{"id":8975,"date":"2020-03-28T17:23:31","date_gmt":"2020-03-28T14:23:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=8975"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:24","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:24","slug":"kuresel-korona-dalgasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/kuresel-korona-dalgasi\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00dcRESEL KORONA DALGASI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>K\u00dcRESEL KORONA DALGASI<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>O\u011fuzhan Akyener<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019de ba\u015flayarak b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada yay\u0131lmaya devam eden Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc salg\u0131n\u0131, bireylerden, devletlere, devletlerden de uluslararas\u0131 sisteme kadar her \u015feyi tahmin edilemez boyutlarda etkilemektedir. Reel sa\u011fl\u0131k boyutunun \u00e7ok \u00f6tesinde, alg\u0131sal bir korku iklimi olu\u015fturan, y\u00fcksek bula\u015f\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k \u00f6zelli\u011fiyle hayat\u0131 durma noktas\u0131na getiren, globalle\u015fme d\u00fcsturunu yeni teknolojilerin entegrasyonu ile yepyeni bir \u00e7er\u00e7eveye haz\u0131rlayan ve 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri hayk\u0131r\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 duydu\u011fumuz yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninin makro d\u00fczeydeki sanc\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda da kabul edilebilecek olan bu t\u00fcr biyolojik riskler; ger\u00e7ekten \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri alt\u00fcst eden bir kontrols\u00fczl\u00fckle ilerlerken, olu\u015fturdu\u011fu kriz ortam\u0131nda yeni f\u0131rsatlar da sunabilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Tabii bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, kriz ve f\u0131rsat ayr\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok dikkatle yap\u0131lmas\u0131, f\u0131rsat hamlelerini tasarlarken, en az\u0131ndan baz\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerde ba\u015far\u0131 elde edilebilmesi, bunun i\u00e7in mevcut durumun do\u011fru tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131 ve son olarak da hareket kabiliyeti i\u00e7in elde baz\u0131 imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n olmas\u0131 gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>2020\u2019nin ba\u015f\u0131nda lokal bir grip salg\u0131n\u0131 gibi alg\u0131lanan, fakat \u015fimdi b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck musibet haline gelen Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn, yak\u0131n ve orta gelecekteki direkt ve dolayl\u0131 etkilerinin neler olabilece\u011fi merak uyand\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu merak\u0131n giderilmesi i\u00e7in ihtiya\u00e7 duyulan cevaplar\u0131 vermek, \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez bir\u00e7ok fakt\u00f6r y\u00fcz\u00fcnden \u00e7ok zor oldu\u011fundan, \u00f6ncelikle sa\u011fl\u0131ktan ziyade ekonomik etkilerinden ba\u015flayarak analize girmek daha yerinde olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Herkesin malumudur ki, Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn olu\u015fturdu\u011fu alg\u0131sal korku iklimi neticesinde, hayat\u0131n durma noktas\u0131na gelmesi sebebiyle bir\u00e7ok reel sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir talep azalmas\u0131 ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Petrol, ula\u015f\u0131m (kara-hava-deniz), turizm, otomotiv merkezli \u00fcretim ve lojistik alanlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, neredeyse b\u00fct\u00fcn y\u00f6nleriyle hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. K\u00fcresel ekonomi hali haz\u0131rda normal \u015fartlara k\u0131yasla %15 ila 20 aras\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. \u015eubat ay\u0131n\u0131n 2. haftas\u0131ndan bu yana ge\u00e7en s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel borsalardan toplamda 26 trilyon $\u2019dan fazla para \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. FTSE, Dow Jones,Nikkei gibi piyasalarda % 30 civar\u0131nda kay\u0131plar ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Devletler nezdinde, b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefleri ve bu minvaldeki ad\u0131mlar ikinci plana at\u0131l\u0131rken,<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bireylere y\u00f6nelik sa\u011fl\u0131k politikalar\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>Sosyal takviyeler,<\/li>\n<li>Finansal destek paketleri,<\/li>\n<li>Kurumlar\u0131n iflas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mek i\u00e7in \u00f6nlem mekanizmalar\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>Piyasalardaki \u00e7ak\u0131lman\u0131n etkilerini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik finansal ya da alg\u0131sal giri\u015fimler hayata ge\u00e7irilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada bir\u00e7ok devlet i\u00e7in resesyon tahminleri \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken, ABD, AB ve IMF taraf\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131 etkileyen baz\u0131 \u00f6nlem stratejilerine dair a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yap\u0131lmaya ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00d6ncelikle FED\u2019in faiz azaltmas\u0131 ve piyasalara (yerine g\u00f6re s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z) para s\u00fcr\u00fclece\u011fi, bu kapsamda Trump\u2019\u0131n4 trilyon $\u2019l\u0131k ek paket mekanizmas\u0131na dair a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, s\u00fcreci k\u0131sa vadeli alg\u0131sal bir terse d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe s\u00fcr\u00fcklemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>2008 krizinde de ABD piyasalara 8 trilyon $ civar\u0131nda para pompalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Fakat o d\u00f6nem s\u00fcrecin tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in gerekli olan finanst\u0131r! Fakat \u015fimdiki durumda, her ne kadar piyasalara yeni para giri\u015fi, bir\u00e7ok stok piyasas\u0131nda olumlu kar\u015f\u0131lanm\u0131\u015f ve borsalarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendi ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f olsa da, bu durum talep daralmas\u0131n\u0131n pek de \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7emeyecektir!<\/p>\n<p>Orta vadede, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli krediler ile yeniden balonla\u015fma, \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilemeyen enflasyon ve daha farkl\u0131 ekonomik risklerin olu\u015fmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusudur. Tabii yine de bir resesyon trendini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilmek i\u00e7in finans gereklidir. \u00d6nemli olan bu finans\u0131n nas\u0131l etkili kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve do\u011fru kurum ve \u015fah\u0131slara kulland\u0131r\u0131labildi\u011fidir.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00fcre\u00e7 y\u00f6netiminde dikkat edilmesi gereken ba\u015fl\u0131ca konular:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0130zolasyon sayesinde, sa\u011fl\u0131k sisteminin kapasitesini a\u015fmayacak vaka say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve bu sayede s\u00fcrecin y\u00f6netilebilir kalmas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>\u0130zolasyon d\u00f6neminde ekonomik paketler ile b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilerek, denge kurulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>Kurumlar\u0131 hayatta tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak, orta ve uzun d\u00f6nemli arz\u0131n ve talebin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>Bu sayede kal\u0131c\u0131 i\u015fsizli\u011fe ve iflaslara engel olunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>Korku ve kaos ortam\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclmeden, s\u00fcrecin y\u00f6netilmesi,<\/li>\n<li>KBRN ve biyolojik tehditlere kar\u015f\u0131 toplumsal fark\u0131ndal\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u015fimdiden olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 (\u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc KBRN riski artarak devam edecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir)<\/li>\n<li>Finansal destek paketlerinin do\u011fru \u015fah\u0131s ve \u015firketlere kulland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131,<\/li>\n<li>B\u00fct\u00fcn ek finans paketleriyle uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesi ve \u00fclkeye uzun vadede \u00e7ok kazand\u0131racak hamlelerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 (\u00f6zellikle petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olabilir),<\/li>\n<li>Bir\u00e7ok farkl\u0131 kurum ve bankan\u0131n piyasalar\u0131 rahatlatmak i\u00e7in pompalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni finans sarmal\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 \u201cy\u00fcksek oranlarda likiditenin mevcut oldu\u011fu s\u00fcre\u00e7\u201d i\u00e7in, salg\u0131n\u0131n gerileyece\u011fi d\u00f6nemde k\u00fcresel at\u0131l\u0131mlar yapabilecek stratejilerin kurgulanmas\u0131 (Not: \u00c7in bu s\u00fcrece di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerden h\u0131zl\u0131 ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r!),<\/li>\n<li>Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te iflas edebilme ihtimali olan devletlere (\u0130ran ve Venezuela y\u00f6netimlerindeki olas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimler gibi), y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 stratejiler geli\u015ftirilmesi, yine ilgili olas\u0131 risklere kar\u015f\u0131 tedbir al\u0131p, f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesi<\/li>\n<li>Kriz sonras\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne binecek yo\u011fun y\u00fck\u00fc azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik eylem planlar\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Tabi bu s\u00fcrecin ne kadar uzayaca\u011f\u0131 belli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, yap\u0131lan \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler, bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda al\u0131nan tedbirler, imk\u00e2n ve kabiliyetlerin y\u00f6netiminde de riskler olu\u015fabilecektir. Salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 belli oranlarda toplumsal ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131, yay\u0131l\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131, vaka say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fru tespit edilebilmesi, karantina s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin y\u00f6netimi, a\u015f\u0131 veya ila\u00e7 geli\u015ftirilmesi gibi konular\u0131n hepsi planlama s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde dikkat edilmesi gereken, tahmini zor olan di\u011fer konulard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphe yok ki, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te yeni bas\u0131lan paralar ile uluslararas\u0131 borsalardan hisse de\u011feri d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f \u015firket hisselerini toplamaya muktedir olabilecek \u201cparay\u0131 do\u011fru y\u00f6netenler\u201d en karl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kacak gruplar olacakt\u0131r. Bu noktada b\u00fct\u00fcn taraflar krizi f\u0131rsata \u00e7evirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Bu sebeple enflasyon hesaplar\u0131 bir kenara at\u0131larak, alg\u0131sal korku ikliminin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu sisli ortamda, yeni tarz\u0131yla k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fe yay\u0131lan \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 devam etmektedir. Uluslararas\u0131 sistemi tan\u0131mlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir\u00e7ok teori, s\u00fcrecin analizinde k\u0131s\u0131r kalsa da, yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni modeli s\u00fcrekli bir\u00e7ok akt\u00f6r\u00fcn farkl\u0131 giri\u015fimiyle evrilmekte ve gelecek her an yeni dokunu\u015flarla tahmin edilemez boyutlarda farkl\u0131 noktalara do\u011fru akmaya devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu makro d\u00fczeydeki teoriler her ne kadar, \u201c\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131\u201d, \u201ck\u00fcresel gizli g\u00fc\u00e7ler taraf\u0131ndan ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc bir idrakle y\u00f6netilen s\u00fcre\u00e7\u201d, \u201csil ba\u015ftan bir yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni\u201d gibi komplo-vari s\u00f6ylemleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcrse de, tablo o kadar da basit d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmemelidir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fcnyada bir\u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesi vard\u0131r ve s\u00fcre\u00e7 hi\u00e7birinin tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6netim sa\u011flayamayaca\u011f\u0131 kadar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ve dinamiktir. Baz\u0131 g\u00fcncel \u00f6rnekler vermek gerekirse,<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Trump\u2019\u0131nhali haz\u0131rda se\u00e7imleri alaca\u011f\u0131 kesindir. Lakin se\u00e7ime kadar ge\u00e7ecek zorlu s\u00fcre\u00e7te oy kaybedecek olmas\u0131 da muhtemeldir. Trump\u2019\u0131n rakipleri bu s\u00fcreci aleyhine kullanacaklard\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle k\u00fcresel finans baronu olarak tan\u0131nan bir\u00e7ok aile Trump y\u00f6netimini ve ABD i\u00e7erisinde hali haz\u0131rda etkin milliyet\u00e7i askeri gruplar\u0131 tehdit olarak kabul ediyor ve Trump\u2019\u0131n rakiplerini destekliyorken, bu m\u00fccadele daha da ayyuka \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>ABD\u2019de Trump\u2019\u0131 devirmek isteyen ilgili aileler, Avrupa\u2019da da istedikleri de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri yaparak bu s\u00fcreci maksimum karla tamamlamak isteyeceklerdir.<\/li>\n<li>\u0130lgili k\u00fcresel finans baronlar\u0131 bu hamlelerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra; ABD, Avrupa, \u00c7in ve di\u011fer kritik \u00fclkelerdeki stratejik kurumlar\u0131n ve \u015firketlerin de, kriz sebebiyle d\u00fc\u015fen hisselerini uygun b\u00fct\u00e7eler ile toplayacaklar ve daha etkin \u2013 daha zengin olmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaklard\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Bu sayede \u00c7in \u00fczerindeki etkinlikleri de artacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Zaten ilgili vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 operasyonu \u00f6ncesi Trump\u2019\u0131n hamleleri neticesinde geri ad\u0131m atan \u00c7in ile ABD\u2019nin ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda yumu\u015fama e\u011filimine girmesi de, ilgili k\u00fcresel finans baronlar\u0131n\u0131 rahats\u0131z etmi\u015ftir.<\/li>\n<li>Bu k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs krizi sayesinde \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayarak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok yerinde farkl\u0131 emellerine ula\u015fabilecek imk\u00e2nlar elde etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaklar\u0131 tahmin edilebilecektir.<\/li>\n<li>\u00d6te taraftan bu s\u00fcreci Trump\u2019\u0131n aleyhine olarak \u00c7in, Almaya, \u0130spanya, \u0130talya, \u0130ran ve Fransa da g\u00fc\u00e7leri do\u011frultusunda destekleyecek, en az\u0131ndan isteyeceklerdir.<\/li>\n<li>Trump y\u00f6netimi de \u00f6te yandan, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00c7in\u2019in daha da zay\u0131flamas\u0131na, ABD\u2019nin k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte paray\u0131 daha fazla kontrol edebilmesine zemin haz\u0131rlayacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Brexit ile tam da bu s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda AB\u2019nin y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc omuzlar\u0131ndan atan \u0130ngiltere, \u00c7in ve k\u00fcresel para baronlar\u0131 ile yerine g\u00f6re paralel g\u00f6z\u00fcken, e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak, kimseyi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na almayaca\u011f\u0131 bir diplomasiyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye devam edecektir.<\/li>\n<li>Rusya ilgili kaostan faydalanarak, ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019den do\u011fan b\u00fct\u00fcn bo\u015fluklar\u0131 doldurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Trump bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te (petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da \u00e7ak\u0131lmas\u0131 ile) ciddi yara alan \u0130ran ve Venezuela y\u00f6netimlerini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya devam edecektir. Ve belki ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 da olacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>T\u00fcrkiye ilgili k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7lerin her bo\u015flu\u011fundan faydalanarak, b\u00f6lgesinde daha etkin olmak, b\u00f6lgesel sorunlar\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulabilmek ve mazlum medeniyet co\u011frafyas\u0131na sahip \u00e7\u0131kabilmek i\u00e7in gerekli ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de mevcut iktidar\u0131 devirmek isteyen baz\u0131 gruplar ise, Trump \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi, s\u00fcrecin iyi y\u00f6netilmedi\u011fi ve \u00e7ok daha vahim senaryolar\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131 ile se\u00e7imlere oynama f\u0131rsat\u0131n\u0131 kollayacaklard\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>Almanya \u00fczerine \u00e7ok y\u00fck almadan AB\u2019nin sorunlar\u0131 ile u\u011fra\u015fmaya devam edecek, Fransa ise NATO\u2019dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z askeri modelleri kurgulayabilmek i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, bu \u00f6rneklerden de anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, krizi herkes f\u0131rsat olarak kullanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Bu krizden birilerinin f\u0131rsatlar \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 ve kar etmesi, bu krizi onlar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na da gelmeyecektir. \u00d6te yandan, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten belki de demografik olarak en az etkilenen, bu sayede de en karl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kacak dini grup M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar olacakt\u0131r. Fakat bu krizin arkas\u0131nda M\u00fcsl\u00fcman bir yap\u0131n\u0131n olma ihtimali s\u0131f\u0131rd\u0131r. O halde tutars\u0131z komplo teorilerinden ziyade, olas\u0131l\u0131klar \u00fczerinde yorumlar geli\u015ftirmek daha mant\u0131kl\u0131d\u0131r. Di\u011fer taraftan, bu s\u00fcreci ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f olma ihtimali en y\u00fcksek olan grup da hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz k\u00fcresel finans baronlar\u0131d\u0131r! Bunun idraki ile ABD, T\u00fcrkiye ve hatta yerine g\u00f6re baz\u0131 durumlarda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n baz\u0131 ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda e\u015f g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc politikalar belirlemesi bile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilecektir. Tabii, farkl\u0131 durumlar, ilgili yap\u0131lar\u0131n k\u00fcresel finans baronlar\u0131yla da farkl\u0131 alanlardaki ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 i\u00e7in i\u015f birli\u011fi yapamayaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmeyecektir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc devletler, farkl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda m\u00fcttefikleri ya da tehdit olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri devletler ile ayn\u0131 anda hem \u00e7at\u0131\u015fabilecek, hem de i\u015f birli\u011fi yapabilecektir! Bu k\u00fcresel siyasetin de\u011fi\u015fmez kural\u0131d\u0131r! Bu sebeple komplo teorilerinde her zaman a\u00e7\u0131k kap\u0131lar b\u0131rak\u0131lmal\u0131 ve bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, art\u0131k ger\u00e7ekten insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in baz\u0131 ortak kararlar al\u0131nabilmelidir. Bu k\u00fcresel krizi uluslararas\u0131 bir i\u015fbirli\u011fi ortam\u0131na \u00e7evirmek, bu krizi ba\u015flatan t\u00fcm gruplara vurulabilecek en b\u00fcy\u00fck tokat olabilecektir! Bunun i\u00e7in art\u0131k BM gibi uluslararas\u0131 yap\u0131lar\u0131n daha adil, daha etkin ve daha kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 bir modele b\u00fcr\u00fcnerek, revize edilmesi gerekmektedir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yeni bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek gayeli olu\u015fturulmu\u015f BM\u2019nin mevcut fonksiyonlar\u0131 ve pozisyonu, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n risklerini bertaraf edecek niteliklere haiz de\u011fildir. Bu noktada da \u201cd\u00fcnya be\u015ften b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr\u201d anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn devletlerce anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ve BM\u2019nin yeniden modellenmesi \u00f6nemlidir!<\/p>\n<p>Bundan sonraki d\u00f6nemlerde d\u00fcnyam\u0131z\u0131n \u00e7ok daha fazla biyolojik sald\u0131r\u0131, KBRN tehditleri ve salg\u0131nlar ile u\u011fra\u015faca\u011f\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz bir hakikattir. Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc de \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ihtimalle s\u00fcreci \u00f6nceden yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak! planlayan baz\u0131 k\u00fcresel para baronlar\u0131n\u0131n bir projesidir. Lakin b\u00fct\u00fcn kontrol\u00fcn onlar\u0131n elinde oldu\u011fu gibi s\u00f6ylemler kesinlikle do\u011fru de\u011fildir. \u015e\u00fcphesiz onlar\u0131n da kendi aralar\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok k\u0131r\u0131lma noktas\u0131 ve zay\u0131f y\u00f6nleri vard\u0131r ve belki iki nesil sonra, hi\u00e7birinin esamesidahi okunmayacakt\u0131r. Yukar\u0131da da ifade edildi\u011fi gibi, uluslararas\u0131 sistemde dengeleri de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek bir\u00e7ok etmen vard\u0131r ve bazen hi\u00e7 beklenmedik akt\u00f6rler masay\u0131 y\u00f6netebilecek imk\u00e2nlar elde etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu puslu s\u00fcreci ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri \u00e7ok iyi takip eden T\u00fcrkiye (h\u0131zl\u0131 karar al\u0131p, uygulamaya ge\u00e7ebilme kabiliyeti, yeni risk y\u00f6netim anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131, farkl\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 entegrasyon giri\u015fimleri ile) \u015fu ana kadar iyi y\u00f6netmi\u015f ve bundan sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in de, krizi f\u0131rsata \u00e7evirecek hamlelere odaklanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla in\u015fallah d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve mazlumlar\u0131n taraf\u0131nda olan T\u00fcrkiye bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten de g\u00fc\u00e7lenerek \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in de, toplumsal destek, milli birlik ve beraberlik, korku senaryolar\u0131na kulak asmamak, devletin makro d\u00fczeydeki hedeflerini uygulamas\u0131nda elden geldi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sab\u0131r ve gayret ile devlete yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak elzemdir!<\/p>\n<p>Unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r ki, b\u00f6yle bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te, basit g\u00f6r\u00fclen bir \u201cevde kalma\u201d uygulamas\u0131 dahi makro d\u00fczeyde bir\u00e7ok dengeyi dolayl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek bir eylem haline gelebilecektir!<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca bundan sonra toplum olarak biyolojik tehditlerle ya\u015fama k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fc kazanmam\u0131z \u00e7ok \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bundan sonra b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00e7ok daha fazla ve daha yo\u011fun olarak bu t\u00fcr s\u00fcre\u00e7lere ve sald\u0131r\u0131lara maruz kal\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmek hi\u00e7 de zor de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p>Gelecek bu tarz tehditlerle ya\u015famay\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenebilen, bu minvaldeki riskleri y\u00f6netebilen toplumlar\u0131n olacakt\u0131r!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00dcRESEL KORONA DALGASI O\u011fuzhan Akyener &nbsp; \u00c7in\u2019de ba\u015flayarak b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada yay\u0131lmaya devam eden Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc salg\u0131n\u0131, bireylerden, devletlere, devletlerden de uluslararas\u0131 sisteme kadar her \u015feyi tahmin\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":8976,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[258,322,988,177,879,133,220,108,109],"tags":[497,1394,114,1460,1461],"ppma_author":[2017],"class_list":["post-8975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-avrupa","category-cin","category-iklim-cevre","category-abd","category-politika-diplomasi-ihtilaflar-guvenlik","category-raporlar","category-guncel-raporlar","category-tr","category-turkiye","tag-guney-cin-denizindeki-enerji-potansiyeli","tag-covid","tag-oguzhan-akyener","tag-salgin","tag-uluslararasi-iliski"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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