar tekrar y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mi\u015f ve ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f miktar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda telafi etmi\u015ftir. OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi piyasalarda ya\u015fanan belirsizlik ve ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan beklenenden fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, fiyatlar\u0131n gerilemesindeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck etkendir. ABD ham petrol \u00fcretim verilerinin her hafta rekor tazelemesi ise ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f seyrini s\u00fcrekli tehdit etmektedir.<\/p>\n

30 Kas\u0131m\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 neticesinde \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131 anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonuna kadar 9 ay daha uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. K\u0131s\u0131tlanan miktarda herhangi bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gidilmeyerek \u00f6nceki anla\u015fmada oldu\u011fu gibi 1,8 milyon varil olarak b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131. Toplant\u0131da k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n giderek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n vurgulanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n halen 5 senelik ortalama de\u011ferlerin yakalanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekildi. Yap\u0131lan bu uzatman ile ortalama rakamlara bir ad\u0131m daha yakla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131 \u00e7izildi. OPEC \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkeler de anla\u015fmaya uyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu uzatman\u0131n petrol piyasas\u0131ndaki k\u00fcresel dengenin tekrar sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda etkili olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beyan etti.<\/p>\n

OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan fiyatlardaki art\u0131\u015f neticesinde ak\u0131llara gelen soru, fiyatlar artt\u0131k\u00e7a ABD kaya gaz\u0131 ve kaya petrol\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131p art\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131 olmaktad\u0131r. S\u00fcrekli rekor tazeleyen ABD g\u00fcnl\u00fck ham petrol \u00fcretim verileri, y\u00fckselen fiyatlar neticesinde artacak yat\u0131r\u0131mlarla y\u00fckseli\u015fini devam ettirece\u011fe benziyor. Nitekim ABD nin 2018 ve 2019 senesi i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretim tahminlerinde 10 milyon varil seviyelerinin zorlanaca\u011f\u0131 beklenmektedir. Bu durum da k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n erimesini g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015ftirmektedir. Beklenen miktarda erimeyen k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131 ise fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015finin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck engeldir.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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