{"id":6336,"date":"2018-05-22T17:21:23","date_gmt":"2018-05-22T14:21:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=6336"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:09","slug":"seytanin-orta-doguya-donusu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/seytanin-orta-doguya-donusu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u015eeytan\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #008080;\">Yak\u0131n zamanda hepimizin yak\u0131ndan \u015fahitlik etti\u011fimiz geli\u015fmeler sonucu A.B.D. k\u00fcresel politikas\u0131nda keskin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f yapt\u0131 ve y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinden Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya geri \u00e7evirdi. Bu yorumu yapmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flayan geli\u015fmeler:<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A.B.D.\u2019nin \u00e7ok uzun s\u00fcredir gerilim halinde oldu\u011fu K. Kore ile ani bir karar de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle do\u011frudan temasa ge\u00e7mesi ve G. Kore\u2019yi d\u00fc\u015fman karde\u015fiyle bar\u0131\u015fmaya ikna etmesi,<\/li>\n<li>A.B.D.\u2019nin Ba\u015fkan Trump eliyle \u00c7in\u2019le suni bir ekonomik gerilim yarat\u0131p bunu ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kapatmak i\u00e7in kullanmas\u0131 ve en son olarak taraflar\u0131n \u201c\u015fimdilik\u201d bir ekonomik sava\u015fa girmeme karar\u0131 almas\u0131 ve gerilimin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi,<\/li>\n<li>Trump y\u00f6netiminin Obama y\u00f6netiminin uzun \u00e7abalar sonras\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019la ve Avrupa\u2019yla imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmadan \u00e7ekilmesi ve \u0130ran merkezli kurum ve ki\u015filere tekrar yapt\u0131r\u0131m uygulamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>A.B.D.\u2019nin 7 seneden fazlad\u0131r i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Suriye\u2019ye (s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa) askeri m\u00fcdahalede bulunmas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>Ve en y\u00fcksek perdeden provokasyon ad\u0131m\u0131 olarak \u0130srail\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fini Tel Aviv\u2019den Kud\u00fcs\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn bu geli\u015fmeler Trump y\u00f6netiminin d\u0131\u015f politikadaki rotas\u0131n\u0131 tekrar Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya \u00e7evirdi\u011finin bariz g\u00f6stergeleri. Peki bu durum T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi ve petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l etkileyecektir?<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6ncelikle A.B.D.\u2019nin n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmadan \u00e7ekilmesi ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar tekrar devreye sokmas\u0131 uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r konu\u015fulan \u201cBa\u015fkan kim olursa olsun d\u0131\u015f politikada b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmaz\u201d s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc yerle bir etti ve daha da \u00f6nemlisi A.B.D.\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefikleri olan ba\u015fta A.B. \u00fclkeleri ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00fclkeye olan g\u00fcvenlerinde geri d\u00f6n\u00fclemez yaralar a\u00e7t\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye \u00f6zelinde 15 Temmuz darbe giri\u015fiminden beri yoku\u015f a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 giden ili\u015fkilerde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmasa da A.B. \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelerin y\u00f6netimleri ve A.B. y\u00f6neticileri A.B.D.\u2019ye olan g\u00fcvenlerini yitirdiklerini a\u00e7\u0131ktan dile getirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in art\u0131k A.B.D.\u2019ye (ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla NATO\u2019ya) g\u00fcvenemeyeceklerini belirterek gelecekte NATO\u2019nun g\u00f6revini \u00fcstlenecek bir Avrupa Ordusu i\u00e7in temelleri att\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131da sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z olaylar silsilesi A.B.D.\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n rotas\u0131n\u0131 tekrar Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya \u00e7evirdi\u011fini ve burada yeni kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131klar planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi. T\u00fcrkiye b\u00f6lgede uzun d\u00f6nemdir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 i\u00e7inde olan t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerle kara s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na sahip ve ba\u015fta Suriye i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 olmak \u00fczere olaylardan do\u011frudan etkileniyor. Sadece g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011fil n\u00fckleer anla\u015fma \u00f6ncesi yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar sebebiyle A.B.D.\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen davalarda siyasi ve ekonomik olarak s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. A.B.D.\u2019nin yeniden devreye soktu\u011fu yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi yeniden zor durumda b\u0131rakabilir. EPDK\u2019n\u0131n \u015eubat 2018 i\u00e7in yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Sekt\u00f6r Raporuna g\u00f6re bahsi ge\u00e7en ayda T\u00fcrkiye ithal etti\u011fi ham petrol\u00fcn %48,9\u2019unu \u0130ran\u2019dan sat\u0131n alm\u0131\u015f. \u0130thal edilen ham petrol\u00fcn neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131na denk gelen bu miktar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik geli\u015fimi i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir mebla\u011f. A.B.D.\u2019nin yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye bask\u0131 kurmas\u0131 durumunda, ki \u015fu an T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00fczerinde zaten kur ve y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 var, ekonomik geli\u015fmemizi kesintiye u\u011fratmamak i\u00e7in kademeli olarak ba\u015fka ham petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelmemiz gerekecek.<\/p>\n<p>Kas\u0131m 2017\u2019de yay\u0131nlanan \u201cKerk\u00fck \u2013 Ceyhan\u2019\u0131n Gelece\u011fi Ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye Etkisi\u201d yaz\u0131s\u0131nda ( <a href=\"https:\/\/tespam.org\/tr\/kerkuk-ceyhanin-gelecegi-ve-turkiyeye-etkisi\/\">https:\/\/tespam.org\/tr\/kerkuk-ceyhanin-gelecegi-ve-turkiyeye-etkisi\/<\/a> ) o d\u00f6nemde hi\u00e7bir yerde dillendirilmedi\u011fi halde Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u0130ran\u2019a yapt\u0131r\u0131m uygulayabilece\u011fini belirtmi\u015ftik. Uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmeler bizi hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Yine o d\u00f6nemde yo\u011fun alg\u0131 y\u00f6netimiyle medyada yer alan Kerk\u00fck petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u0130ran\u2019a akaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberlerin de bu olas\u0131l\u0131k ve di\u011fer sebepler dolay\u0131s\u0131yla imk\u00e2ns\u0131z oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftik, ki bu konuda da yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00f6ncesinde bile bir geli\u015fme olmad\u0131. Yine ayn\u0131 yaz\u0131m\u0131zda \u00e7e\u015fitli sebeplerden \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc Irak\u2019\u0131n Basra\u2019dan sonra en k\u00e2rl\u0131 ihracat kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n Ceyhan liman\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu sebeple Irak\u2019\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ya\u015famad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece T\u00fcrkiye ve \u00fczerinden yap\u0131lan petrol ihracat\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7meyece\u011fini yazm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Bu yaz\u0131m\u0131zda sonra Ba\u011fdat y\u00f6netimi, bizi hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karacak \u015fekilde, I\u015e\u0130D taraf\u0131ndan tahrip edilen Kerk\u00fck-Ceyhan boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n Irak k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n yeniden in\u015faat\u0131na karar verdi. Bizi hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karan bir ba\u015fka geli\u015fme de SOMO\u2019nun (Irak Milli Petrol Sat\u0131\u015f \u015eirketi) genel direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Alaa al-Yassiri\u2019nin, Ceyhan liman\u0131n\u0131n Kerk\u00fck petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn bat\u0131ya sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu ve buradan yap\u0131lan sat\u0131\u015flardan vazge\u00e7meyeceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 oldu. \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanacak ambargo, Kerk\u00fck-Ceyhan boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n onar\u0131lacak olmas\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye-Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerinin IKBY ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k referandumu sonras\u0131 d\u00fczelen ili\u015fkileri k\u0131sa-orta vadede Irak\u2019\u0131n ham petrol ithalat kayna\u011f\u0131m\u0131z olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r; ham petrolde tek bir \u00fclkeye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmamam\u0131z i\u00e7in de sa\u011flamal\u0131d\u0131r da.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Senelerdir \u00fczerine basa basa s\u00f6yledi\u011fimiz bir hususu burada tekrar dile getirmek istiyoruz. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin siyasi, ekonomik ve enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ba\u015flar. Birbirine g\u00f6bekten ba\u011fl\u0131 bu \u00fc\u00e7 etmen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ayakta kalmas\u0131 ve geli\u015fmesi i\u00e7in olmazsa olmazd\u0131r. Siyasi g\u00fcvenlik i\u00e7in ekonomik ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k, ekonomik ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k i\u00e7in de enerjide ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k gerekmekte. Uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r savuna geldi\u011fimiz gibi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin petrol ve do\u011falgaz baz\u0131nda kendi enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcnse yurt i\u00e7inde de\u011filse yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00fcretir ve \u00fclkeye getirir olmas\u0131 gerekmekte. Ancak bu \u015fekilde ula\u015f\u0131m sekt\u00f6rlerini tamamen ve elektrik \u00fcretimini %33 oran\u0131nda etkisi alt\u0131nda bulunduran bu sekt\u00f6rde g\u00fcvenlik ve denge sa\u011flanabilir. Enerji politikalar\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen y\u00f6netim kadrolar\u0131n\u0131n bir an \u00f6nce, sadece \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan kurtulmak i\u00e7in de\u011fil, \u00fclkemizin uzun vadeli enerji ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda petrol ve do\u011falgaz zengini \u00fclkelerde ke\u015ffedilmi\u015f kaynaklara yat\u0131r\u0131m yaparak \u00fcretilen petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131 \u00fclkemize getirmek i\u00e7in gerekli ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u0130lk ba\u015fta sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Orta Do\u011fu merkezli geli\u015fmeler g\u00f6steriyor ki yak\u0131n zamanda b\u00f6lgede Amerika ve \u0130srail eliyle yeni \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ve sava\u015flar \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lacak. Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011finde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kendisini savunmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. \u00dclkemizin her bir ferdi vatan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in elinden gelenin en iyisini yapacakt\u0131r ancak teknolojik olarak da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve haz\u0131r olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Savunma sanayindeki geli\u015fmeleri en \u00f6nden takip etmeli, teknolojiler geli\u015ftirmeli ve yerli\/milli \u00fcr\u00fcnler \u00fcretmeliyiz. Olas\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ya da sava\u015f durumunda en zay\u0131f noktam\u0131z petrol ve do\u011falgazdaki d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z olacakt\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in petrolde \u00fclkemize en az 3-4 ay yetecek ham petrol\u00fc saklayabilecek kapasitede \u201cStratejik Petrol Rezervi\u201d yaratmam\u0131z ve do\u011falgaz i\u00e7in de yer alt\u0131 depolama kapasitemizi h\u0131zl\u0131ca art\u0131rmam\u0131z gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sa-orta vadede b\u00f6lgemizde ya\u015fanabilecek geli\u015fmeler b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin co\u011frafi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011fi gibi ekonomik krizlere de yol a\u00e7abilir. Enerji politikalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kom\u015fular\u0131m\u0131zla iyi ili\u015fkiler temelli kaynak edinme ve enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi \u00fczerine kurarken; d\u0131\u015f politikam\u0131z\u0131 da \u00fclkemizin ve kom\u015fular\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fini b\u00f6lge d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelere kar\u015f\u0131 zay\u0131f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyecek \u015fekilde kurgulamam\u0131z laz\u0131m. \u015eeytanla m\u00fccadele ediyorsan onun gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmen laz\u0131m!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yak\u0131n zamanda hepimizin yak\u0131ndan \u015fahitlik etti\u011fimiz geli\u015fmeler sonucu A.B.D. k\u00fcresel politikas\u0131nda keskin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f yapt\u0131 ve y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinden Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya geri \u00e7evirdi. Bu yorumu yapmam\u0131z\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":6337,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[187,336,856],"ppma_author":[2019],"class_list":["post-6336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-abd","tag-burak-kayael","tag-orta-dogu"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u015eeytan\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/seytanin-orta-doguya-donusu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u015eeytan\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Yak\u0131n zamanda hepimizin yak\u0131ndan \u015fahitlik etti\u011fimiz geli\u015fmeler sonucu A.B.D. k\u00fcresel politikas\u0131nda keskin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f yapt\u0131 ve y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinden Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya geri \u00e7evirdi. 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