{"id":8118,"date":"2019-09-06T16:29:57","date_gmt":"2019-09-06T13:29:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=8118"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:28","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:28","slug":"3-soruda-yeni-kerkuk-ceyhan-boru-hatti-analizi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/3-soruda-yeni-kerkuk-ceyhan-boru-hatti-analizi\/","title":{"rendered":"3 Soruda Yeni Kerk\u00fck – Ceyhan Boru Hatt\u0131 Analizi"},"content":{"rendered":"

3 SORUDA YEN\u0130 KERK\u00dcK \u2013 CEYHAN BORU HATTI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

O\u011fuzhan Akyener<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u201cEnerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakan\u0131 Fatih D\u00f6nmez, Irak Petrol Bakan\u0131 Samir el-Gadban ile ile petrol bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 binas\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen ortak bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye ve Irak’\u0131n kom\u015fu ve karde\u015f iki \u00fclke oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda ba\u015fta enerji olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok alanda i\u015f birli\u011fi i\u00e7inde olduklar\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun geli\u015ftirilmesi gerekti\u011fini vurgulayan D\u00f6nmez, “Irak’\u0131n birlik, beraberlik, huzur ve kalk\u0131nmas\u0131 ilk ba\u015fta T\u00fcrkiye’yi sevindirecek. Irak’\u0131n in\u015fallah o s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcnlerini de geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bundan sonra Irak’\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu her alanda kom\u015fu ve karde\u015f \u00fclke olarak onun yan\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131z.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/em><\/p>\n

Bakan D\u00f6nmez, enerji alan\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ve Irak aras\u0131nda \u00f6teden beri ciddi bir i\u015f birli\u011fi oldu\u011funu dile getirerek, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/em><\/p>\n

“Irak-T\u00fcrkiye Petrol Boru Hatt\u0131<\/strong>, Irak’\u0131n kuzeyinde \u00fcretilen petrol\u00fc piyasa<\/strong>lara en g\u00fcvenli ve en seri \u015fekilde \u00e7\u0131karma imkan\u0131 ve potansiyeline sahip, Ceyhan<\/strong>‘daki terminal \u00fczerinden Akdeniz ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere pazarlara a\u00e7\u0131lma imkan\u0131na sahip. Bug\u00fcn say\u0131n bakanla asl\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok yeni projeyi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme ve de\u011ferlendirme imkan\u0131 bulduk. Irak-T\u00fcrkiye Petrol Boru Hatt\u0131<\/strong> sadece Irak’\u0131n kuzeyindeki petrol\u00fc de\u011fil, \u00fclkenin di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelerinde \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan petrol\u00fcn de pazara ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00f6rev \u00fcstlenebilecek durumda. Yeni projelerden bahsettiler ve bunlar\u0131 biz de memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131k.”<\/em><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ve Irak aras\u0131nda elektrik konusunda ge\u00e7mi\u015fte s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir ticaret oldu\u011funu an\u0131msatan D\u00f6nmez, “Bunu biraz daha geni\u015fletmek arzusunday\u0131z. Keza Irak’\u0131n elektrik altyap\u0131s\u0131nda ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu yap\u0131m ve malzeme hususunda T\u00fcrkiye olarak gereken yard\u0131m\u0131 yapmaya haz\u0131r\u0131z. Bizim m\u00fcteahhit firmalar\u0131m\u0131z Irak’ta \u00f6teden beri bir\u00e7ok altyap\u0131 ve \u00fcstyap\u0131 i\u015finde ba\u015far\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fck projelere imza att\u0131. \u0130n\u015fallah Irak’\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu bu konularda gerek bizim kamu kurumlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n gerekse \u00f6zel kurumlar\u0131n \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015feni yapacaklar\u0131na inan\u0131yorum.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.\u201d ANADOLU AJANSI<\/em><\/p>\n

***<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. S\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fmeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ve Irak aras\u0131nda enerji alan\u0131nda yeni bir sayfa a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \/ yeni bir d\u00f6nem ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebilir miyiz?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Asl\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerde g\u00f6zlemlenen iyile\u015fmeyi yeni bir sayfa olarak nitelemekten ziyade, yeniden normale d\u00f6nme olarak tasvir etmeliyiz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00f6lgedeki sosyopolitik dengeler hala k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Tabii bunlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, birbirine kom\u015fu olan ve bu derece tarihi, etnik, k\u00fclt\u00fcrel ba\u011flar\u0131 bulunan devletlerin ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirmek b\u00fct\u00fcn taraflar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemlidir. Yap\u0131lan ziyaretleri ve kullan\u0131lan ifadeleri bu minvalde de\u011ferlendirmek gerekir. \u00d6te yandan Irak petrol ticaretini geli\u015ftirebilmek i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye ile daha yak\u0131n ili\u015fkiler kurmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini de idrak etmi\u015f durumdad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Mevcut Irak-T\u00fcrkiye petrol boru hatt\u0131<\/strong>ndan yap\u0131lan petrol ihracat\u0131 ortalama ne seviyede bulunmakta? \u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda bu hatta paralel olarak yap\u0131lacak yeni bir petrol boru hatt\u0131<\/strong>yla birlikte bu miktar ne kadar att\u0131r\u0131labilir, ne kadar bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flar? B\u00f6yle bir petrol boru hatt\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n in\u015fa edilmesi ve faaliyete ge\u00e7mesi tahmini ne kadar s\u00fcrecektir?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      Mevcut hat ile ilgili \u00f6ncelikle k\u0131saca ya\u015fanan s\u00fcre\u00e7ten bahsetmek gerekiyor. Kerk\u00fck \u2013 Yumurtal\u0131k boru hatt\u0131<\/strong> olarak bildi\u011fimiz tesis ad\u0131 \u00fczerine, Kerk\u00fck sahas\u0131ndan \u00fcretilen petrol\u00fc Ceyhan<\/strong>\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131mak ve oradan da T\u00fcrkiye ve d\u00fcnya piyasa<\/strong>lar\u0131na arz etmek i\u00e7in kurulmu\u015ftu. Yanyana iki hattan toplamda 1,200,000 varil \/ g\u00fcn miktar\u0131nda ta\u015f\u0131ma kapasitesine haizdi. Zaman zaman yap\u0131lar sald\u0131r\u0131larla boru hatt\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n Irak i\u00e7erisinde kalan k\u0131sm\u0131 zarar g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. En son DAE\u015e sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan sonra da tamamen kullan\u0131lamaz duruma gelmi\u015fti. Bu sebeple Irak i\u00e7erisinde \u00f6zerk y\u00f6netim stat\u00fcs\u00fcnde olan IKBY, kontrol\u00fcndeki sahalardan \u00fcretti\u011fi petrol\u00fc \u00f6ncelikle tankerler ile sonras\u0131nda da yeniden in\u015fa ettikleri ve Kerk\u00fck \u2013 Yumurtal\u0131k hatt\u0131na tam Irak \u2013 T\u00fcrkiye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda ba\u011flanan ve kapasitesi 1 milyon varil \/ g\u00fcn seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lan boru hatt\u0131<\/strong> ile ta\u015f\u0131maya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

      G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze geldi\u011fimizde IKBY \u00fczerinden petrol ticareti s\u00fcrekli devam etmektedir. Belli d\u00f6nemlerde arz artm\u0131\u015f ve azalm\u0131\u015fsa da, \u015fu an i\u00e7in ortalama 550 000 \u2013 600 000 varil \/ g\u00fcn seviyelerinde petrol sevkiyat\u0131 yap\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

      Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla asl\u0131nda Irak Merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ile T\u00fcrkiye aras\u0131ndaki petrol ticareti durmu\u015ftur. Sadece IKBY ile T\u00fcrkiye aras\u0131ndaki ticaret devam etmektedir. Kerk\u00fck \u2013 Yumurtal\u0131k Petrol boru hatt\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n Irak taraf\u0131nda kalan b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn tekrar in\u015fas\u0131, yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ticaretin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ve Ceyhan<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n d\u00fcnya petrol piyasa<\/strong>lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha \u00f6nemli bir noktaya gelmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

      B\u00f6lgede Irak Merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin kontrol\u00fcnde olan \u00e7ok say\u0131da petrol sahas\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bu sayede Merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmet taraf\u0131 da Kuzeyde kalan bu sahalar\u0131 \u00e7ok daha kolay bir \u015fekilde geli\u015ftirebilecektir.<\/p>\n

      \u00d6te yandan, Kerk\u00fck sahas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretim kapasitesinin artt\u0131r\u0131lmak istendi\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, bu giri\u015fim bu saha i\u00e7in de alternatif bir nakil g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. \u0130lgili planlanan hatt\u0131n daha \u00f6nce oldu\u011fu gibi Merkez Irak boru hatlar\u0131 sistemi ile de ba\u011flanacak olu\u015fu, g\u00fcvenlik perspektifinden bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Irak\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131 anlam\u0131nda Basra d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ikinci bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f kap\u0131s\u0131 olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi tercih ediyor oldu\u011funun sinyalini vermektedir.\u00a0 Yani H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131nda olu\u015fabilecek herhangi bir kesinti durumunda, bo\u015f kapasitenin el verdi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Irak da g\u00fcneyde \u00fcretti\u011fi petrol\u00fc kurulmas\u0131 planlanan bu yeni hat \u00fczerinden Ceyhan<\/strong>\u2019a nakil edebilecektir. Bu durum iki taraf i\u00e7in de \u00f6nemlidir. Tabii bu boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n yeniden in\u015fas\u0131 g\u00fczerg\u00e2h belli dahi olsa, g\u00fcvenlik ve finans gibi etmenler de eklendi\u011finde nereden bak\u0131lsa 2 ila 3 y\u0131l\u0131 bulacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

        \n
      1. Irak petrol bakan\u0131 da bu hatt\u0131n Basra-Akabe hatt\u0131na ba\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Uzunca bir s\u00fcredir proje a\u015famas\u0131nda olan bu boru hatt\u0131<\/strong>nda gelinen a\u015famaya ili\u015fkin neler s\u00f6yleyebiliriz? Irak-T\u00fcrkiye Petrol Boru Hatt\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n bu hatta ba\u011flanmas\u0131 b\u00f6lgede petrol arz\u0131na nas\u0131l bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flar?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        Asl\u0131nda Basra \u2013 Akabe hatt\u0131n\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde yorumlamak gerekiyor.\u00a0 Hali haz\u0131rda 4,5 milyon varil seviyelerinde \u00fcretim yapan ve bu \u00fcretimini 2020\u2019de 6,2 milyon varil, 2023\u2019te ise 9 milyon varil \/ g\u00fcn seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131karmak isteyen Irak\u2019\u0131n Basra d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da yeni g\u00fczerg\u00e2hlara ihtiyac\u0131 var. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz bo\u011faz\u0131ndaki gerginlikler Basra borsas\u0131n\u0131 da etkiliyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beklemesek de, alternatif g\u00fczerg\u00e2hlar \u00f6nemli. Bu kapsamda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n da ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ambargolardan kurtulamayaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrse, Irak\u2019\u0131n; \u00dcrd\u00fcn, Suriye ve T\u00fcrkiye olmak \u00fczere 3 yeni ihracat g\u00fczerg\u00e2h se\u00e7ene\u011fi kal\u0131yor. Suriye mevcut durum ve g\u00fcvenlik sebepleri ile yat\u0131r\u0131ma uygun bir tercih de\u011fil. T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in bu sebeple yeni bir hamle ba\u015flat\u0131l\u0131yor ve ili\u015fkiler d\u00fczeliyor. \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019e ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 milyon varil \/ g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir boru hatt\u0131<\/strong> \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Lakin ilgili planlanan boru hatt\u0131<\/strong> g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131nda halen DAE\u015e\u2019in k\u0131smi olarak da olsa varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de biliniyor. Bu sebeple tam kontrol sa\u011flanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bu proje bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc istenilen ivmeyi yakalayam\u0131yor, hayata ge\u00e7emiyor.<\/p>\n

        Akabe \u2013 Basra hatt\u0131 ile Kerk\u00fck \u2013 Yumurtal\u0131k hatt\u0131n\u0131 \u015fu seviyede ili\u015fkilendirmek sadece, diplomatik olarak bir alternatif plan arz\u0131 \u015feklinde bir his alg\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Yoksa as\u0131l \u00fczerinde durulmas\u0131 gereken konu, Kerk\u00fck hatt\u0131n\u0131n Irak merkezi sistemine ba\u011flanacak olu\u015fudur. Ve Irakl\u0131 otoritelerin de kabul edece\u011fi \u00fczere, b\u00f6lgede en g\u00fcvenli, haz\u0131r durumda olan, etkin g\u00fczerg\u00e2h T\u00fcrkiye\u2019dir. Ayr\u0131ca en b\u00fcy\u00fck market de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019dir.<\/p>\n

        Maliyet, altyap\u0131, g\u00fcvenlik, istikrar, karl\u0131l\u0131k ve hedef lokasyondaki depolama \u2013 market kapasitesi nezdinde \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019e k\u0131yasla T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden bir ihracat opsiyonunun \u00e7ok daha mant\u0131kl\u0131 ve yerinde oldu\u011fu b\u00fct\u00fcn taraflarca g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecektir. Yani buradan Basra \u2013 Akabe \u00fczerine daha \u00e7ok konu\u015fulacakken, Kerk\u00fck \u2013 Ceyhan<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n \u00e7ok daha k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede hayata ge\u00e7ebilecek oldu\u011fu tahmin edilebilecektir.<\/p>\n

        Son olarak, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede bahsedilen elektrik ticareti konusuna gelince, Irak\u2019\u0131n (hem merkezi y\u00f6netim hem de IKBY) b\u00f6yle bir ticarete \u00e7ok ihtiyac\u0131 vard\u0131r. Bu da b\u00fct\u00fcn taraflar i\u00e7in makul ve faydal\u0131 bir giri\u015fim olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        3 SORUDA YEN\u0130 KERK\u00dcK \u2013 CEYHAN BORU HATTI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 O\u011fuzhan Akyener   \u201cEnerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakan\u0131 Fatih D\u00f6nmez, Irak Petrol Bakan\u0131 Samir el-Gadban ile ile petrol bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 binas\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinin…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8119,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[106,117,139,109],"tags":[381,1340,216],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-8118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","category-petrol-ve-dogalgaz","category-turk-ulkeleri","category-turkiye","tag-boru-hatti","tag-ceyhan","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n3 Soruda Yeni Kerk\u00fck - Ceyhan Boru Hatt\u0131 Analizi - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/3-soruda-yeni-kerkuk-ceyhan-boru-hatti-analizi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"3 Soruda Yeni Kerk\u00fck - Ceyhan Boru Hatt\u0131 Analizi - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"3 SORUDA YEN\u0130 KERK\u00dcK \u2013 CEYHAN BORU HATTI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 O\u011fuzhan Akyener   \u201cEnerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakan\u0131 Fatih D\u00f6nmez, Irak Petrol Bakan\u0131 Samir el-Gadban ile ile petrol bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 binas\u0131ndaki 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