{"id":8860,"date":"2020-03-09T11:04:28","date_gmt":"2020-03-09T08:04:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=8860"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:24","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:24","slug":"haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari-analizi-mart-2020-2-hafta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari-analizi-mart-2020-2-hafta\/","title":{"rendered":"HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (Mart 2020 \u2013 2. Hafta)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (Mart 2020 \u2013 2. Hafta)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>O\u011fuzhan Akyener<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 genel anlamda etkileyen d\u00f6rt ana konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bunlar:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Arz \u2013 Talep Dengeleri\n<ul>\n<li>(Yeni ke\u015fifler, stok durumlar\u0131, sondaj say\u0131lar\u0131, \u00fcretim ve\/veya kesinti kararlar\u0131, uzun vadeli kontratlar)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Ekonomik Trendler\n<ul>\n<li>(Dolar Paritesi, Alternatif Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130mk\u00e2nlar\u0131, Sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>K\u0131sa Vadeli Riskler\n<ul>\n<li>(Alg\u0131lar, Siyasi Gerginlikler, Ter\u00f6r, G\u00fcvenlik Sorunlar\u0131, Do\u011fal afetler, Ola\u011fan D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Etmenler)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Black Oil Market<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019de ba\u015flayan, neredeyse hayat\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na getiren ve ad\u0131m ad\u0131m t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyaya yay\u0131lan Korono vir\u00fcs\u00fc, her t\u00fcrl\u00fc di\u011fer artt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 etmene ra\u011fmen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde seyretmesine sebep oluyor. Ayr\u0131ca Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u00fcresel yay\u0131l\u0131m\u0131, \u0130ran gibi petrol arz eden \u00fclkelerdeki \u00f6l\u00fcmler ile birlikte, di\u011fer petrol \u00fcreticilerinin de aktivitelerinin aksamas\u0131 ihtimali fiyatlar \u00fczerindeki psikolojik bask\u0131y\u0131 da artt\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc di\u011fer artt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 etmenlere ra\u011fmen, neredeyse di\u011fer t\u00fcm etmenlerin etkilerini hi\u00e7e sayar \u015fekilde, fiyatlar\u0131 \u015fekillendiriyorken, Rusya ile Suudi Arabistan aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan kesinti karar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar ve bu kapsamdaki s\u00f6ylemler b\u00fct\u00fcn dengeleri alt \u00fcst etti.<\/p>\n<p>OPEC+\u2019\u0131n ortak karara varamamas\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n fazladan kesintiye gerek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmesi, fiyatlar\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendini h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. Bu trend \u00f6zellikle ABD ve Kanada gibi \u00fclkelerdeki tight oil \u00fcreticilerini etkileyecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu minvalde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00a033 $\/varil band\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Art\u0131k piyasalar ABD stok a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na ve OPEC+ kararlar\u0131na endekslenmi\u015f durumda. Di\u011fer taraftan korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc etkisi de devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Ads\u0131z.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-8861 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Ads\u0131z.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"419\" height=\"363\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Grafik 1: Brent Fiyatlar\u0131 (Kaynak: Oilprice.com)<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta ya\u015fanan ba\u015fl\u0131ca geli\u015fmeler ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131na etkileri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda k\u0131saca incelenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<table style=\"height: 1291px;\" width=\"904\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Olay<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\"><strong>Etki Y\u00f6n\u00fc<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"48\"><strong>Etki Oran\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"60\"><strong>Etmen #<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>\u00c7in\u2019de hayat\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na getiren Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc piyasalar\u0131 hem reel hem de alg\u0131lsal olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkiledi. \u00c7in\u2019in i\u00e7 talebindeki de\u011fi\u015fimler fiyatlar\u0131 direkt olarak etkiliyor. \u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">\u00c7OK!<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>ABD stoklar\u0131ndaki toparlanman\u0131n beklenenden yine az olmas\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiledi.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn di\u011fer piyasalara, ula\u015f\u0131m ve ticaret sekt\u00f6rlerine de dolayl\u0131 negatif etkileri fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine sebep oluyor. Ayr\u0131ca vir\u00fcs\u00fcn di\u011fer \u00fclkelere s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 alg\u0131sal olarak daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir negatif etki olu\u015fturuyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Vir\u00fcs\u00fcn petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkelere de s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyreden fiyatlar sebebiyle arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131, fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket etme trendine sokuyor. <\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>OPEC+ dahilinde Suudi Arabistan merkezli y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan fazladan 1,5 milyon v\/g\u2019l\u00fck kesinti beklentisi olan kararlara Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ye\u015fil \u0131\u015f\u0131k yakmamas\u0131, Putin\u2019in son a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u00fczerine de Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n tepkileri \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe sebep oldu. Putin\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131lamalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e 6 \u2013 8 $\/v civar\u0131nda yapaca\u011f\u0131 indirim ile birlikte,\u00a0 ihracat\u0131n\u0131 2 milyon v. kadar artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 dengeleri alt\u00fcst etti.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">\u00c7OK!<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Irak\u2019ta devam eden eylemler, korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc yay\u0131l\u0131m\u0131, belirsizlikler ve artan riskler petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiliyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>\u00d6zellikle \u0130ran, Venezuela ve Nijerya\u2019da devam eden kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar, fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkilemeye devam ediyor. Bununla birlikte \u0130ran ve Venezula\u2019n\u0131n ihracat hacmi ambargolar ve \u00c7in\u2019deki talebin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ile iyice azald\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca Hindistan da Venezula\u2019dan petrol al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 durdurdu. <\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>Libya\u2019da yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,2 milyon varil azalama ile 100 000 v\/g seviyelerine d\u00fc\u015fen \u00fcretim, fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkiliyor.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"461\"><strong>ABD\u2019nin petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ihracat\u0131 en y\u00fcksek seviyelerini yakald\u0131.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"45\">\u2193<\/td>\n<td width=\"48\">Az<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (Mart 2020 \u2013 2. Hafta) O\u011fuzhan Akyener Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 genel anlamda etkileyen d\u00f6rt ana konu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bunlar: Arz \u2013 Talep Dengeleri\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7598,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[204],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[2016],"class_list":["post-8860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-periyodik-haftalik-petrol-fiyatlari"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>HAFTALIK PETROL F\u0130YATLARI ANAL\u0130Z\u0130 (Mart 2020 \u2013 2. 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