{"id":5993,"date":"2017-12-11T09:00:34","date_gmt":"2017-12-11T06:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=5993"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:11","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:11","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-04-08-aralik-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/petrol-piyasasinda-bu-hafta-04-08-aralik-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (04-08 Aral\u0131k 2017)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Bu Hafta (04-08 Aral\u0131k 2017)<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Brent<\/strong><\/p>\n

$\/varil<\/strong><\/td>\n

04 Aral\u0131k Pazartesi<\/strong><\/td>\n05 Aral\u0131k Sal\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n06 Aral\u0131k \u00c7ar\u015famba<\/strong><\/td>\n07 Aral\u0131k Per\u015fembe<\/strong><\/td>\n08 Aral\u0131k Cuma<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n63,50<\/td>\n62,45<\/td>\n62,64<\/td>\n61,30<\/td>\n62,08<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck<\/strong><\/td>\n62,31<\/td>\n62,12<\/td>\n61,13<\/td>\n61,15<\/td>\n62,01<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En Y\u00fcksek<\/strong><\/td>\n63,68<\/td>\n63,15<\/td>\n62,93<\/td>\n62,26<\/td>\n63,64<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n62,45<\/td>\n62,86<\/td>\n61,22<\/td>\n62,20<\/td>\n63,40<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Tablo 1:<\/strong> Brent Petrol Varil Fiyat\u0131n\u0131n Haftal\u0131k Seyri<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
WTI<\/strong><\/p>\n

$\/varil<\/strong><\/td>\n

04 Aral\u0131k Pazartesi<\/strong><\/td>\n05 Aral\u0131k Sal\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n06 Aral\u0131k \u00c7ar\u015famba<\/strong><\/td>\n07 Aral\u0131k Per\u015fembe<\/strong><\/td>\n08 Aral\u0131k Cuma<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n58,32<\/td>\n57,48<\/td>\n57,45<\/td>\n56,00<\/td>\n56,65<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck<\/strong><\/td>\n57,35<\/td>\n57,08<\/td>\n55,87<\/td>\n55,82<\/td>\n56,54<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
En Y\u00fcksek<\/strong><\/td>\n58,34<\/td>\n57,92<\/td>\n57,57<\/td>\n56,78<\/td>\n57,79<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n57,47<\/td>\n57,62<\/td>\n55,96<\/td>\n56,69<\/td>\n57,36<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Tablo 2:<\/strong> WTI Varil Fiyat\u0131n\u0131n Haftal\u0131k Seyri<\/p>\n

Petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131 ge\u00e7en haftay\u0131 ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 ve biti\u015f rakamlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda pek fazla fark olmadan kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu hafta ise petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131nda haftal\u0131k kay\u0131p g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Tablo 1 ve Tablo 2 de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi ham petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131 04-08 Aral\u0131k haftas\u0131na Brent petrolde 63,50 USD\/varil, WTI da 58,32 USD\/varil de\u011ferlerinden giri\u015f yapt\u0131. Hafta boyunca Brent petrol en y\u00fcksek 63,68 USD\/varil, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 61,13 USD\/varil de\u011ferlerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. WTI ise en y\u00fcksek 58,34 USD\/varil, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 55,82 USD\/varil de\u011ferlerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Haftan\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ise Brent petrol 63,40 USD\/varil olurken, WTI 57,36 USD\/varil fiyat\u0131ndan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 haftan\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterirken, haftan\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f neticesinde kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi etmeye \u00e7ok yakla\u015fsa da haftal\u0131k kay\u0131p ya\u015fand\u0131. 30 Kas\u0131m\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan dikkatlerin k\u00fcresel arz meselesine \u00e7evrilmesi sonras\u0131nda, ABD de artan petrol faaliyetleri ve \u00fcretim de\u011ferleri neticesinde k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131 endi\u015fesi piyasalarda h\u00e2kim oldu. Bu durumun toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 olu\u015fan olumlu havay\u0131 dengeleyece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinde \u00f6nemli rol oynad\u0131. Ge\u00e7en hafta ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n beklenenden daha fazla d\u00fc\u015fmesi neticesinde fiyatlar tekrar y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. Fakat ABD benzin stoklar\u0131nda 4 ay aradan sonra art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 ve ABD ham petrol \u00fcretiminin daha da artaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015feleri bu y\u00fckseli\u015fin yeterli derecede olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ti ve yava\u015flatt\u0131. B\u00f6ylece ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00f6nceki hafta ya\u015fanan hafif kay\u0131p sonras\u0131nda tekrar kay\u0131pla kapatm\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikler (Grafik 1 ve Grafik 2) Brent petrol ve WTI n\u0131n haftal\u0131k fiyat seyrini g\u00f6stermektedir. Haftan\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan biti\u015fine kadar fiyatlar\u0131n durumunu bu iki grafikte g\u00f6rebiliriz.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>1<\/strong>:<\/strong> Haftal\u0131k Brent Petrol Varil Fiyatlar\u0131<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>2<\/strong>:<\/strong> Haftal\u0131k WTI Varil Fiyatlar\u0131<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>3<\/strong>:<\/strong> ABD Toplam Petrol Kule Say\u0131s\u0131<\/p>\n

Grafik 3 ABD de ham petrol arama i\u015flerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan toplam kule miktar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Baker Hughes taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en hafta toplam kule say\u0131s\u0131nda 2 adet art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlenmi\u015f ve kule say\u0131s\u0131 751 e y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Bu durum ABD ham petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde faaliyetlerin artmakta oldu\u011funa dair i\u015faretler vermektedir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>4<\/strong>:<\/strong> ABD Haftal\u0131k Ham Petrol Stok De\u011fi\u015fimi<\/p>\n

Grafik 4 ise ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD ham petrol stok durumundaki de\u011fi\u015fim verisini i\u00e7ermektedir. Ge\u00e7en hafta stok miktar\u0131n\u0131n 3 milyon 404 bin varil azalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. A\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re stok miktar\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden daha fazla azalarak 5 milyon 610 bin varil d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Stoklarda ya\u015fanan beklenenden fazla miktardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hafta i\u00e7erisinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinde olan petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n tekrar y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan etkili oldu. Fakat ayn\u0131 kurum taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re ABD benzin stoklar\u0131nda 4 ay aradan sonra ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015f ham petrol stok verisinin etkisinin azalmas\u0131na sebep oldu.<\/p>\n

5 numaral\u0131 grafik ABD ham petrol haftal\u0131k \u00fcretim de\u011ferlerini g\u00f6stermektedir. ABD nin haftal\u0131k \u00fcretimi ge\u00e7en hafta ortalama g\u00fcnl\u00fck 9,707 milyon varil seviyelerine y\u00fckseldi. ABD ham petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde artan faaliyetlerin artmaya devam etmesi neticesinde \u00fcretim seviyeleri 9.7 milyon varili de ge\u00e7mi\u015f durumdad\u0131r. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fini de devam ettirece\u011fine dair sekt\u00f6rden ciddi sinyaller gelmeye devam etmektedir. Bu durum fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fck engel te\u015fkil etmektedir.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/p>\n

Grafik <\/strong>5<\/strong>:<\/strong> ABD Haftal\u0131k Ham Petrol \u00dcretimi<\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7 olarak petrol varil fiyatlar\u0131 haftaya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u015flay\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc devam ettirdikten sonra, haftan\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f miktar\u0131n\u0131n kay\u0131plar\u0131 telafi edecek kadar yeterli olmamas\u0131 neticesinde fiyatlarda haftal\u0131k kay\u0131p g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra dikkatlerin k\u00fcresel arz meselesine yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131ndan sonra hafta boyunca fiyatlar\u0131n seyrini ABD petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden gelen veriler belirledi. Gelen veriler neticesinde k\u00fcresel arz endi\u015felerinin tekrar alevlenmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131na sebep oldu. Baz\u0131 analistler OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlara yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n toplant\u0131dan \u00f6nceki periyotta ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini, bu y\u00fczden de toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda toplant\u0131da al\u0131nan kararlar\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ok da etkilemeyece\u011fini, fiyatlar\u0131 bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te en \u00e7ok k\u00fcresel arz ve k\u00fcresel talep meselelerinin y\u00f6nlendirece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedir. Bu ba\u011flamda da artan k\u00fcresel talebe ra\u011fmen \u00f6zellikle ABD ham petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan faaliyet ve \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurularak fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesinin \u00e7ok da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f bildirmektedir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6yle g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ki k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131 meselesi petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn halen \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck problemdir. OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 ABD ham petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanacak geli\u015fmeler bu alanda belirleyici olacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. \u00d6zellikle kaya gaz\u0131 ve kaya petrol\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu d\u00f6nemde tak\u0131naca\u011f\u0131 tav\u0131r b\u00fcy\u00fck merak konusudur. Bu alanda faaliyetlerin artmas\u0131 k\u00fcresel arz fazlas\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelebilir. Her hafta artan ABD ham petrol \u00fcretim verisi ve bir s\u00fcredir artmaya devam eden ABD ham petrol sondaj\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kule say\u0131s\u0131 bu alandaki faaliyetlerin \u015fimdilik at\u0131yor oldu\u011funun g\u00f6stergeleridir. Bu y\u00fczden yak\u0131n zamanda fiyatlarda y\u00fcksek oranda bir art\u0131\u015f beklenmemektedir. Aksine fiyatlar\u0131n seyrinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olmas\u0131 \u015fu an i\u00e7in daha muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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