{"id":8693,"date":"2020-02-05T09:44:14","date_gmt":"2020-02-05T06:44:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=8693"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:25","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:25","slug":"haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari-analizi-subat-2020-1-hafta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari-analizi-subat-2020-1-hafta\/","title":{"rendered":"HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (\u015eubat 2020 \u2013 1. Hafta)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>O\u011fuzhan Akyener<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 genel anlamda etkileyen d\u00f6rt ana konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bunlar:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Arz \u2013 Talep Dengeleri\n<ul>\n<li>(Yeni ke\u015fifler, stok durumlar\u0131, sondaj say\u0131lar\u0131, \u00fcretim ve\/veya kesinti kararlar\u0131, uzun vadeli kontratlar)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Ekonomik Trendler\n<ul>\n<li>(Dolar Paritesi, Alternatif Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130mk\u00e2nlar\u0131, Sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>K\u0131sa Vadeli Riskler\n<ul>\n<li>(Alg\u0131lar, Siyasi Gerginlikler, Ter\u00f6r, G\u00fcvenlik Sorunlar\u0131, Do\u011fal afetler, Ola\u011fan D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Etmenler)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Black Oil Market<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019de yay\u0131lan ve neredeyse hayat\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na getiren Korono vir\u00fcs\u00fc, her t\u00fcrl\u00fc artt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 etkiye ra\u011fmenpetrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye devam ediyor. ABD\u2019nin petrol stok miktarlar\u0131, OPEC+\u2019\u0131n bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in ortaya koymaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 eylem planlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Libya ve Irak\u2019ta devam eden belirsizliklerpiyasalar taraf\u0131ndan ciddi anlamda takip ediliyor. Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc etmeni d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki neredeyse di\u011fer t\u00fcm fakt\u00f6rler fiyatlar\u0131 artt\u0131c\u0131 nitelikte olsa da, genel a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendi \u00e7ok da fazla etkilemedi. \u00a0Bu minvalde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 54 -55 $\/varil band\u0131nda seyirine devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcyle m\u00fccadele s\u00fcrecine hakim olunamamas\u0131, vir\u00fcs\u00fcn daha fazla (di\u011fer \u00fclkelere de s\u0131\u00e7rayacak \u015fekilde) yay\u0131lmas\u0131 ve \u00c7in\u2019de tatin daha da uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda Brent\u2019in 1 ay i\u00e7inde 47 $\/v seviyelerini dahi test edebilece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Ads\u0131z.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-8694\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Ads\u0131z.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"369\" height=\"343\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Grafik 1: Brent Fiyatlar\u0131 (Kaynak: Oilprice.com)<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta ya\u015fanan ba\u015fl\u0131ca geli\u015fmeler ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131na etkileri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda k\u0131saca incelenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<table width=\"614\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Olay<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\"><strong>Etki Y\u00f6n\u00fc<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"48\"><strong>Etki Oran\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"60\"><strong>Etmen #<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>\u00c7in\u2019de hayat\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na getiren Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc piyasalar\u0131 hem reel hem de alg\u0131lsal olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkiledi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">\u00c7OK!<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>ABD stoklar\u0131ndaki toparlama petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiledi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn di\u011fer piyasalara, ula\u015f\u0131m ve ticaret sekt\u00f6rlerine de dolayl\u0131 negatif etkileri fiyatlar\u0131 negatif etkiliyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Rusya\u2019n\u0131n petrol ve kondensat \u00fcretiminin artarak 11,26 milyon v\/g seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Kanada ve ABD\u2019deki petrol \u00fcreticisi firmalarda g\u00f6zlemlenen b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli iflaslar, orta vadeli arz potantasiyeli riski olu\u015fturuyor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerileme ayakta kalabilen firmalar\u0131 da tehdit etmeye devam ediyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>OPEC+ Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc etkisini hafifletmek i\u00e7in fazladan 500 000 v\/g ila 1 milyon v\/g l\u00fck bir kesinti daha yapmak i\u00e7in ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Irak\u2019ta devam eden s\u00fcre\u00e7, belirsizlikler ve artan riskler petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiliyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>\u00d6zellikle \u0130ran, Venezuela ve Nijerya\u2019da devam eden kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar, fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkilemeye devam ediyor. <\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Libya\u2019da yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,1 milyon varil azalama ile 200 000 v\/g seviyelerine d\u00fc\u015fen \u00fcretim, fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiliyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O\u011fuzhan Akyener Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 genel anlamda etkileyen d\u00f6rt ana konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bunlar: Arz \u2013 Talep Dengeleri (Yeni ke\u015fifler, stok durumlar\u0131, sondaj say\u0131lar\u0131, \u00fcretim ve\/veya kesinti\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8253,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[204],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-8693","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (\u015eubat 2020 \u2013 1. 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