{"id":6769,"date":"2018-12-17T09:53:28","date_gmt":"2018-12-17T06:53:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=6769"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:14:06","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:14:06","slug":"katarsiz-bir-opecin-dusundurdukleri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/katarsiz-bir-opecin-dusundurdukleri\/","title":{"rendered":"KATAR\u2019SIZ  B\u0130R OPEC\u2019\u0130N D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcND\u00dcRD\u00dcKLER\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Neredeyse 60 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir birliktelikten sonra, <strong>Katar<\/strong> <strong>OPEC<\/strong> \u00fcyeli\u011finden ticari sebeplerle \u00e7ekilece\u011fini duyurmu\u015ftur. Bu duyuru baz\u0131 uzmanlarca <strong>OPEC<\/strong>\u2019in da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor oldu\u011fu \u015feklinde dahi yorumlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Baz\u0131lar\u0131nca da, s\u00fcrecin ticari kayg\u0131lardan ziyade politik sebeplere dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Peki <strong>Katar<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n bu hamlesi daha analitik bir yakla\u015f\u0131m ile nas\u0131l yorumlanmal\u0131d\u0131r?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Gelinen noktada, <strong>OPEC<\/strong> ile ilgili baz\u0131 hususlara de\u011finecek olursak;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>OPEC<\/strong>\u2019in <strong>petrol<\/strong> fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesi alan\u0131nda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131 kararlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir etki ortaya koyamamaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Bu minvalde fiyatlar\u0131n artt\u0131r\u0131labilmesi maksatl\u0131 Rusya \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, OPEC d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkeler ile \u201cOPEC+\u201d isminde yeni bir karar alma mekanizmas\u0131 da olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. Lakin, bu yap\u0131 dahi gerek ABD\u2019nin yeni kur politikalar\u0131, gerekse de yerli \u00fcretim artt\u0131rma stratejileri gibi sebeplerle istenildi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkin olamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cOPEC+\u201d\u0131n Suudi Arabistan ve Rusya \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde karar almaya ba\u015flamas\u0131, eski k\u00f6kl\u00fc <strong>OPEC<\/strong> \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelerin s\u00fcre\u00e7lerdeki etkinli\u011finin azalmas\u0131 ile sonu\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Zaten 1973 krizinden bu yana eskisi kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve etkin olamayan <strong>OPEC<\/strong>\u2019e y\u00f6nelik, Suudi Arabistan d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00fcyelerin inanc\u0131 zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li><strong>OPEC<\/strong> \u00fcyesi \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan siyasi kutupla\u015fma, Suudi Arabistan blo\u011funun \u0130srail ile birlikte hareket etmeye ba\u015flayarak, <strong>Katar<\/strong> ve \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmanca tutum sergilemesi birlik i\u00e7erisindeki ili\u015fkilerin iyice gerilmesine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>T\u00fcm bu etmenlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, <strong>Katar<\/strong> bir <strong>OPEC<\/strong> \u00fcyesi olarak 25,2 milyar varillik kan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f <strong>petrol<\/strong>\/kondensat rezervi ile birlikte ortalama 0,6 milyon varil\/g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir \u00fcretime sahiptir. Yani bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeden daha fazla rezerve sahiptir. Fakat \u00fcretim miktar\u0131 di\u011fer <strong>OPEC<\/strong> \u00fclkelerine k\u0131yasla o kadar da b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fildir. Do\u011falgaz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da, hali haz\u0131rda d\u00fcnyadaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck LNG tadarik\u00e7isidir. <strong>Katar<\/strong> \u015fu ana kadar ilgili kesinti karar\u0131na fazlas\u0131yla uymu\u015ftur. Son d\u00f6nemde yakla\u015f\u0131k 35 000 varil\/g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir kesintiye gitmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Bunlarla birlikte, <strong>OPEC<\/strong> ve \u201cOPEC+\u201d b\u00fcnyesinde Suudi Arabistan \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde kendisine kar\u015f\u0131 kurulmu\u015f koalisyonun k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131 kararlar\u0131na daha fazla uymak zorunda da de\u011fildir. Bu sayede daha rahat hareket edebilme kabiliyeti de kazanacakt\u0131r. Kald\u0131 ki, kendi hakimiyet alan\u0131 dahilinde yeni <strong>petrol<\/strong> rezervleri bulma gibi bir beklentisi de bulunmamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak, <strong>OPEC<\/strong>\u2019in da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor oldu\u011fu iddialar\u0131 tutarl\u0131 olmasa da, <strong>Katar<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n bu tutumunun arkas\u0131nda ekonomik etkenler bulundu\u011fu gibi, siyasi etmenlerin de var oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilecektir.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>O zaman bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten <strong>Katar<\/strong>, <strong>OPEC<\/strong> yada d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131 nas\u0131l etkilenecektir?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Katar<\/strong> \u00fcretim kesintisi alan\u0131nda ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 bir yapt\u0131r\u0131ma tak\u0131lmadan, \u00fcretimine devam edecektir. Kald\u0131 ki, 35 000 varil \/ g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir kesinti kendisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olsa da, <strong>OPEC<\/strong> yada d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli de\u011fildir. Bunlarla birlikte, <strong>Katar<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n birlikten ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 zamanla \u201cOPEC+\u201d ile etkinli\u011fi azalan di\u011fer <strong>OPEC<\/strong> \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in de emsal bir hamle te\u015fkil edebilecektir.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Peki bu duruma T\u00fcrkiye hangi perspektiften bakmal\u0131d\u0131r?\u00a0 <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu hamleyi kendisi ve \u0130slam d\u00fcnyas\u0131 i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olarak de\u011ferlendirmesi gerekmektedir.\u00a0 Zaten \u00e7ok yak\u0131n ili\u015fkide oldu\u011fu karde\u015f \u00fclke <strong>Katar<\/strong> ile enerji alan\u0131nda yeni hamleler tasarlamal\u0131 ve hayata ge\u00e7irmelidir. Bu kapsamda \u0130slam d\u00fcnyas\u0131na hi\u00e7bir katk\u0131s\u0131 olmayan OPEC\u2019in bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nderli\u011finde kurulacak olan \u201c\u0130slam Enerji Birli\u011fi\u201dnin modellendi\u011fi yap\u0131n\u0131n, <strong>Katar<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n da deste\u011fi ile hayata ge\u00e7irilmesi i\u00e7in ilk ad\u0131m\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda giri\u015fimler yap\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Yazar: O\u011fuzhan Akyener<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Neredeyse 60 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir birliktelikten sonra, Katar OPEC \u00fcyeli\u011finden ticari sebeplerle \u00e7ekilece\u011fini duyurmu\u015ftur. Bu duyuru baz\u0131 uzmanlarca OPEC\u2019in da\u011f\u0131l\u0131yor oldu\u011fu \u015feklinde dahi yorumlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Baz\u0131lar\u0131nca da, s\u00fcrecin\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6772,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[884,106,117,108],"tags":[297,203,116],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-6769","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifika-avustralya","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-tr","tag-katar","tag-opec","tag-petrol"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>KATAR\u2019SIZ B\u0130R OPEC\u2019\u0130N D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcND\u00dcRD\u00dcKLER\u0130 - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/katarsiz-bir-opecin-dusundurdukleri\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"KATAR\u2019SIZ B\u0130R OPEC\u2019\u0130N D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcND\u00dcRD\u00dcKLER\u0130 - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Neredeyse 60 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir birliktelikten sonra, Katar OPEC \u00fcyeli\u011finden ticari sebeplerle \u00e7ekilece\u011fini duyurmu\u015ftur. 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T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/katarsiz-bir-opecin-dusundurdukleri\/","og_locale":"tr_TR","og_type":"article","og_title":"KATAR\u2019SIZ B\u0130R OPEC\u2019\u0130N D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcND\u00dcRD\u00dcKLER\u0130 - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi","og_description":"Neredeyse 60 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir birliktelikten sonra, Katar OPEC \u00fcyeli\u011finden ticari sebeplerle \u00e7ekilece\u011fini duyurmu\u015ftur. 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