Uzun bir s\u00fcredir \u00fclkemizde petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcndemini takip eden ki\u015filerin \u00f6n\u00fcne \u015fu ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 haberler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor: \u201cKerk\u00fck Petrol\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019a Akacak\u201d ya da \u201cKerk\u00fck Petrol\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019a Akmaya Ba\u015fl\u0131yor\u201d. Milletimizde ge\u00e7mi\u015ften beri var olan Kerk\u00fck ve Kerk\u00fck petrolleri hassasiyetini hedef alan bu ba\u015fl\u0131klar a\u00e7\u0131k s\u00f6zl\u00fc olmak gerekirse dikkat \u00e7ekmekten ba\u015fka bir amaca hizmet etmiyor. Kas\u0131m 2017\u2019den beri d\u00f6nem d\u00f6nem \u0131s\u0131t\u0131l\u0131p kamuoyuna sunulan bu haberler asl\u0131nda konuya detayl\u0131 h\u00e2kim olmayanlar i\u00e7in yan\u0131lg\u0131 sebebi. \u00d6ncelikle konunun detaylar\u0131n\u0131 aktar\u0131p daha sonra de\u011ferlendirmelerimize ge\u00e7elim.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\u0130ran ve Irak aras\u0131nda Kas\u0131m 2017\u2019de g\u00fcnl\u00fck 30.000-60.000 varil petrol\u00fc \u201cSwap\u201d yani de\u011fi\u015f-toku\u015f yapmak i\u00e7in anla\u015ft\u0131. Daha detayl\u0131 anlatmak gerekirse Eyl\u00fcl 2017\u2019deki IKBY ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k referandumundan sonra Ba\u011fdat kontrol\u00fcne ge\u00e7en ve at\u0131l durumda bulunan Kerk\u00fck petrol sahalar\u0131ndan \u00fcretilecek petrol \u0130ran\u2019da bulunan belli rafinerilere iletilecek bunun kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ambargolar ve ekonomik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 y\u00fcz\u00fcnden i\u015fletemedi\u011fi g\u00fcney b\u00f6lgelerindeki sahalar\u0131ndan \u00fcretilecek ayn\u0131 miktar (ve m\u00fcmk\u00fcnse ayn\u0131 kalitede) petrol Irak\u2019\u0131n ana ihracat kap\u0131s\u0131 olan Basra liman\u0131na aktar\u0131lacak. Burada ana ama\u00e7 iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ticaret hacmini art\u0131rmak ve iki \u00fclkenin at\u0131l durumda bulunan petrol sahalar\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca faal hale getirmek. Bu sebeple haber ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131nda kullan\u0131lan \u201cakacak\u201d kelimesi kelime anlam\u0131 olarak do\u011fru ama teknik anlamda yanl\u0131\u015f. Bunun sebebi de \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n asl\u0131nda Kerk\u00fck\u2019ten \u00fcretilen petrol\u00fc paras\u0131yla sat\u0131n alm\u0131yor; paran\u0131n icad\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemler gibi de\u011fi\u015f-toku\u015f yap\u0131yor olmas\u0131. Bir di\u011fer sebep de anla\u015fma gere\u011fi Kerk\u00fck petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u0130ran\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131ndan kaynakl\u0131 masraflar\u0131n Irak taraf\u0131ndan, kendi sahalar\u0131ndan \u00fcretilen petrol\u00fcn Basra\u2019ya ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 masraflar\u0131n\u0131 da \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131layacak olmas\u0131. Bu da asl\u0131nda bir sat\u0131\u015f de\u011fil bir sahalar\u0131n faal halde tutulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in becayi\u015f yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Ba\u011fdat y\u00f6netimi yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte \u0130ngiliz BP \u015firketi ile referandum \u00f6ncesi 300.000-350.000 varil olan g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimini (referandum sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemde \u00fcretim yap\u0131lm\u0131yor) 1 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131karmak i\u00e7in bir \u00f6n anla\u015fma imzalad\u0131. Hedef rakam\u0131 \u015fimdilik bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131p referandum \u00f6ncesi \u00fcretim miktar\u0131yla bile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rsak \u0130ran\u2019a yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan transfer g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretim kapasitesinin %10 ila %20\u2019si mertebesinde kalacakt\u0131r. Do\u011frudan a\u00e7\u0131klanmasa da bu anla\u015fma sayesinde tekrar ba\u015flayacak \u00fcretimi Ba\u011fdat y\u00f6netiminin Kerk\u00fck sahalar\u0131nda teknik \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yapmak ve yeniden in\u015fa edilecek olan Kerk\u00fck- Fish Khabur boru hatt\u0131na finansman yaratmak i\u00e7in kullanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. B\u00f6ylece yeni in\u015fa edilen boru hatt\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6denecek maliyetin daha az bir k\u0131sm\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmet b\u00fct\u00e7esinden \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olacak ve Ceyhan liman\u0131na petrol transferi ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 zaman g\u00f6rece daha k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede tam kapasiteye ula\u015f\u0131labilecektir.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Bu bilgileri verdikten sonra not d\u00fc\u015fmekte fayda olan birka\u00e7 nokta var: yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte A.B.D. y\u00f6netiminin \u0130ran\u2019a uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ambargolar ve ge\u00e7en ay Irak\u2019ta ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen genel se\u00e7imleri \u0130ran muhalifi bir partinin kazanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. Bu olaylar bu anla\u015fman\u0131n uzun \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc olmas\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcnde ciddi engeller olarak duruyor. Yenilenen ambargolarda yer alan Irak merkezli Al-Bilad Islamic Bank bu \u00fclkede korkuya sebep olmu\u015f ve Irak Merkez Bankas\u0131 bu bankayla t\u00fcm ili\u015fkilerini kesti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dcretti\u011fi petrol\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k %87\u2019sini ihra\u00e7 eden ve bu ihracat gelirine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan Irak\u2019\u0131n olas\u0131 bir yeni ambargo listesinde Kerk\u00fck\u2019ten gelen petrol\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019da i\u015fleyen \u015firketlerin olmas\u0131 durumunda bu anla\u015fmadan derhal \u00e7ekilecektir.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\u00d6zet olarak bahsi ge\u00e7en anla\u015fman\u0131n iki \u00fclke taraf\u0131ndan karar ba\u011flanmas\u0131ndan ancak 8 ay sonra devreye girebilmesi ve girdi\u011fi d\u00f6nemde de Irak\u2019\u0131n siyasi de\u011fi\u015fim s\u00fcrecinde olmas\u0131, A.B.D.\u2019nin yeni ambargo kararlar\u0131n\u0131n devreye girmi\u015f olmas\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n A.B.D. ambargo karar\u0131 sonras\u0131 uranyum zenginle\u015ftirmeye devam edece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 sebebiyle tam olarak \u00f6l\u00fc olmasa bile sakat do\u011fmu\u015f bir anla\u015fma oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirilebilir. T\u00fcrkiye bu f\u0131rsat\u0131 ak\u0131ll\u0131ca de\u011ferlendirerek 24 Haziran genel se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131 kurulacak h\u00fck\u00fcmet arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla derhal yeni Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmetiyle temasa ge\u00e7meli ve Kerk\u00fck-Ceyhan boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n Irak k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede faal hale getirmek, Kerk\u00fck\u2019ten \u00fcretilecek petrol\u00fcn tekrar Ceyhan\u2019a akmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak ve Kerk\u00fck b\u00f6lgesindeki petrol sahalar\u0131na yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma y\u00fcr\u00fctmeli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Uzun bir s\u00fcredir \u00fclkemizde petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcndemini takip eden ki\u015filerin \u00f6n\u00fcne \u015fu ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 haberler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor: \u201cKerk\u00fck Petrol\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019a Akacak\u201d ya da \u201cKerk\u00fck Petrol\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019a Akmaya Ba\u015fl\u0131yor\u201d. Milletimizde ge\u00e7mi\u015ften beri…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":6391,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[336,196,57,230],"ppma_author":[2019],"class_list":["post-6390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-burak-kayael","tag-enerji-politkalari","tag-kerkuk","tag-ortadogu"],"yoast_head":"\n