{"id":9105,"date":"2020-05-01T10:21:24","date_gmt":"2020-05-01T07:21:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/tr\/?p=9105"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:15:23","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T19:15:23","slug":"elektrikli-arac-donemi-gercek-anlamda-ne-zaman-baslayacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/elektrikli-arac-donemi-gercek-anlamda-ne-zaman-baslayacak\/","title":{"rendered":"ELEKTR\u0130KL\u0130 ARA\u00c7 D\u00d6NEM\u0130 GER\u00c7EK ANLAMDA NE ZAMAN BA\u015eLAYACAK?"},"content":{"rendered":"

ELEKTR\u0130KL\u0130 ARA\u00c7 D\u00d6NEM\u0130 GER\u00c7EK ANLAMDA NE ZAMAN BA\u015eLAYACAK?<\/strong><\/p>\n

O\u011fuzhan Akyener<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar ula\u015f\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde son y\u0131llar\u0131n en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan konu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndand\u0131r. Bu ba\u011flamda, petrole talebin sona erdi\u011fi, \u00e7ok yak\u0131n zamanda t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyan\u0131n konvansiyonel i\u00e7ten yanmal\u0131 motorlardan vazge\u00e7ece\u011fi, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n zaten b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu at\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck beklentiler ve s\u00f6ylemler her ne kadar tutarl\u0131 olmasa da dikkat \u00e7ekmektedir.<\/p>\n

Hibrit motorlar\u0131 da konvansiyonel ara\u00e7lar kapsam\u0131nda ele alarak, bir k\u0131yaslama yaparsak; g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde k\u00fcresel anlamda i\u015fler vaziyetteki ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 1,2 milyar civar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu, bunun sadece %0,4\u2019inin elektrikli ara\u00e7 oldu\u011fu tahmin edilmektedir. Yani d\u00fcnyam\u0131zdaki elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n en iyi ihtimalle say\u0131s\u0131 5 milyonun alt\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Genel hatlar\u0131yla elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131, avantajlar\u0131n\u0131, beklentileri, bu ba\u011flamda gelece\u011fe dair projeksiyonlar\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu alanda att\u0131\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 belli sorular d\u00e2hilinde incelersek,<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Elektrikli Ara\u00e7lar\u0131n (EA) Avantajlar\u0131 ve Dezavantajlar\u0131 Nelerdir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz ko\u015fullar\u0131nda (teknoloji ve maliyet perspektiflerinden) avantaj ve dezavantajlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda incelenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
EA\u2019lar\u0131n Avantajlar\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\nEA\u2019lar\u0131n Dezavantajlar\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Konvansiyonel motorlara k\u0131yasla daha verimlidir ve performanslar\u0131 daha y\u00fcksektir.<\/td>\n\u015earj s\u00fcreleri uzundur.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sessiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r ve g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc kirlili\u011fine sebep olmaz.<\/td>\n\u015earj sonras\u0131 tam dolu batarya ile kat edilebilecek yol miktarlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Havay\u0131 kirletmez.<\/td>\nBatarya sebebiyle \u00fcretim maliyetleri ve sat\u0131\u015f bedelleri %40 oran\u0131nda daha y\u00fcksektir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00c7ok daha basit bir sistemi vard\u0131r. Bu sebeple daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tamir, bak\u0131m, onar\u0131m maliyetleri vard\u0131r.<\/td>\nHer yerde \u015farj istasyonu bulmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Daha g\u00fcvenlidir.<\/td>\nHer yerde bak\u0131m-onar\u0131m gibi ihtiya\u00e7lar d\u00e2hilinde yetkili bulmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Km ba\u015f\u0131na birim yak\u0131t maliyeti daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr.<\/td>\nEvde \u015farj imk\u00e2n\u0131 olu\u015fturabilmek i\u00e7in masraf yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekmektedir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\nUlusal anlamda \u015farj imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rabilmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131ma ihtiya\u00e7 duyulmaktad\u0131r.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\nUlusal anlamda ilgili ara\u00e7lar\u0131 cazip hale getirmek i\u00e7in te\u015fvik ve vergi indirimi gibi ek b\u00fct\u00e7eye ihtiya\u00e7 duyulan hamleler gereklidir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Tablo 1: Elektrikli Ara\u00e7lar\u0131n Avantaj ve Dezavantajlar\u0131<\/em><\/p>\n

Not: Birim pil maliyetleri yeni teknolojilerle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimindedir. 2010\u2019da 600 Euro\/kwh seviyelerinde olan birim maliyetler, 2017\u2019de 170 Euro\/kwh d\u00fczeyine gerilemi\u015ftir. Beklentimiz, 2025\u2019lerde 100 Euro \/ kwh seviyelerine d\u00fc\u015fmesidir.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Mevcut Durumda T\u00fcrkiye \u015eartlar\u0131nda Elektrikli Ara\u00e7lar\u0131 Ekonomik A\u00e7\u0131dan Nas\u0131l De\u011ferlendiririz?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in tercih edilir hale gelmesi gerekmektedir. Bunun i\u00e7in de \u00f6ncelikli olarak baz\u0131 ekonomik avantajlar sa\u011fl\u0131yor olmas\u0131 elzemdir.<\/p>\n

O halde, T\u00fcrkiye hjk\u00f6<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\nDizel Ara\u00e7<\/strong><\/td>\nElektrikli Ara\u00e7<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Fiyat\u0131 (TL)<\/strong><\/td>\n200 000<\/td>\n280 000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Birim Yak\u0131t <\/strong><\/td>\n6 lt\/100 km<\/td>\n180 wh \/ km<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ayl\u0131k Kullan\u0131m Miktar\u0131 (km)<\/strong><\/td>\n3000<\/td>\n3000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Birim Yak\u0131t Fiyat\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n5.7 TL\/km<\/td>\n0.493948 TL\/kWh<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ayl\u0131k Yak\u0131t Harcamas\u0131 (TL)<\/strong><\/td>\n1026<\/td>\n267<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Tablo 2: Elektrikli ve Dizel Ara\u00e7lar\u0131n K\u0131yaslanmas\u0131<\/em><\/p>\n

Tablodan da g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ko\u015fullarda (MOD) iki ara\u00e7 aras\u0131ndaki 80 000 TL\u2019lik fiyat fark\u0131n\u0131n amorti s\u00fcresi hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Fiyat fark\u0131n\u0131 253 000 km\u2019de amorti edecektir. (Not: Bu hesaplara enflasyon oranlar\u0131 d\u00e2hil edilmemi\u015ftir. Enflasyon oranlar\u0131 da eklendi\u011finde, ilgili km band\u0131 daha da \u00f6telenecektir.)<\/li>\n
  • Fiyat fark\u0131n\u0131 84 ayda, yani takriben 7 y\u0131lda amorti edecektir. (Not: Tablodan da g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere, arac\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 100 km, ayl\u0131k ise 3000 km yol kat etti\u011fi varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Buradan da anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, mevcut ko\u015fullarda amorti s\u00fcreleri bir hayli uzundur. Bu s\u00fcrelere bir de enflasyon oran\u0131 eklendi\u011finde, belki amorti s\u00fcresi 9 y\u0131l\u0131 dahi bulacakt\u0131r. Bu durumda baz\u0131 te\u015fvik vb. paketler ve fikir de\u011fi\u015ftirici fakt\u00f6rler olmazsa, elektrikli ara\u00e7 tercih edilebilir de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n

    Not: Yukar\u0131daki tablodaki birim elektrik (yak\u0131t) fiyat\u0131 EP\u0130A\u015e\u2019tan al\u0131nan veriler kullan\u0131larak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u015fekilde mesken kullan\u0131m\u0131 dikkate al\u0131narak hesaplanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n

    Tablo 3: Mart 2020 Birim Elektrik Fiyat\u0131n\u0131n Hesaplanmas\u0131 <\/em><\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    \u015earj \u0130le \u0130lgili Ne Gibi S\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar Olabilecektir? <\/strong><\/p>\n

    \u00d6ncelikle mevcut teknoloji ile ara\u00e7lar\u0131n \u015farj s\u00fcreleri konvansiyonel yak\u0131tlara g\u00f6re hem \u00e7ok daha uzun, hem de zahmetlidir. Akaryak\u0131t istasyonunda dolum bir ya da iki dakika i\u00e7erisinde tamamlanabiliyor, bir dizel ara\u00e7, ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 tam depo yak\u0131t ile neredeyse 1000 km\u2019ye yak\u0131n yol kat edebiliyor iken, elektrikli arac\u0131n:<\/p>\n

      \n
    • Tam \u015farj durumunda gidebilece\u011fi ortalama mesafe 300 \u2013 500 km aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fmektedir.<\/li>\n
    • Y\u00fck, e\u011fim, hava s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131, trafik yo\u011funlu\u011fu gibi bir\u00e7ok kriterbu mesafeyi etkileyecektir.<\/li>\n
    • T\u00fcrkiye ko\u015fullar\u0131nda \u015farj istasyonu bulabilecek lokasyon \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/li>\n
    • Bu da elektrikli arac\u0131n \u015fehirleraras\u0131 ula\u015f\u0131mda kullan\u0131lamamas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmektedir.<\/li>\n
    • \u015eehir i\u00e7i kullan\u0131mlarda, evlerde ya da belli noktalarda h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015farj imk\u00e2n\u0131 bulunabilse dahi, h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015farj ile de \u015farj s\u00fcresi en iyi ihtimalle 1 saati bulacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n
    • Ayr\u0131ca elektrikli arac\u0131n en maliyetli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc olan batarya \u00f6mr\u00fc bu hesaplamalara d\u00e2hil edilmemi\u015ftir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Bu gibi olumsuzluklar tercih edilebilirli\u011fi direkt olarak negatif etkilemektedir.<\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n

      Evlerde \u015earj Edebilme Maliyetleri Nedir? Evde \u015earj Hangi \u00d6l\u00e7\u00fcde M\u00fcmk\u00fcn Olacakt\u0131r? \u015earj S\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde Ne Gibi Zorluklarla Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131labilir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u00d6ncelikle evde \u015farj edebilme imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak gerekli (orta d\u00fczeyde kaliteli ve arac\u0131 6-8 saatte tam \u015farj edebilecek nitelikte olan) ekipmanlar\u0131n ortalama fiyat\u0131 1000 Euro civar\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bu da TL baz\u0131nda 7000 TL\u2019nin \u00fczerinde bir maliyet y\u00fck\u00fc anlam\u0131na gelmektedir.<\/p>\n

      Tabii evde elektrikli arac\u0131 \u015farj edebilmek i\u00e7in, sadece 7000 TL\u2019yi \u00f6deyerek, ilgili ekipmanlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak da yeterli de\u011fildir. Bu ekipman\u0131 kullanabilmek i\u00e7in:<\/p>\n

        \n
      • Arac\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 s\u00fcrekli park edebilece\u011finiz size ait bir park yeri olmas\u0131,<\/li>\n
      • Bu park yerine elektrik \u00e7ekebilecek bir temin noktas\u0131 olmas\u0131,<\/li>\n
      • \u0130lgili temin noktas\u0131ndan ciddi anlamda elektrik al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr ise, elektrik ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z dairenizin, apartman\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n, mahallenizin ya da mahall\u00eenizin ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu trafonun ve tesisat\u0131n ilgili y\u00fck\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olarak kald\u0131r\u0131yor olmas\u0131 gerekmektedir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        Di\u011fer bir ifade ile arac\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 evinizin \u00f6n\u00fcnde \u015farj edebilmek i\u00e7in, ilgili \u015farj ekipman\u0131 sat\u0131n al\u0131nd\u0131ktan sonra, evinizden arac\u0131n\u0131za elektrik ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011finizde, ilgili ak\u0131m\u0131 iletecek ekipmanlar\u0131n yeterli olmas\u0131 gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n

        Bir \u00f6rnek vermek gerekirse: Apartmanda ya\u015f\u0131yorsunuz ve kendinize ait, dairenize yak\u0131n bir park yeriniz var. Evinizden kablo \u00e7ekerek \u015farj etmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yorsunuz. Fakat ayn\u0131 apartmanda 3 ki\u015fi daha elektrikli ara\u00e7 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, apartman\u0131n elektrik sistemi ve ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu trafonun kapasitesi hepinize \u015farj imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flayam\u0131yor. Yani bu durumda s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir evde \u015farj imk\u00e2n\u0131 i\u00e7in altyap\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmesi gerekiyor. Bunun i\u00e7in de hem devletin hem de ilgili kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ciddi anlamda yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmas\u0131 ihtiyac\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor! Devletin ilgili alandaki ihtiyac\u0131 gidermesi i\u00e7in bir\u00e7ok yaz\u0131\u015fma ve b\u00fct\u00e7e ayr\u0131labilmesi, sizin de ilgili sistemi kurabilmeniz i\u00e7in, b\u00fct\u00fcn apartman\u0131n onay\u0131n\u0131 alman\u0131z gerekiyor. Bu durumda s\u00fcre\u00e7 mevcut ko\u015fullarda epey zora giriyor.<\/p>\n

        Bunlar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, \u015fehir i\u00e7inde g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 100 km yol yap\u0131yorsan\u0131z, mevcut ko\u015fullarda ortalama 3 g\u00fcnde bir arac\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 \u015farj etmeniz gerekiyor. \u015earj etmenin prosed\u00fcrleri ve u\u011fra\u015f\u0131s\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131z dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda teferruatl\u0131 ise bu durum \u015fehir i\u00e7inde dahi tercih edilebilirli\u011fi \u00e7ok negatif etkiliyor. \u015eehir d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kullan\u0131m ise, \u00fclkenin ya da seyahat edece\u011finiz b\u00f6lgenin \u015farj ko\u015fullar\u0131na g\u00f6re (yolda kalmamak i\u00e7in) \u00e7ok detayl\u0131 ve hatas\u0131z bir planlama s\u00fcreci ihtiyac\u0131 do\u011furuyor.<\/p>\n

        \u00d6te yandan cep telefonlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015farj\u0131n\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z gibi arac\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n da \u015farj\u0131 i\u00e7in bir planlama yapman\u0131z gerekiyor. Bazen i\u015f yo\u011funlu\u011fu bu planlamay\u0131 do\u011fru yapmaman\u0131za sebep olabiliyor!<\/p>\n

         <\/p>\n

        Normal \u015eartlarda Evlerdeki Elektrik Y\u00fck\u00fc \u0130le Elektrikli Ara\u00e7lar\u0131n Bindirece\u011fi Elektrik Y\u00fck\u00fc Nas\u0131l K\u0131yaslanabilir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

        Normal \u015fartlarda (ekonomik durumu orta d\u00fczeyde olan) 5 ki\u015filik bir ailenin, baz\u0131 varsay\u0131mlar ile evde elektrik t\u00fcketimi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda hesaplanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n

        Tablo 4: Normal \u015eartlarda Bir Hanenin ve Elektrikli Arac\u0131n G\u00fcnl\u00fck ve Ayl\u0131k Elektrik T\u00fcketimleri<\/em><\/p>\n

        Tablodan da g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi \u00fczere, ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde elektrik t\u00fcketebilen bir hanenin g\u00fcnl\u00fck elektrik t\u00fcketimi 11 kwh d\u00fczeyindedir. G\u00fcnl\u00fck 100 km yol yapan, 180 wh\/km\u2019lik ortalama yak\u0131t de\u011ferine sahip bir elektrikli arac\u0131n ise, g\u00fcnl\u00fck ihtiyac\u0131 olan elektrik miktar\u0131 18 kwh\u2019t\u0131r. Yani ilgili arac\u0131n, burada \u00f6rnek g\u00f6sterilen haneden elektrik almas\u0131, hanenin elektrik t\u00fcketim kapasitesini bir anda %160 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. Bu da hemen hemen b\u00fct\u00fcn konutlarda kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir y\u00fck anlam\u0131na gelecektir. Bunun a\u015f\u0131labilmesi i\u00e7in de yukar\u0131da da bahsedildi\u011fi \u00fczere, konutlarda, apartmanlarda ve genel da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m \u015febekelerinde revizyonlar yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gere\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

         <\/p>\n

        Elektrikli Ara\u00e7lar Mevcut Otomotiv Markalar\u0131n\u0131 Geri Plana M\u0131 \u0130tecek? K\u00fcresel Enerji Devleri Bu S\u00fcre\u00e7te Yok Mu Olacak?<\/strong><\/p>\n

        Sadece TESLA\u2019n\u0131n elektrikli ara\u00e7 teknolojisine sahip oldu\u011fu, di\u011fer bilinen me\u015fhur markalar\u0131n bu konuda geri olduklar\u0131 \u015feklinde bir alg\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bu alg\u0131 kesinlikle tutarl\u0131 de\u011fildir. Hatta di\u011fer bir\u00e7ok ara\u00e7 markas\u0131n\u0131n dinamik ve mekanik anlam\u0131nda TESLA\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde oldu\u011fu da bilinen bir ger\u00e7ektir. \u00d6te yandan mevcut elektrikli ara\u00e7 piyasalar\u0131 incelendi\u011finde, BMW gibi bir\u00e7ok me\u015fhur markan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok farkl\u0131 modelle piyasada yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 fark edilebilecektir.<\/p>\n

        K\u00fcresel enerji devlerine gelince, elektrikli ara\u00e7lar bir anda piyasalara h\u00e2kim olup, ula\u015f\u0131mdaki petrol talebini sona erdiremeyece\u011fine g\u00f6re, teknoloji \u2013 finans \u2013 ARGE d\u00fczeyi gibi bir\u00e7ok alanda d\u00fcnyadaki en \u00f6nde giden yap\u0131lar olan k\u00fcresel enerji devlerinin de ilgili trendleri \u00e7ok iyi okuyarak, \u00f6nlem alacaklar\u0131 tahmin edilebilecektir. Kald\u0131 ki, bu tarz b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol-gaz \u015firketlerinin yenilenebilir alan\u0131nda teknoloji geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi de bilinen bir ger\u00e7ektir.<\/p>\n

         <\/p>\n

        Uzun Vadeli K\u00fcresel Projeksiyonlar Ne G\u00f6steriyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

        TESPAM b\u00fcnyesinde haz\u0131rlanan \u201cWorld Energy Outlook 2100\u201d isimli raporda uluslararas\u0131 literat\u00fcrde ilk olma niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yan, uzun d\u00f6nemli projeksiyonlara yer verilmi\u015ftir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikler ilgili raporlardan ve TESPAM ar\u015fivlerinden al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n

        Grafik 1: K\u00fcresel Petrol T\u00fcketimi 2100 (TESPAM)<\/em><\/p>\n

        Grafik 1 ve 2\u2019de k\u00fcresel petrol t\u00fcketim miktar\u0131 ve ilgili t\u00fcketimin hangi alanlarda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fine dair projeksiyonlara yer verilmi\u015ftir. \u0130lgili grafiklerden de anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, petrol t\u00fcketimi azalan bir art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 ile 2070\u2019li y\u0131llara kadar artmaya devam edecektir.<\/p>\n

        \u0130lgili art\u0131\u015f devam ederken de,<\/p>\n

          \n
        • Petrolden elektrik eldesi neredeyse g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilebilecek d\u00fczeylere inecek,<\/li>\n
        • End\u00fcstriyel kullan\u0131m artmaya devam edecek,<\/li>\n
        • Ula\u015f\u0131mdaki t\u00fcketim ise (3 numaral\u0131 grafikten de ayr\u0131ca g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi \u00fczere) 2040\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llardan sonra azalma trendine girecektir. Ancak ilgili y\u0131llardan sonra, elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n piyasalardaki etkinli\u011finden s\u00f6z edilebilecektir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          Grafik 2: Alanlar\u0131na G\u00f6re K\u00fcresel Petrol T\u00fcketimi 2100 (TESPAM)<\/em><\/p>\n

           <\/p>\n

          Grafik 3: Ula\u015f\u0131m Alan\u0131nda K\u00fcresel Petrol T\u00fcketimi 2100 (TESPAM)<\/em><\/p>\n

           <\/p>\n

          Korona Vir\u00fcs\u00fc \u0130le \u00c7ak\u0131lan Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 Elektrikli Ara\u00e7lara Nas\u0131l Yans\u0131d\u0131?<\/strong><\/p>\n

          Korona vir\u00fcs\u00fc salg\u0131n\u0131 ile elektrikli ara\u00e7 trendini etkileyecek 3 ana fakt\u00f6r belirmi\u015ftir. Bunlar:<\/p>\n

            \n
          • Salg\u0131n nedeniyle ekonomiler b\u00fcy\u00fck zarar g\u00f6rd\u00fc. K\u00fcresel anlamda %25\u2019ler oran\u0131nda ekonomik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeler ve GSMH d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri ya\u015fand\u0131. B\u00fct\u00fcn devletler ortalama GSMH\u2019n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 ve hatta belki daha fazlas\u0131 oran\u0131nda uzun vadeli bor\u00e7lanma ve finansal stoklar\u0131n\u0131 eritme durumunda kald\u0131. Bu sebeple, uzun d\u00f6nemli b\u00fct\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131m planlar\u0131 revize edildi. \u0130vedi ve hayati olma stat\u00fcs\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131mayan b\u00fct\u00fcn destek ve te\u015fvik paketleri de ertelenme riski ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131. Bu kapsama giren, elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli olan; finansal destekler, vergi indirimleri ve te\u015fviklerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra,revize edilmesi gereken elektrik altyap\u0131lar\u0131na dair yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n tamam\u0131 ya sekteye u\u011frad\u0131 ya da \u00f6telenmek zorunda kald\u0131.<\/li>\n
          • Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ile birlikte petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131 da d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu sebeple, yukar\u0131da da ifade edilen, dizel \u2013 elektrikli ara\u00e7 aras\u0131ndaki ekonomik avantaj d\u00fczeyi, konvansiyonel akaryak\u0131tlar lehine geli\u015fti.<\/li>\n
          • Otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fc b\u00fct\u00fcn y\u00f6nleriyle b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ya\u015fad\u0131. Talep durdu ve bu alandaki ARGE d\u00e2hil b\u00fct\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mlar sekteye u\u011frad\u0131. Bu uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131m planlar\u0131n\u0131 da etkiledi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla korona krizi k\u00fcresel anlamda elektrikli ara\u00e7 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm trendini biraz daha \u00f6telemi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

             <\/p>\n

            T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Yerli Otomobil Hamlesi Hakk\u0131nda Ne S\u00f6ylenebilir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Her ne kadar elektrikli arac\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 ve tercih edilebilir duruma gelmesi i\u00e7in en az\u0131ndan:<\/p>\n

              \n
            • bir on y\u0131l daha s\u00fcreye,<\/li>\n
            • ciddi yat\u0131r\u0131m b\u00fct\u00e7elerine<\/li>\n
            • ve daha ucuz \u2013 yeni teknolojilere ihtiya\u00e7 duyulsa da, y\u0131llard\u0131r \u201cyerli otomobil\u201d konusunda hayallerini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye bu denli yakla\u015fan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu alandaki hamleleri hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz \u00e7ok \u00f6nemlidir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              Tabi ki, elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 zaman alacakt\u0131r. Fakat gelecek planlar\u0131 yaparken, bir yerden ba\u015flanmas\u0131 ve yerli teknolojinin ekonomik olarak seri \u00fcretime d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n

              Korona salg\u0131n\u0131 sebebiyle bu alandaki hedeflerin, ekonomik ko\u015fullara g\u00f6re belki bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine \u00f6telenmesi s\u00f6z konusu olabilse de, k\u00fcresel anlamda elektrikli ara\u00e7 trendi yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde en son teknolojiyi \u00fcretebilen ve medeniyet co\u011frafyas\u0131na yeni markas\u0131yla hizmet veren bir T\u00fcrkiye meydana getirebilmek i\u00e7in, bug\u00fcn at\u0131lan ad\u0131mlara b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtiya\u00e7 vard\u0131r.<\/p>\n

              \u00d6nemli olan sab\u0131rla gelece\u011fi tasarlamak ve niyetlenen giri\u015fimlerin, (korona salg\u0131n\u0131 sebebiyle) i\u00e7inde bulunulan zorlu s\u00fcreci atlatabilmesini sa\u011flamakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

              Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te 2020\u2019deki seri \u00fcretim hedefleriyle birlikte elektrik da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n da geli\u015ftirilmesi, yeni imar modellerinin, \u015farj imk\u00e2nlar\u0131 da g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131narak, \u015fekillendirilmesi \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

              Ayr\u0131ca, pil teknolojileri ile ilgili ARGE yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 da, b\u00fct\u00fcn dengeleri de\u011fi\u015ftirecek sonu\u00e7lar elde edilmesini sa\u011flayabilecektir.<\/p>\n

               <\/p>\n

               <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

              ELEKTR\u0130KL\u0130 ARA\u00c7 D\u00d6NEM\u0130 GER\u00c7EK ANLAMDA NE ZAMAN BA\u015eLAYACAK? O\u011fuzhan Akyener     Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar ula\u015f\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde son y\u0131llar\u0131n en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan konu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndand\u0131r. Bu ba\u011flamda, petrole talebin sona erdi\u011fi, \u00e7ok…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":12770,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thinkrank_schema_form_data":"","_thinkrank_selected_schema_type":"","_thinkrank_additional_schemas":"","_thinkrank_canonical_url":"","_thinkrank_og_title":"","_thinkrank_og_description":"","_thinkrank_og_image":"","_thinkrank_twitter_title":"","_thinkrank_twitter_description":"","_thinkrank_twitter_image":"","_thinkrank_imported_from":"","_thinkrank_focus_keywords":[],"_thinkrank_focus_keyword":"","_thinkrank_robots_meta_enabled":0,"_thinkrank_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_advanced_robots_meta":"","_thinkrank_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[872,988,133,220,108],"tags":[1453,114,1456,119,1455,1454],"ppma_author":[2017],"class_list":["post-9105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elektrik","category-iklim-cevre","category-raporlar","category-guncel-raporlar","category-tr","tag-elektrikli-araclar","tag-oguzhan-akyener","tag-sarj","tag-tespam","tag-togg","tag-yerli-arac"],"yoast_head":"\nELEKTR\u0130KL\u0130 ARA\u00c7 D\u00d6NEM\u0130 GER\u00c7EK ANLAMDA NE ZAMAN BA\u015eLAYACAK? - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tespam.org\/wordpress\/elektrikli-arac-donemi-gercek-anlamda-ne-zaman-baslayacak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ELEKTR\u0130KL\u0130 ARA\u00c7 D\u00d6NEM\u0130 GER\u00c7EK ANLAMDA NE ZAMAN BA\u015eLAYACAK? - T\u00fcrkiye Enerji Stratejileri ve Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ELEKTR\u0130KL\u0130 ARA\u00c7 D\u00d6NEM\u0130 GER\u00c7EK ANLAMDA NE ZAMAN BA\u015eLAYACAK? O\u011fuzhan Akyener     Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar ula\u015f\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde son y\u0131llar\u0131n en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan konu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndand\u0131r. 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