{"id":8635,"date":"2020-01-23T09:29:29","date_gmt":"2020-01-23T06:29:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=8635"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:26","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:26","slug":"haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari-analizi-ocak-2020-4-hafta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari-analizi-ocak-2020-4-hafta\/","title":{"rendered":"HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (Ocak 2020 \u2013 4. Hafta)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>O\u011fuzhan AKYENER &#8211; TESPAM BA\u015eKANI<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 genel anlamda etkileyen d\u00f6rt ana konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bunlar:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Arz \u2013 Talep Dengeleri\n<ul>\n<li>(Yeni ke\u015fifler, stok durumlar\u0131, sondaj say\u0131lar\u0131, \u00fcretim ve\/veya kesinti kararlar\u0131, uzun vadeli kontratlar)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Ekonomik Trendler\n<ul>\n<li>(Dolar Paritesi, Alternatif Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130mk\u00e2nlar\u0131, Sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>K\u0131sa Vadeli Riskler\n<ul>\n<li>(Siyasi Gerginlikler, Ter\u00f6r, G\u00fcvenlik Sorunlar\u0131, Do\u011fal afetler, Ola\u011fan D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Etmenler)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Black Oil Market<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>ABD\u2019nin resmi petrol stoklar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesine sebep oldu. \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 yay\u0131lan Korono vir\u00fcs\u00fcn olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 riskler ve tahribat olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ile Libya ve Irak\u2019ta devam eden belirsizlikler piyasalar taraf\u0131ndan ciddi anlamda takip ediliyor. Kuveyt ile Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n tarafs\u0131z b\u00f6lgede ortak petrol \u00fcretimi konusunda Kuveyt\u2019te al\u0131nan karar ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyri kuvvetlendiriyor. Bunlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Irak\u2019ta devam eden riskler ve Libya\u2019da ya\u015fanan kesintinin yak\u0131n zamanda daha etkili bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tetiklemesi s\u00f6z konusudur. Bu minvalde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 61 &#8211; 62 $\/varil band\u0131nda seyirine devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Ads\u0131z-1.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-8636\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Ads\u0131z-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"451\" height=\"401\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Grafik 1: Brent Fiyatlar\u0131 (Kaynak: Oilprice.com)<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta ya\u015fanan ba\u015fl\u0131ca geli\u015fmeler ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131na etkileri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda k\u0131saca incelenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<table style=\"height: 1549px;\" width=\"906\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Olay<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\"><strong>Etki Y\u00f6n\u00fc<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"48\"><strong>Etki Oran\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"107\"><strong>Etmen #<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>ABD stoklar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiledi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>\u00c7in\u2019den yay\u0131lan Korono vir\u00fcs\u00fc b\u00fct\u00fcn piyasalar\u0131 negatif etkiledi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Davos zirvesinde hidrokarbon kaynaklara ve bu kaynaklar\u0131 \u00fcreten b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015firketlere y\u00f6nelik sert ele\u015ftiriler, fiyatlar\u0131 negatif etkiledi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>IEA\u2019n\u0131n petrol arz fazlas\u0131 oldu\u011funa dair beklenti a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, fiyatlar\u0131 negatif etkiledi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Kuveyt ile Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n tarafs\u0131z b\u00f6lgede ortak petrol \u00fcretimi konusunda Kuveyt\u2019te al\u0131nan karar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyri kuvvetlendirdi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Kanada ve ABD\u2019deki petrol \u00fcreticisi firmalarda g\u00f6zlemlenen b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli iflaslar, orta vadeli arz potantasiyeli riski olu\u015fturuyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>OPEC+ kararlar\u0131 ve Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n ekstra kesinti s\u00f6ylemleri fiyatlar\u0131 etkilemeye devam ediyor. <\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Irak\u2019ta devam eden s\u00fcre\u00e7, belirsizlikler ve artan riskler petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiliyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>\u00d6zellikle \u0130ran, Venezuela ve Nijerya\u2019da devam eden kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar, fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkilemeye devam ediyor. <\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Libya NOC\u2019den yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada Hafter\u2019in sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sebebiyle \u00fcretimin etkilendi\u011fi (El Feel ve Sharara sahalar\u0131ndaki \u00fcretimlerin Zawiya terminaline nakli engellenmesi sebebiyle \u2013 yakla\u015f\u0131k 350 000 bbld) ve tam kapasite force majeure ilan\u0131 riski bulundu\u011fu ifade edildi. Ayr\u0131ca yine NLA kuvvetlerinin Brega, Ras Lanuf, Hariga, Zueitina ve Sidra limanlar\u0131n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131 sebebiyle de \u00fcretim kapasitesinin 800 000 bbld daha d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade edildi. Bu durumun yak\u0131n zamanda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 daha etkili bir \u015fekilde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkilemesi s\u00f6z konusu.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Brezilya\u2019da \u00fcretim 3 milyon bbld seviyesini a\u015ft\u0131. Hatta Brezilya OPEC\u2019e kat\u0131lma i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Guyana\u2019da ilk ekonomik petrol \u00fcretimi ve ihracat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Irak\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan i\u015fletilen Al Ahdap sahas\u0131nda i\u015f\u00e7i protestolar\u0131 nedeniyle 70 000 bbld lik bir \u00fcretim d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ya\u015fand\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca benzer protestolar Gazprom\u2019un i\u015fletti\u011fi Badra sahas\u0131nda da ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"107\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O\u011fuzhan AKYENER &#8211; TESPAM BA\u015eKANI Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 genel anlamda etkileyen d\u00f6rt ana konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bunlar: Arz \u2013 Talep Dengeleri (Yeni ke\u015fifler, stok durumlar\u0131, sondaj say\u0131lar\u0131,\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7598,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[204],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-8635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (Ocak 2020 \u2013 4. 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